The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Pelicans 33.4%
Draw 24.6%
Tappara 42.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
36.7%
26%
37.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.2%
27%
34.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pelicans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
Tappara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pelicans than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tappara than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tappara, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Pelicans - Tappara Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Line 1
45. Olkinuora J. (G)
30. Heljanko C. (G)
44. Kousa M.
26. Mattila Je.
49. Amhamdi O.
23. Jokipakka J.
12. Hamalainen S.
21. Lindqvist M.
95. Batna O.
62. Mattila Ju. (A)
91. Pohjalainen A.
78. Rautiainen B.
Line 2
15. Lerby C.
72. Kulonummi K.
65. Nutivaara M. (A)
38. Almari N.
37. Dudas A.
11. Simontaival K.
7. Stapley B.
89. Suvanto O.
9. Fortier G.
25. Haapala H.
Line 3
55. Falk H.
63. Tuulola J. (A)
47. Jordan M. (C)
56. Niemelainen M.
27. Lind O.
87. Fabre D.
87. Myklukha O.
40. Sallinen T.
82. Kettunen A.
28. Wia W.
Line 4
4. Johannesen J.
43. Karvonen J.
29. Vaananen M.
41. Nykanen J.
23. Forsberg C. (A)
42. Rauhala O. (C)
89. Tyrvainen A.
17. Pavel O.
Substitutes
32. Bartosak P. (G)
51. Jarventie E.
74. Teutari E.
77. Metsola J. (G)
Coaches
. Kapanen S.
. Norrena F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (2 - 1)
01:30, (2 min),
08:03, 1 - 0, Lind O. (G), Lerby C. (A), Johannesen J. (A2)
11:27, 2 - 0, Lind O. (G), Myklukha O. (A), Kettunen A. (A2)
13:29, 2 - 1, Simontaival K. (G), Suvanto O. (A), Almari N. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 2)
00:01, Heljanko C. ↓, Metsola J. ↑,
02:12, 3 - 1, Falk H. (G), Dudas A. (A), Jordan M. (A2)
05:07, 3 - 2, Lindqvist M. (G), Mattila Ju. (A), Kulonummi K. (A2)
05:43, 3 - 3, Tuulola J. (G), Haapala H. (A), Simontaival K. (A2)
10:06, Vaananen M. (2 min),
14:56, Jordan M. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 1)
00:21, Pavel O. (2 min),
06:09, 3 - 4, Pavel O. (G), Almari N. (A), Mattila Ju. (A2)
07:56, Olkinuora J. (2 min),
07:56, Pavel O. (10 min),
14:27, Jokipakka J. (2 min),
15:34, 4 - 4, Nutivaara M. (G), Batna O. (A), Dudas A. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 0)
03:39, Lindqvist M. (2 min),
Penalties (2 - 1)
1, Dudas A. (Penalty Shot),
1, Simontaival K. (Penalty Shot),
2, Stapley B. (Penalty Shot),
2, Rautiainen B. (Penalty Shot),
3, Hamalainen S. (Penalty Shot),
3, Tuulola J. (Penalty Shot),
Preview
Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 12th in the Promotion - Liiga Playoffs - 1/8 - finals and 9th in the Promotion - Liiga Playoffs - 1/8 - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pelicans won 1.
Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.
Pelicans could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Pelicans has recorded 8 wins, 0 draws, and 12 losses, with a goal aggregate of 47:58 (averaging 2.4:2.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Pelicans against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 35:31 goals (averaging 3.5:3.1 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
10
Tappara
18
7
2
3
6
51:43
28
12
Pelicans
16
7
1
1
7
40:35
24
Outrights of Finnish SM-liiga for now
Tappara: 21.69%
Last Results with these Odds
Pelicans - the odds 2.55 are the expected chance of winning is 36.65%, but this team recently wins 15% of matches with these odds.
Tappara - the odds 2.5 are the expected chance of winning is 37.39%, but this team recently wins 31% of matches with these odds.
Finland
Sweden
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Olkinuora J. (G) 
Lindqvist M. 
Batna O. 
Dudas A. 
Jordan M. (C) 
Fabre D. 
Myklukha O. 
Johannesen J. 
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