Match Info

RUSSIA: VHL

Date: 5 December 2022, Monday

Location: Lada Arena (Togliatti)


	Lada Togliatti		Izhstal

	1	X	2
	1.41	4.6	5.2
	1.44	4.64	5.28
	1.43	5.15	5.5	Watch
	1.44	4.8	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.44)	4.8 ↑ (4.65)	5.35 ↑ (5.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lada Togliatti
63.9%

Draw
19%

Izhstal
17.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.2%

19.6%

17.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.5%

20.3%

16.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lada Togliatti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Izhstal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lada Togliatti than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Izhstal than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Lada Togliatti - Izhstal Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lada won 3.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Izhstal could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Lada have a series of guest games.

In this match Lada is a favorite.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Lada won 13 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 51-23.

Including matches at home between the teams Lada won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 31-14.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Lada Togliatti
VHL
01.12.22	Rubin Tyumen - Lada Togliatti	3:4 penalties ✺
29.11.22	Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk - Lada Togliatti	2:1 OT ✺
27.11.22	Dinamo St. Petersburg - Lada Togliatti	4:2 ✺
25.11.22	SKA-VMF - Lada Togliatti	3:2 ✺
21.11.22	Lada Togliatti - SKA-VMF	5:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLLLW
- Izhstal Izhevsk
VHL
27.11.22	Izhstal - Rostov	4:3 OT ✺
25.11.22	Izhstal - Buran Voronezh	2:1 OT ✺
20.11.22	Rostov - Izhstal	3:0 ✺
18.11.22	Buran Voronezh - Izhstal	4:5 ✺
10.11.22	Izhstal - Lada Togliatti	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
10.11.22	Izhstal - Lada Togliatti	2:3 penalties
30.11.21	Izhstal - Lada Togliatti	1:5
16.11.21	Lada Togliatti - Izhstal	3:1
27.12.20	Lada Togliatti - Izhstal	2:3
24.10.20	Izhstal - Lada Togliatti	3:2
11.12.19	Lada Togliatti - Izhstal	4:1
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
27.08.19	Lada Togliatti - Izhstal	5:3

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