Match Info
LiigaDate: 15 September 2026, TuesdayLocation: Wemasto Areena (Lahti)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
 Sweden | TV4 Play |
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Pelicans |
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Tappara |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
2.65 |
4.00 |
2.20 |
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 |
2.55 |
3.90 |
2.30 |
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 |
2.70 |
3.80 |
2.32 |
 Watch |
 |
2.63 |
3.71 |
2.38 |
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 |
2.99 |
3.74 |
2.15 |
Watch |
 |
2.60 |
3.65 |
2.35 |
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 |
2.60 |
3.98 |
2.32 |
Watch |
 |
2.60 |
3.80 |
2.33 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.67 ↓
(3.22) |
3.82 ↑
(3.81) |
2.29 ↑
(1.97) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 4.75
- The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Pelicans
35% | Draw
24.4% | Tappara
40.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pelicans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pelicans's performance.Tappara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tappara might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pelicans than the current prediction. (-8.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pelicans that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tappara than the current prediction. (+9.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tappara could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Pelicans - Tappara Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Pelicans will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tappara will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3 
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Lineups
| Line 1 |
|---|
45.  Olkinuora J. (G)
| 30. Heljanko C. (G)
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4.  Johannesen J.
| 26. Mattila Je.
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47.  Jordan M. (C)
| 23. Jokipakka J.
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37.  Dudas A.
| 88.  Blichfeld J.
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7. Stapley B.
| 22. Rasanen A. (A)
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9. Fortier G.
| 25. Haapala H.
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| Line 2 |
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65. Nutivaara M. (A)
| 72. Kulonummi K.
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71. Hakkila H.
| 38. Almari N.
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90. Hawel L.
| 11. Simontaival K.
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95.  Batna O.
| 40. Sallinen T.
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10. Karvinen R.
| 87.  Fabre D.
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| Line 3 |
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55.  Falk H.
| 63. Tuulola J. (A)
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15. Lerby C.
| 33. Strandell O.
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12. Hamalainen S.
| 28. Wia W.
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87.  Myklukha O.
| 42. Rauhala O. (C)
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96. Kumpula J.
| 17. Pavel O.
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| Line 4 |
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83. Luhanka E.
| 5. Rasanen I.
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29. Vaananen M.
| 34. Vaarala V.
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74. Teutari E.
| 41. Nykanen J.
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23. Forsberg C. (A)
| 89. Suvanto O.
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82. Kettunen A.
| 94. Vanhatalo V.
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| Substitutes |
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33. Poletin F. (G)
| 77. Metsola J. (G)
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| Coaches |
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. Kapanen S.
| . Jalonen K.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Period (1 - 2)
- 02:35, Luhanka E. (2 min),
- 03:27, 0 - 1, Blichfeld J. (G), Haapala H. (A), Jokipakka J. (A2)
- 13:09, 0 - 2, Fabre D. (G), Sallinen T. (A), Mattila Je. (A2)
- 13:26, 1 - 2, Dudas A. (G), Fortier G. (A), Stapley B. (A2)
- 2nd Period (1 - 0)
- 01:34, Haapala H. (2 min),
- 13:31, 2 - 2, Kumpula J. (G), Myklukha O. (A), Hamalainen S. (A2)
- 13:46, Rasanen A. (2 min),
- 20:00, Sallinen T. (2 min),
- 3rd Period (0 - 1)
- 00:59, (2 min),
- 02:54, 2 - 3, Haapala H. (G), Blichfeld J. (A),
- 05:18, Forsberg C. (5 min),
- 19:00, Rasanen A. (2 min),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pelicans won 2.Pelicans is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).Tappara has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).Pelicans may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.Recently, Pelicans has had a series of home games. In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.We predict that Pelicans will win today's game, with odds of 2.81.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pelicans won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 46:58. (average 2.3:2.9).Including home matches between the teams, Pelicans won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 34:31. (average 3.4:3.1).
Outrights of Finnish SM-liiga for now
Tappara: 25.28%
Standings
| | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
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| 9 | Tappara | 11 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 32:24 | 19 |
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| 12 | Pelicans | 10 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 24:23 | 16 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Pelicans - the odds 3.22 are the expected chance of winning is 28.77%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Finnish SM-liiga | | | 20.02.26 | Pelicans - Tappara | 4:3 | | 26.12.25 | Tappara - Pelicans | 5:0 | | 15.11.25 | Tappara - Pelicans | 2:0 | | 22.10.25 | Pelicans - Tappara | 2:5 | | 14.03.25 | Tappara - Pelicans | 0:1 | | 30.12.24 | Pelicans - Tappara | 7:1 | | 10.12.24 | Tappara - Pelicans | 2:3 penalties |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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