Match Info

VHL - Play Offs - Final

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Ledovyy dvorets (Voskresensk)


	Khimik		Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk

	1	X	2
	2.08	3.75	3.29
	2.11	3.73	3.05	Watch
	2.08	3.5	2.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (2.21)	3.66 ↓ (3.78)	3 ↑ (2.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Khimik
44.1%

Draw
25.2%

Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

24.9%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.3%

29.4%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Khimik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Khimik than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Khimik, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Khimik - Yugra Khanty Mansiysk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
31. Volokhin Y. (G)	50. Sokhatsky V. (G)
3. Ivanov D.	79. Savelyev A.
4. Sokolov N. (C)	89. Teryayev S. (C)
99. Filin Y.	96. Fattakhov V.
8. Krovyakov M. (A)	80. Maltsev M.
6. Ryabov I.	28. Kazakov M.
Line 2
5. Rukavishnikov R. (A)	67. Afanasyev M.
13. Gavrilov I.	57. Sevostyanov A.
28. Pashin A.	37. Udot A.
97. Kholodilin N.	15. Busarov G. (A)
92. Yarovoi S.	66. Belyayev M.
Line 3
33. Sobolev D.	4. Yelizarov A. (A)
43. Krasnichuk A.	72. Savchik K.
36. Lukin K.	13. Kadyshev K.
65. Mansurov D.	81. Spiridonov Y.
98. Belyayev A.	42. Shutov V.
Line 4
32. Maryshev A.	33. Maklozyan Y.
12. Buruyanov N.	21. Kirpichnikov A.
27. Korotkikh I.	11. Popov A.
2. Varyushkin Y.	17. Podkorytov A.
	91. Makeyev A.
Substitutes
1. Kanayev P. (G)	59. Sukhachyov V. (G)
54. Tarasenko S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (0 - 3)
03:05, 0 - 1, Busarov G. (G), Belyayev M. (A),
10:43, 0 - 2, Fattakhov V. (G),
18:13, 0 - 3, Kirpichnikov A. (G), Savelyev A. (A), Belyayev M. (A2)

Preview

HC Yugra (VHL) leads series 2-1. Fourth leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Khimik won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Khimik may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Khimik won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 57:51. (average 2.9:2.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Khimik won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 36:17. (average 4:1.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
6	Khimik	14	6	2	2	4	46:28	18
20	HC Yugra	11	4	2	0	5	20:17	12

Last Results with these Odds

Khimik - the odds 2.21 are the expected chance of winning is 42.56%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MHC Khimik
VHL
21.05.26	Khimik - Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk	1:2 ✺
18.05.26	Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk - Khimik	3:4 ✺
16.05.26	Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk - Khimik	2:1 ✺
10.05.26	Khimik - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	4:2 ✺
07.05.26	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Khimik	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWLWL
- Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk
VHL
21.05.26	Khimik - Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk	1:2 ✺
18.05.26	Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk - Khimik	3:4 ✺
16.05.26	Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk - Khimik	2:1 ✺
13.05.26	Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	2:1 ✺
11.05.26	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
21.05.26	Khimik - Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk	1:2
18.05.26	Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk - Khimik	3:4
16.05.26	Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk - Khimik	2:1
19.01.26	Khimik - Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk	3:1
25.10.25	Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk - Khimik	1:3
08.05.25	Khimik - Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk	7:1
05.05.25	Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk - Khimik	2:3

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