Match Info

KHL

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Arena Metallurg (Magnitogorsk) 🌤️ ...


	Metallurg Magnitogorsk		Sibir Novosibirsk

	1	X	2
	1.49	4.47	5.65
	1.47	4.40	5.55
	1.50	5.10	5.40	Watch
	1.49	4.70	5.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.56)	4.67 ↓ (5)	5.4 ↑ (5.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Metallurg Magnitogorsk
62.7%

Draw
20%

Sibir Novosibirsk
17.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

62.2%

19.4%

18.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.5%

19.2%

18.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Metallurg Magnitogorsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Sibir Novosibirsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metallurg Magnitogorsk than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sibir Novosibirsk than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Sibir Novosibirsk Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Metallurg M will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Sibir will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sibir (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Lineups

Line 1
30. Zavragin Y. (G)	1. Berdin M. (G)
55. Provolnev V. (A)	6. Smirnov N.
56. Khabarov M.	44. Dietz D. (A)
28. Tolchinsky S.	96. Korshkov Y.
27. Todd N.	12. Nekolenko A. (A)
29. Vovchenko D.	11. Koshelev S.
Line 2
44. Yakovlev Y. (C)	21. Alanov Y. (C)
9. Orekhov V.	74. Orlov M.
19. Tkachev V. (A)	13. Nikulin S.
47. Johnson L.	95. Yaremchuk A.
11. Mikhailis N.	71. Kisakov A.
Line 3
87. Palivko D.	38. Baklashev N.
72. Minulin A.	5. Chaika D.
94. Korobkin Y.	15. Kosolapov A.
22. Iskhakov R.	18. Tyutnev P.
18. Starkov S.	34. Popov S.
Line 4
74. Siryatsky A.	9. Kheibatov Y.
84. Fyodorov M.	8. Lazutin D.
93. Nechayev I.	28. Pershakov A.
39. Kozlov A.	24. Sushko M.
	31. Mirzabalayev A.
Substitutes
20. Smolin A. (G)	33. Krasotkin A. (G)
63. Vokhmyanin A.
Coaches
. Vorobyov V.	. Lyuzenkov Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
13:29, Fyodorov M. (2 min),
18:08, Palivko D. (2 min),
2nd Period (3 - 1)
02:28, 0 - 1, Sushko M. (G), Pershakov A. (A), Chaika D. (A2)
10:08, 1 - 1, Kozlov A. (G), Tolchinsky S. (A),
15:00, 2 - 1, Vovchenko D. (G), Todd N. (A), Provolnev V. (A2)
19:09, Korshkov Y. (2 min),
19:18, 3 - 1, Orekhov V. (G), Tolchinsky S. (A), Todd N. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 0)
00:52, 4 - 1, Johnson L. (G), Tkachev V. (A), Mikhailis N. (A2)
00:52, Berdin M. ↓, Krasotkin A. ↑,
01:43, Orekhov V. (2 min),
04:06, 5 - 1, Iskhakov R. (G), Siryatsky A. (A), Kozlov A. (A2)
11:37, Nekolenko A. (2 min),

Preview

The table topper faces a competitive test against mid-table opposition (ranked 1st in the Promotion - KHL Playoffs - 1/8 - finals and 7th in the Promotion - KHL Playoffs - 1/8 - finals).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Metallurg M won 4.

Metallurg M has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Sibir has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Sibir may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Sibir has had a run of games away from home.

Bookmakers give the edge to Metallurg M for this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Metallurg M has recorded 15 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 62:35 (averaging 3.1:1.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Metallurg M against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 33:19 goals (averaging 3.3:1.9 per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Metallurg Magnitogorsk - the odds 1.56 are the expected chance of winning is 62.17%, but this team recently wins 53% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Metallurg Magnitogorsk
KHL
21.10.26	Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Salavat Yulaev Ufa	4:5 penalties ✺
18.10.26	Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg	4:2 ✺
14.10.26	Dinamo Minsk - Metallurg Magnitogorsk	1:3 ✺
12.10.26	Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod - Metallurg Magnitogorsk	2:3 OT ✺
09.10.26	Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Salavat Yulaev Ufa	7:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LWWWW
- HC Sibir Novosibirsk
KHL
22.10.26	SKA Saint Petersburg - Sibir Novosibirsk	6:3 ✺
20.10.26	Dynamo Moscow - Sibir Novosibirsk	2:3 penalties ✺
17.10.26	Sibir Novosibirsk - Barys Astana	0:1 ✺
14.10.26	Salavat Yulaev Ufa - Sibir Novosibirsk	2:4 ✺
12.10.26	Barys Astana - Sibir Novosibirsk	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.8 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

KHL
01.04.26	Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Sibir Novosibirsk	1:0
30.03.26	Sibir Novosibirsk - Metallurg Magnitogorsk	1:0 OT
28.03.26	Sibir Novosibirsk - Metallurg Magnitogorsk	1:3
26.03.26	Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Sibir Novosibirsk	5:1
24.03.26	Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Sibir Novosibirsk	4:1
13.03.26	Sibir Novosibirsk - Metallurg Magnitogorsk	1:2 OT
22.01.26	Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Sibir Novosibirsk	1:2

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