Match Info

Mestis

Date: 31 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Keuruun jäähalli (Keuruu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	MTV Katsomo+


	KeuPa		Kiekko-Vantaa

	1	X	2
	2.75	4.15	2.1	Watch
	2.72	3.76	2
	2.87	4.12	2.09	Watch
	2.7	3.9	2.05
	2.82	4.05	2.05
	2.85	4	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↓ (2.85)	4 ↓ (4.08)	2.05 ↓ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

KeuPa
32.7%

Draw
22.8%

Kiekko-Vantaa
44.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.6%

22.8%

44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36%

25.2%

40.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

KeuPa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Kiekko-Vantaa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for KeuPa than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kiekko-Vantaa than the current prediction. (-4%)

KeuPa - Kiekko Vantaa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
35. Hannikainen O. (G)	35. Varis K. (G)
11. Lehmus J.	27. Rikkila H.
26. Tuupanen T.	18. Kettunen E.
93. Jarvenpaa M.	28. Tolppola V.
28. Lehtonen W.	45. Maansaari O.
90. Liljamo T.	24. Fagerstrom J.
Line 2
83. Karhapaa I.	5. Ulander E.
45. Heikkila E.	12. Arkko V.
18. Utriainen O.	94. Nordgren N.
89. Linjala M.	22. Turunen R.
27. Tarvainen K.	8. Saarelainen M.
Line 3
29. Vuontisvaara O.	3. Pakaslahti A.
4. Heinonen O.	43. Niemelainen A.
24. Manni E.	13. Tenhovuori N.
17. Tohila R.	25. Pitkanen K.
10. Heikkila M.	81. Menna M.
Line 4
2. Kesajarvi A.	38. Hellman V.
9. Hokkanen R.	62. Iso-Kuortti P.
20. Jaatinen O.	44. Laakso A.
16. Winqvist K.	29. Tiusanen E.
Substitutes
41. Pasanen J. (G)	23. Auvinen S. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 3)
15:15, 0 - 1, Pitkanen K. (G), Pakaslahti A. (A), Nordgren N. (A2)
17:09, 0 - 2, Saarelainen M. (G), Nordgren N. (A), Turunen R. (A2)
17:29, 0 - 3, Iso-Kuortti P. (G), Pitkanen K. (A), Menna M. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 5)
10:16, 0 - 4, Tenhovuori N. (G), Pitkanen K. (A), Kettunen E. (A2)
10:34, 0 - 5, Iso-Kuortti P. (G), Arkko V. (A), Varis K. (A2)
13:51, 0 - 6, Fagerstrom J. (G), Saarelainen M. (A), Tolppola V. (A2)
16:39, 0 - 7, Saarelainen M. (G), Tolppola V. (A), Niemelainen A. (A2)
18:11, 0 - 8, Fagerstrom J. (G), Saarelainen M. (A), Menna M. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, KeuPa won 1.

KeuPa is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Kiekko-Vantaa is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Kiekko-Vantaa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Kiekko-Vantaa will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Kiekko-Vantaa will win today's game, with odds of 2.05.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, KeuPa won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 62:66. (average 3.1:3.3).

Including home matches between the teams, KeuPa won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 40:25. (average 4:2.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
2	K-Vantaa	9	6	1	0	2	26:21	20
8	KeuPa	9	2	0	2	5	22:37	8

Last Results with these Odds

KeuPa - the odds 2.85 are the expected chance of winning is 32.59%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KeuPa HT
Finnish Mestis
30.01.26	Kiekko-Vantaa - KeuPa	5:2 ✺
24.01.26	KeuPa - IPK	2:4 ✺
22.01.26	Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat - KeuPa	4:1 ✺
17.01.26	Hermes Kokkola - KeuPa	4:1 ✺
14.01.26	KeuPa - RoKi	3:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Kiekko-Vantaa
Finnish Mestis
30.01.26	Kiekko-Vantaa - KeuPa	5:2 ✺
27.01.26	Kiekko-Vantaa - Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat	3:2 penalties ✺
24.01.26	Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat - Kiekko-Vantaa	4:6 ✺
23.01.26	IPK - Kiekko-Vantaa	4:7 ✺
20.01.26	Imatran Ketterä - Kiekko-Vantaa	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.6 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Mestis
30.01.26	Kiekko-Vantaa - KeuPa	5:2
04.12.25	KeuPa - Kiekko-Vantaa	4:1
14.11.25	Kiekko-Vantaa - KeuPa	4:2
22.10.25	KeuPa - Kiekko-Vantaa	1:4
22.02.25	Kiekko-Vantaa - KeuPa	4:1
06.02.25	KeuPa - Kiekko-Vantaa	3:0
15.01.25	Kiekko-Vantaa - KeuPa	4:0

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