Match Info

RUSSIA: VHL

Date: 21 November 2022, Monday

Location: Lada Arena (Togliatti)


	Lada Togliatti		SKA-VMF

	1	X	2
	2	3.7	2.8
	2.06	3.72	2.91
	2	4.25	2.94	Watch
	2.07	3.85	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↑ (1.82)	3.88 ↓ (4.1)	2.89 ↓ (3.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lada Togliatti
44.9%

Draw
23.5%

SKA-VMF
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.2%

22.7%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.3%

21.4%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lada Togliatti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lada Togliatti's form might have worsened.

SKA-VMF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting SKA-VMF's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lada Togliatti than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lada Togliatti, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SKA-VMF than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for SKA-VMF, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Lada Togliatti - SKA VMF Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lada won 2.

Lada is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

SKA-Neva is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Lada will have a poor advantage in this game.

Our prediction for today's Lada to win the game is with odds 2.03.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Lada won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 37-39.

Including matches at home between the teams Lada won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 21-15.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Lada Togliatti
VHL
19.11.22	Lada Togliatti - Dinamo St. Petersburg	3:1 ✺
17.11.22	Lada Togliatti - Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk	4:3 ✺
15.11.22	Lada Togliatti - Rubin Tyumen	2:1 ✺
10.11.22	Izhstal - Lada Togliatti	2:3 penalties ✺
08.11.22	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Lada Togliatti	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WWWWL
- SKA-VMF St. Petersburg
VHL
19.11.22	Bars Kazan - SKA-VMF	4:5 penalties ✺
17.11.22	Zvezda Moscow - SKA-VMF	3:2 penalties ✺
15.11.22	AKM - SKA-VMF	6:2 ✺
09.11.22	SKA-VMF - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	0:5 ✺
07.11.22	SKA-VMF - Omskie Krylia	5:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
17.02.22	Lada Togliatti - SKA-VMF	2:1 OT
15.09.21	SKA-VMF - Lada Togliatti	3:0
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
17.08.21	SKA-VMF - Lada Togliatti	5:2
VHL
15.01.21	SKA-VMF - Lada Togliatti	1:2 OT
12.10.20	Lada Togliatti - SKA-VMF	2:3
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
19.08.20	SKA-VMF - Lada Togliatti	1:2 penalties
VHL
27.01.20	SKA-VMF - Lada Togliatti	2:0

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