Match Info
LiigaDate: 5 September 2026, SaturdayLocation: Oulun Energia Areena (Oulu)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
 Sweden | TV4 Play |
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Kärpät |
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JYP |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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2.05 |
4.25 |
2.75 |
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 |
2.05 |
4.20 |
2.85 |
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2.18 |
4.00 |
2.80 |
 Watch |
 |
2.32 |
3.78 |
2.67 |
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2.15 |
4.01 |
2.86 |
Watch |
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2.25 |
3.75 |
2.65 |
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 |
2.27 |
4.20 |
2.57 |
Watch |
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2.18 |
4.00 |
2.70 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.18 ↑
(2.06) |
4.02 ↓
(4.18) |
2.73 ↓
(2.75) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
- The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Kärpät
42.7% | Draw
23.2% | JYP
34.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kärpät has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)JYP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kärpät than the current prediction. (+8.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kärpät, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for JYP than the current prediction. (-4.8%)Kärpät - JYP Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2 
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Lineups
| Line 1 |
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41.  Rubin N. (G)
| 34.  Setanen O. (G)
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21. Matinmikko A.
| 44. Vatanen S.
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26.  Tichacek J.
| 31. Peltola E. (A)
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73. Erholtz E. (C)
| 77. Tukiainen L.
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33. Hirvonen R.
| 28. Lassila J. (C)
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82. Pakkila E.
| 61. Huovila S.
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| Line 2 |
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9. Soini K.
| 63.  Bourque T.
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61. Salmela T. (A)
| 76. Arola J.
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93. Kantner M.
| 39. Ojantakanen V.
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31. Koivistoinen E. (A)
| 8. Newkirk R.
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27. Ratinen S.
| 82. Pesonen H. (A)
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| Line 3 |
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43. Loponen K.
| 32.  Setkov M.
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2. Rissanen R.
| 4. Liikonen V.
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62. Nilsson W.
| 92. Vidgren A.
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16. Okany A.
| 7. True A.
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11. Tornqvist H.
| 40. Torgersson D.
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| Line 4 |
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25. Paaso A.
| 18. Jokinen R.
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59. Hermonen J.
| 71. Puustinen J.
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19. Tikka T.
| 17. Makinen O.
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18. Antti-Roiko A.
| 27. Korjus J.
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| Substitutes |
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8. Tieksola T.
| 16. Liljamo T.
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32. Vedenpaa V. (G)
| 35. Salminen O. (G)
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| Coaches |
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. Karjalainen P.
| . Matikainen P.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Period (1 - 1)
- 00:25, 0 - 1, Vidgren A. (G), True A. (A), Torgersson D. (A2)
- 06:32, Erholtz E. (2 min),
- 07:07, 1 - 1, Tornqvist H. (G), Salmela T. (A),
- 09:29, Bourque T. (2 min),
- 14:33, Korjus J. (2 min),
- 2nd Period (0 - 1)
- 04:02, Erholtz E. (2 min),
- 08:23, 1 - 2, Lassila J. (G), Huovila S. (A), Bourque T. (A2)
- 3rd Period (2 - 2)
- 02:40, Ratinen S. (2 min),
- 05:03, 2 - 2, Ratinen S. (G), Kantner M. (A),
- 05:46, Tornqvist H. (2 min),
- 07:02, 2 - 3, Ojantakanen V. (G), Arola J. (A), Huovila S. (A2)
- 19:01, 2 - 4, Vidgren A. (G),
- 19:29, 3 - 4, Matinmikko A. (G), Hirvonen R. (A),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kärpät won 2.Kärpät has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).In recent matches, JYP has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).JYP may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.Recently, JYP has had a series of away games. In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kärpät won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 83:63. (average 4.2:3.2).Including home matches between the teams, Kärpät won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 40:30. (average 4.4:3.3).
Standings
| | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
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| 4 | JYP | 10 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 30:25 | 21 |
| 5 | Karpat | 12 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 34:32 | 21 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
