Match Info

RUSSIA: KHL

Date: 8 December 2024, Sunday

Location: Arena Mytishchi (Mytishchi)


	Kunlun		Sibir Novosibirsk

	1	X	2
	2.95	3.79	2.17
	2.99	4.1	2.14	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.97 ↑ (2.7)	3.95 ↓ (4.1)	2.16 ↓ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kunlun
31.9%

Draw
24%

Sibir Novosibirsk
44%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

23.7%

40.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38%

22.4%

38.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kunlun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Sibir Novosibirsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kunlun than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kunlun, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sibir Novosibirsk than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sibir Novosibirsk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Kunlun - Sibir Novosibirsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
45. Smith J. (G)	33. Krasotkin A. (G)
44. Clendening A.	27. Gordeev F.
27. Somerby D. (A)	8. Murphy T.
15. Shuai Fu (C)	17. Gogolev P.
71. Campbell C.	19. Andreoff A.
22. Fu Jiang	85. Beck T. (A)
Line 2
3. Wood K.	21. Alanov Y.
7. Chelios J.	55. Martynov Y.
92. Jurco T.	11. Mikhalyov V.
74. Graovac T. (A)	32. Berlyov A.
9. Halbgewachs J.	18. Belousov G.
Line 3
13. Duszak J.	73. Zhukov A.
12. McCoshen I.	5. Rukavishnikov R.
21. O'Regan D.	52. Shirokov S. (C)
8. Chartier R.	61. Yakovlev A.
94. Drozg J.	10. Korotkov N. (A)
Line 4
32. Likhachyov Y.	96. Klyosov Y.
20. Lockhart L.	76. Akhiyarov T.
77. Zvyagin S.	77. Kara V.
	45. Pyanov V.
	71. Butuzov V.
Substitutes
83. Elynuik H.	72. Kostin D. (G)
38. Keyser K. (G)
Coaches
. Kravets M.	. Yepanchintsev V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 4)
04:35, 0 - 1, Zhukov A. (G), Belousov G. (A), Rukavishnikov R. (A2)
05:16, 0 - 2, Shirokov S. (G), Gordeev F. (A), Murphy T. (A2)
05:16, Smith J. ↓, Keyser K. ↑,
10:46, 0 - 3, Gogolev P. (G), Beck T. (A), Andreoff A. (A2)
13:58, 1 - 3, Campbell C. (G), Somerby D. (A), Clendening A. (A2)
15:20, 1 - 4, Gogolev P. (G), Beck T. (A), Andreoff A. (A2)
2nd Period (3 - 1)
03:37, Gogolev P. (2 min),
04:27, 2 - 4, Duszak J. (G), Jurco T. (A), Graovac T. (A2)
05:48, Beck T. (2 min),
08:29, Somerby D. (2 min),
14:24, Korotkov N. (2 min),
15:45, 3 - 4, O'Regan D. (G), Duszak J. (A), Keyser K. (A2)
16:07, 4 - 4, O'Regan D. (G), Drozg J. (A), Chartier R. (A2)
16:07, Krasotkin A. ↓, Kostin D. ↑,
18:49, 4 - 5, Kara V. (G), Butuzov V. (A), Pyanov V. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 2)
01:24, Elynuik H. (2 min),
01:30, 4 - 6, Andreoff A. (G), Beck T. (A), Murphy T. (A2)
10:49, 4 - 7, Murphy T. (G),
11:00, Keyser K. (2 min),
18:08, Jurco T. (2 min),
18:08, Murphy T. (2 min),
19:23, 5 - 7, Clendening A. (G), Duszak J. (A), Shuai Fu (A2)

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 10 and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Kunlun won 1.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Sibir could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Kunlun have a series of home games.

Sibir will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in Kunlun: Sinyatkin S. (Injury)

There will not play in Sibir: Morozov I. (Injury)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Kunlun won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 15 matches and goals 40:59 (average 2:3).

Including matches at home between the teams Kunlun won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 21:33 (average 2.1:3.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kunlun Red Star
KHL
06.12.24	Kunlun - Sochi	5:3 ✺
04.12.24	Kunlun - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	2:5 ✺
01.12.24	Kunlun - Dynamo Moscow	4:5 OT ✺
29.11.24	Kunlun - Lada Togliatti	1:2 ✺
25.11.24	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Kunlun	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WLLLW
- HC Sibir Novosibirsk
KHL
06.12.24	Salavat Yulaev Ufa - Sibir Novosibirsk	3:1 ✺
02.12.24	Sibir Novosibirsk - Dinamo Minsk	4:5 ✺
27.11.24	Sibir Novosibirsk - Barys Astana	2:0 ✺
24.11.24	Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Sibir Novosibirsk	3:1 ✺
22.11.24	Sochi - Sibir Novosibirsk	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

KHL
19.09.24	Sibir Novosibirsk - Kunlun	3:1
27.11.23	Sibir Novosibirsk - Kunlun	3:2
18.11.23	Kunlun - Sibir Novosibirsk	3:2 OT
09.09.22	Sibir Novosibirsk - Kunlun	4:0
06.09.22	Kunlun - Sibir Novosibirsk	1:2 penalties
12.12.21	Sibir Novosibirsk - Kunlun	3:2 OT
04.12.21	Kunlun - Sibir Novosibirsk	2:7

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