Match Info

VHL

Date: 2 October 2026, Friday


	Khimik		SKA-VMF

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.7	3.8
	1.6	3.55	3.65
	1.72	4.2	4.06	Watch
	1.71	3.95	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (2.07)	3.85 ↓ (4.1)	3.79 ↑ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Khimik
53.4%

Draw
23.1%

SKA-VMF
23.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.3%

22.9%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.8%

27.2%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Khimik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Khimik's performance.

SKA-VMF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and SKA-VMF might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Khimik than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SKA-VMF than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Khimik - SKA VMF Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - Khimik (2.21) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Khimik (votes: 1 - 100%).

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Lineups

Line 1
31. Volokhin Y. (G)	31. Saranchuk G. (G)
4. Sokolov N. (C)	57. Sevostyanov A.
3. Ivanov D.	85. Zhuravlev Y.
56. Avramov F.	38. Gurzanov Y.
91. Korotkikh I.	15. Busarov G. (C)
22. Petrov M.	10. Popov D.
Line 2
89. Korolyov V.	14. Shekhovtsov Y.
5. Rukavishnikov R. (A)	8. Barantsev D. (A)
41. Solovyov D.	18. Slivchenko M.
2. Varyushkin Y.	32. Barabanov V.
51. Sysoev D.	44. Dyadenkin D.
Line 3
70. Bychkov R.	5. Yarullin A.
43. Krasnichuk A.	6. Lukichyov A.
20. Buruyanov N. (A)	39. Kuzminov Y.
10. Kukstel P.	17. Kabush M.
92. Yarovoi S.	97. Nugmanov A.
Line 4
32. Maryshev A.	54. Gorokhov S.
11. Yakunin Y.	80. Gryaznov G.
54. Rybenok S.	88. Kapchuk S.
7. Filimonov M.	95. Shevchenko D. (A)
	22. Sorokin Y.
Substitutes
9. Bykov A.	73. Podlyagin N. (G)
30. Kuzmenko Y. (G)	87. Popov D. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
11:03, 1 - 0, Sysoev D. (G), Buruyanov N. (A), Varyushkin Y. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Khimik won 3.

In recent outings, Khimik has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

SKA-VMF shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

SKA-VMF could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Both teams have recently been through a succession of home fixtures.

Bookmakers give the edge to Khimik for this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Khimik has recorded 14 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 69:46 (averaging 3.5:2.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Khimik against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 29:12 goals (averaging 3.6:1.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
5	Khimik	13	6	2	2	3	45:26	18
14	SKA-VMF St. Petersburg	11	5	2	0	4	27:21	14

Last Results with these Odds

Khimik - the odds 2.07 are the expected chance of winning is 45.32%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

SKA-VMF - the odds 2.95 are the expected chance of winning is 31.8%, but this team recently wins 24% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MHC Khimik
VHL
30.09.26	Khimik - Dinamo St. Petersburg	4:3 AET ✺
26.09.26	Khimik - Gornyak-UGMK	1:4 ✺
24.09.26	Khimik - Chelmet	6:0 ✺
22.09.26	Khimik - Magnitka Magnitogorsk	0:1 ✺
20.09.26	Khimik - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	4:5 AET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WLWLL
- SKA-VMF St. Petersburg
VHL
30.09.26	Zvezda Moscow - SKA-VMF	1:3 ✺
20.09.26	SKA-VMF - Gornyak-UGMK	3:1 ✺
18.09.26	SKA-VMF - Chelmet	3:2 ✺
16.09.26	SKA-VMF - Magnitka Magnitogorsk	2:1 penalties ✺
14.09.26	SKA-VMF - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly Ice Hockey
14.08.26	SKA-VMF - Khimik	2:5
VHL
18.02.26	SKA-VMF - Khimik	0:3
29.09.25	Khimik - SKA-VMF	1:2
20.04.25	Khimik - SKA-VMF	2:1
17.04.25	SKA-VMF - Khimik	4:3
15.04.25	SKA-VMF - Khimik	0:4
12.04.25	Khimik - SKA-VMF	6:2

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