Match Info

Date: 18 September 2022, Sunday

Location: Lada Arena (Togliatti)


	Lada Togliatti		Metallurg Novokuznetsk

	1	X	2
	2.13	4.15	2.74	Watch
	2.12	4.1	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.16)	4.13 ↑ (4)	2.75 ↓ (2.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lada Togliatti
43.7%

Draw
22.5%

Metallurg Novokuznetsk
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.3%

23.4%

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7%

21.5%

36.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lada Togliatti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Metallurg Novokuznetsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lada Togliatti than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metallurg Novokuznetsk than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Lada Togliatti - Metallurg Novokuznetsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lada won 3.

Recent matches Lada is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Metallurg Novokuznetsk is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recently Lada have a series of guest games.

Recently Metallurg Novokuznetsk have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Lada won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 43-50.

Including matches at home between the teams Lada won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 25-19.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Lada Togliatti
VHL
13.09.22	Omskie Krylia - Lada Togliatti	4:5 ✺
11.09.22	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Lada Togliatti	1:4 ✺
08.09.22	Sokol Krasnoyarsk - Lada Togliatti	5:2 ✺
06.09.22	Ermak Angarsk - Lada Togliatti	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
01.09.22	Lada Togliatti - CSK VVS Samara	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWLWL
- Metallurg Novokuznetsk
VHL
13.09.22	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Bars Kazan	4:3 penalties ✺
11.09.22	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Lada Togliatti	1:4 ✺
09.09.22	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Zvezda Moscow	5:2 ✺
06.09.22	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - AKM	6:4 ✺
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
29.08.22	Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	3:4 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
11.09.22	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Lada Togliatti	1:4
25.12.21	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Lada Togliatti	4:0
27.10.21	Lada Togliatti - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	3:2 OT
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
29.08.21	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Lada Togliatti	4:3
12.08.21	Lada Togliatti - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	3:1
VHL
02.12.20	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Lada Togliatti	3:4 OT
20.11.20	Lada Togliatti - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	4:3 penalties

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