The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Pelicans 32.3%
Draw 22.9%
JYP 44.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.5%
21.4%
45.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.7%
22.8%
42.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pelicans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
JYP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pelicans than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for JYP than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
Pelicans - JYP Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Line 1
45. Olkinuora J. (G)
34. Setanen O. (G)
4. Johannesen J.
44. Vatanen S.
77. Kayhko O.
31. Peltola E.
37. Dudas A.
77. Tukiainen L.
7. Stapley B.
28. Lassila J. (C)
9. Fortier G.
61. Huovila S.
Line 2
65. Nutivaara M. (A)
63. Bourque T. (A)
71. Hakkila H.
3. Arola J.
90. Hawel L.
39. Ojantakanen V.
95. Batna O. (A)
8. Newkirk R.
10. Karvinen R.
82. Pesonen H. (A)
Line 3
55. Falk H.
32. Setkov M.
15. Lerby C.
4. Liikonen V.
12. Hamalainen S.
92. Vidgren A.
87. Myklukha O.
7. True A.
96. Kumpula J.
40. Torgersson D.
Line 4
89. Kolehmainen E.
18. Jokinen R.
49. Amhamdi O.
22. Vaisanen V.
74. Teutari E.
14. Costmar A.
23. Forsberg C. (C)
17. Makinen O.
29. Vaananen M.
27. Korjus J.
Substitutes
33. Poletin F. (G)
35. Salminen O. (G)
Coaches
. Kapanen S.
. Matikainen P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 2)
00:27, 1 - 0, Lerby C. (G), Falk H. (A), Batna O. (A2)
14:01, 1 - 1, Torgersson D. (G), True A. (A), Vidgren A. (A2)
16:16, 1 - 2, Tukiainen L. (G), Huovila S. (A), Lassila J. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
14:20, Hamalainen S. (2 min),
17:42, Dudas A. (2 min),
3rd Period (0 - 1)
15:20, Korjus J. (2 min),
19:25, 1 - 3, Vidgren A. (G), Lassila J. (A),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pelicans won 4.
Pelicans has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
JYP shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Pelicans may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, JYP has had a run of games away from home.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Pelicans has recorded 12 wins, 0 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 58:43 (averaging 2.9:2.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Pelicans against this opponent, the record stands at 8 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 32:15 goals (averaging 3.2:1.5 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
4
JYP
10
7
0
0
3
30:25
21
10
Pelicans
10
5
0
1
4
24:23
16
Last Results with these Odds
Pelicans - the odds 2.79 are the expected chance of winning is 33.49%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.