The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
TPS 43.6%
Draw 24.8%
Pelicans 31.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
43.5%
23.1%
33.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.9%
24.3%
29.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
TPS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
Pelicans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for TPS than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pelicans than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
TPS - Pelicans Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
32. Vali N. (G)
32. Bartosak P. (G)
38. Landen A.
15. Lerby C.
44. Lindbohm P.
65. Nutivaara M. (A)
97. Haudum L.
62. Soisalo A.
21. Maatta J.
12. Hamalainen S.
22. Bryggman L. (A)
91. Pohjalainen A.
Line 2
6. Rafkin R. (A)
4. Johannesen J.
40. Lehtonen S.
47. Jordan M. (C)
25. Ikonen Jo.
37. Dudas A.
86. Yliniemi S.
7. Stapley B.
24. Virtanen J.
9. Fortier G.
Line 3
2. Tuhkala A.
44. Kousa M.
7. Lauridsen O.
55. Falk H.
17. Fugleberg P.
27. Lind O.
13. Paajanen O. (C)
87. Myklukha O.
19. Savinainen V.
82. Kettunen A.
Line 4
84. Pikkarainen K.
29. Vaananen M.
57. Munkki V.
23. Forsberg C. (A)
10. Ylitalo N.
74. Teutari E.
Substitutes
4. Chicoine G.
49. Amhamdi O.
9. Koivu A.
71. Hakkila H.
36. Makiniemi E. (G)
45. Olkinuora J. (G)
Coaches
. Soderholm T.
. Kapanen S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 1)
02:15, Ylitalo N. (2 min),
09:59, Jordan M. (2 min),
16:04, 0 - 1, Kettunen A. (G), Lind O. (A),
2nd Period (1 - 0)
00:37, Landen A. (2 min),
08:43, 1 - 1, Yliniemi S. (G), Landen A. (A), Lindbohm P. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
10:39, Pohjalainen A. (2 min),
15:41, Pikkarainen K. (2 min),
15:41, Lind O. (2 min),
17:03, 2 - 1, Haudum L. (G), Bryggman L. (A), Maatta J. (A2)
Preview
A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 7th in the Promotion - Liiga Playoffs - 1/8 - finals and 11th in the Promotion - Liiga Playoffs - 1/8 - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, TPS won 3.
The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.
TPS may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
TPS is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, TPS has recorded 11 wins, 0 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 48:53 (averaging 2.4:2.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for TPS against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 30:27 goals (averaging 3:2.7 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
7
TPS Turku
19
9
1
2
7
53:48
31
12
Pelicans
16
7
1
1
7
40:35
24
Outrights of Finnish SM-liiga for now
TPS Turku: 5.33%
Last Results with these Odds
TPS - the odds 2.15 are the expected chance of winning is 43.48%, but this team recently wins 31% of matches with these odds.
Finland
Sweden
Watch
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Vali N. (G) 
Bartosak P. (G) 
Landen A. 
Haudum L. 
Johannesen J. 
Dudas A. 
Lauridsen O. 
Myklukha O. 
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