Match Info
SM-sarja U20Date: 16 January 2026, Friday
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TPS U20 |
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KalPa U20 |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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1.62 |
4.5 |
3.25 |
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1.79 |
4.33 |
3.37 |
Watch |
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1.75 |
4.2 |
3.2 |
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1.8 |
4.2 |
3.29 |
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1.74 |
4.3 |
3.2 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.74 ↓ (1.86) |
4.31 ↑ (4.18) |
3.26 ↑ (3.22) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
- The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
TPS U20 51.6% | Draw 20.9% | KalPa U20 27.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
TPS U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)KalPa U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for TPS U20 than the current prediction. (-5.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with TPS U20 that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for KalPa U20 than the current prediction. (+3.1%)TPS U20 - KalPa U20 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Period (1 - 0)
- 10:16, 1 - 0, Pikkarainen K. (G), Fugleberg P. (A), Uusikartano A. (A2)
- 2nd Period (1 - 0)
- 10:05, 2 - 0, Pikkarainen K. (G), Laine L. (A), Fugleberg P. (A2)
- 3rd Period (0 - 1)
- 13:04, 2 - 1, Timofejev D. (G), Kokkonen L. (A), Pulkkanen A. (A2)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, TPS U20 won 1.Right now, both teams are showing solid form.KalPa U20 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. TPS U20 will hold a modest advantage in this match.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, TPS U20 won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 69:66. (average 3.5:3.3).Including home matches between the teams, TPS U20 won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 45:37. (average 4.1:3.4).
Standings
| | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
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| 9 | KalPa U20 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 33:31 | 16 |
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| 11 | TPS U20 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 30:41 | 13 |
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Last Results with these Odds
KalPa U20 - the odds 3.22 are the expected chance of winning is 28.56%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Finnish SM-sarja U20 | | | 27.09.25 | KalPa U20 - TPS U20 | 4:2 | | 20.12.24 | KalPa U20 - TPS U20 | 4:3 | | 22.09.24 | TPS U20 - KalPa U20 | 4:5 penalties | | 17.02.24 | TPS U20 - KalPa U20 | 2:1 penalties | | 08.12.23 | KalPa U20 - TPS U20 | 5:2 | | 21.10.23 | TPS U20 - KalPa U20 | 7:6 OT | | 04.03.23 | KalPa U20 - TPS U20 | 1:2 OT |
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