Match Info

KHL

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Sibir Arena (Novosibirsk) 🌤️ ...


	Sibir Novosibirsk		Barys Astana

	1	X	2
	2.72	3.75	2.29
	2.65	3.7	2.25
	2.48	4.15	2.48	Watch
	2.43	3.95	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↑ (2.4)	3.89 ↓ (4.34)	2.36 ↓ (2.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sibir Novosibirsk
36.3%

Draw
24%

Barys Astana
39.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.4%

22.4%

37.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3%

21.7%

36%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sibir Novosibirsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Barys Astana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sibir Novosibirsk than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sibir Novosibirsk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barys Astana than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

Sibir Novosibirsk - Barys Astana Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Sibir will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Barys will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Barys (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
33. Krasotkin A. (G)	43. Shutov A. (G)
6. Smirnov N.	2. Massie J. (A)
44. Dietz D. (A)	26. Day L.
96. Korshkov Y.	8. Bailey J.
12. Nekolenko A. (A)	14. Pilon G.
11. Koshelev S.	17. Omirbekov A.
Line 2
74. Orlov M.	3. McCoshen I.
21. Alanov Y. (C)	71. Daniyar Sam. (A)
95. Yaremchuk A.	9. Thompson T.
34. Popov S.	11. Morelli M.
13. Nikulin S.	70. Simonov S.
Line 3
5. Chaika D.	4. Priskie C.
47. Mishchenko I.	7. Britikov D.
85. Beck T.	13. Kaiyrzhan D.
24. Sushko M.	64. Shestakov A.
15. Kosolapov A.	29. Lyapunov K.
Line 4
4. Volkov D.	87. Beketayev A.
28. Pershakov A.	96. Asetov A.
18. Tyutnev P.	77. Shaikhmeddenov A.
8. Lazutin D.	84. Savitsky K. (C)
Substitutes
1. Berdin M. (G)	28. Sarkenov A.
86. Lyuzenkov I.	32. Shepard H. (G)
Coaches
. Lyuzenkov Y.	. Kravets M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
09:25, Bailey J. (2 min),
14:30, Sarkenov A. (2 min),
2nd Period (0 - 0)
04:11, Morelli M. (2 min),
06:44, Priskie C. (2 min),
07:30, Yaremchuk A. (2 min),
07:30, Morelli M. (2 min),
13:51, Lyuzenkov I. (2 min),
18:43, Tyutnev P. (2 min),
3rd Period (0 - 1)
05:15, Sushko M. (2 min),
07:16, 0 - 1, Morelli M. (G), Day L. (A), Lyapunov K. (A2)
07:16, (2 min),
13:19, Morelli M. (2 min),

Preview

A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 7th in the Promotion - KHL Playoffs - 1/8 - finals and 3rd in the Promotion - KHL Playoffs - 1/8 - finals).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sibir won 4.

Sibir has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Barys is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Barys could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, Sibir has faced a series of away games on the road.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Sibir has recorded 12 wins, 0 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 47:43 (averaging 2.4:2.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Sibir against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 18:8 goals (averaging 2.6:1.1 per game).

Outrights of KHL for now

Barys Astana: 0.73%

Last Results with these Odds

Barys Astana - the odds 2.61 are the expected chance of winning is 37.19%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Sibir Novosibirsk
KHL
14.10.26	Salavat Yulaev Ufa - Sibir Novosibirsk	2:4 ✺
12.10.26	Barys Astana - Sibir Novosibirsk	2:3 ✺
10.10.26	Traktor Chelyabinsk - Sibir Novosibirsk	1:2 ✺
07.10.26	Sibir Novosibirsk - Salavat Yulaev Ufa	4:5 OT ✺
04.10.26	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Sibir Novosibirsk	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.6 WWWLL
- Barys Astana
KHL
14.10.26	Barys Astana - Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg	4:1 ✺
12.10.26	Barys Astana - Sibir Novosibirsk	2:3 ✺
10.10.26	Barys Astana - Avangard Omsk	5:1 ✺
04.10.26	Spartak Moscow - Barys Astana	3:4 penalties ✺
02.10.26	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Barys Astana	4:5 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.9 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

KHL
12.10.26	Barys Astana - Sibir Novosibirsk	2:3
07.09.26	Barys Astana - Sibir Novosibirsk	7:1
20.03.26	Sibir Novosibirsk - Barys Astana	2:1 penalties
07.12.25	Barys Astana - Sibir Novosibirsk	1:2 penalties
01.12.25	Sibir Novosibirsk - Barys Astana	4:1
14.10.25	Barys Astana - Sibir Novosibirsk	3:4 penalties
05.10.25	Sibir Novosibirsk - Barys Astana	1:0 penalties

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