The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sibir Novosibirsk 49.8%
Draw 24.3%
Barys Astana 25.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
61.4%
20.3%
18.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
62.3%
20%
18%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sibir Novosibirsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sibir Novosibirsk's form might have worsened.
Barys Astana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Barys Astana's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sibir Novosibirsk than the current prediction. (+12.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sibir Novosibirsk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barys Astana than the current prediction. (-7.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Barys Astana, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
66.7%
0%
Sibir Novosibirsk - Barys Astana Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Sibir will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
1. Berdin M. (G)
43. Shutov A. (G)
22. Priskie C.
24. Breus D.
27. Gordeev F.
2. Massie J. (A)
85. Beck T. (A)
88. Vecchione M.
12. Nekolenko A.
11. Morelli M.
51. Leshchenko V.
29. Lyapunov K.
Line 2
76. Akhiyarov T.
44. Walsh R.
21. Alanov Y. (A)
3. McCoshen I.
11. Koshelev S.
10. Willman M.
97. Abramov M.
9. Thompson T.
15. Kosolapov A.
22. Panyukov K.
Line 3
91. Valitov D.
71. Daniyar Sam.
74. Orlov M.
87. Beketayev A. (A)
19. Andreoff A.
18. Muratov B.
45. Pyanov V.
12. Logvin V.
61. Yakovlev A.
96. Asetov A.
Line 4
38. Baklashev N.
19. Orazov B.
52. Shirokov S. (C)
13. Kaiyrzhan D.
26. Klimovich I.
17. Omirbekov A.
24. Sushko M.
84. Savitsky K. (C)
Substitutes
33. Krasotkin A. (G)
1. Boyarkin N. (G)
86. Lyuzenkov I.
Coaches
. Lyuzenkov Y.
. Kravets M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 1)
03:17, 0 - 1, Walsh R. (G), Vecchione M. (A), Morelli M. (A2)
11:26, Breus D. (2 min),
14:45, Baklashev N. (2 min),
19:56, Akhiyarov T. (2 min),
2nd Period (1 - 0)
03:32, 1 - 1, Koshelev S. (G), Kosolapov A. (A), Abramov M. (A2)
18:42, McCoshen I. (2 min),
3rd Period (0 - 0)
13:47, Breus D. (2 min),
15:01, (2 min),
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (2 - 1)
1, Abramov M. (Penalty Shot),
1, Kaiyrzhan D. (Penalty Shot),
2, Kosolapov A. (Penalty Shot),
2, Savitsky K. (Penalty Shot),
3, Beck T. (Penalty Shot),
3, Thompson T. (Penalty Shot),
4, Walsh R. (Penalty Shot),
4, Andreoff A. (Penalty Shot),
5, Morelli M. (Penalty Shot),
5, Abramov M. (Penalty Shot),
6, Thompson T. (Penalty Shot),
6, Kosolapov A. (Penalty Shot),
7, Logvin V. (Penalty Shot),
7, Shirokov S. (Penalty Shot),
8, Muratov B. (Penalty Shot),
8, Beck T. (Penalty Shot),
9, Logvin V. (Penalty Shot),
9, Leshchenko V. (Penalty Shot),
10, Panyukov K. (Penalty Shot),
10, Abramov M. (Penalty Shot),
Preview
Sibir is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sibir won 4.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Barys may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Barys has had a series of away games.
In this match, Sibir is a strong favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sibir won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 51:39. (average 2.6:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Sibir won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 21:9. (average 2.6:1.1).
Outrights of KHL for now
Barys Astana: 0.77%
Last Results with these Odds
Barys Astana - the odds 5.29 are the expected chance of winning is 18.34%, but this team recently wins 7% of matches with these odds.
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Berdin M. (G) 
Shutov A. (G) 
Priskie C. 
Massie J. (A) 
Alanov Y. (A) 
Sushko M. 
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