Match Info

Extraleague

Date: 2 October 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished


	Baranovichy		Lokomotiv Orsha

	1	X	2
	3.55	4.45	1.77
	3.85	4.25	1.68	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.7 ↓ (3.87)	4.35 ↓ (5.4)	1.73 ↑ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Baranovichy
25%

Draw
21.3%

Lokomotiv Orsha
53.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

24.1%

17.3%

58.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.8%

17.1%

59.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Baranovichy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Lokomotiv Orsha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baranovichy than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotiv Orsha than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lokomotiv Orsha could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Baranovichy - Lokomotiv Orsha Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
30. Chayka T. (G)	35. Shpilev A. (G)
24. Kozich A.	24. Savelyev A.
22. Yaruta K.	4. Rogach D.
81. Khanas S.	8. Buiko V.
73. Krylovich I.	96. Ignatov K.
97. Kukharev A.	91. Rychkov I.
Line 2
46. Isaev A.	55. Burovtsev D.
15. Tatarenko K.	15. Garapuchik A.
10. Gapeyev D.	18. Paranin I.
26. Loy D.	29. Bylina G.
77. Astashevich A.	63. Voronov Y.
Line 3
27. Sirotin N.	73. Yerokho V.
45. Usovich Y.	7. Petrov I.
18. Crane T.	28. Sapelnikov Y.
33. Yaruta M.	9. Kashkar V.
96. Gavrus A.	17. Apanasevich V.
Line 4
44. Korobov Y.	16. Borozna T.
94. Anishchenko V.	27. Gilmanov A.
85. Shapurko S.	13. Silchenko I.
13. Ostrovsky O.	85. Pereguda A.
7. Logunov A.
Substitutes
92. Lushchik I. (G)	31. Karachun V. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
01:26, 1 - 0, Gapeyev D. (G), Loy D. (A), Isaev A. (A2)
2nd Period (5 - 1)
07:50, 2 - 0, Astashevich A. (G), Gapeyev D. (A), Tatarenko K. (A2)
10:43, 3 - 0, Khanas S. (G),
12:19, 3 - 1, Buiko V. (G), Bylina G. (A),
13:27, 4 - 1, Gapeyev D. (G), Kukharev A. (A), Tatarenko K. (A2)
17:04, 5 - 1, Ostrovsky O. (G),
19:34, 6 - 1, Gapeyev D. (G), Yaruta M. (A),
3rd Period (1 - 1)
16:00, 7 - 1, Loy D. (G), Astashevich A. (A),
18:59, 7 - 2, Gilmanov A. (G), Yerokho V. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Baranovichy won 1.

Both teams are currently in poor form.

In this match, Lokomotiv Orsha is considered a favorite.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Baranovichy won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 24:67. (average 1.3:3.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Baranovichy won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 12:35. (average 1.3:3.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HK Baranavichy
Belarusian Extraleague
30.09.25	Baranovichy - Lokomotiv Orsha	4:0 ✺
25.09.25	Slavutych Smolensk - Baranovichy	3:2 ✺
23.09.25	Slavutych Smolensk - Baranovichy	8:4 ✺
20.09.25	Baranovichy - Lida	1:3 ✺
18.09.25	Baranovichy - Lida	3:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WLLLL
- Lokomotiv Orsha
Belarusian Extraleague
30.09.25	Baranovichy - Lokomotiv Orsha	4:0 ✺
25.09.25	Lokomotiv Orsha - Mogilev	3:2 ✺
23.09.25	Lokomotiv Orsha - Mogilev	2:5 ✺
20.09.25	Shakhtyor Soligorsk - Lokomotiv Orsha	4:2 ✺
18.09.25	Shakhtyor Soligorsk - Lokomotiv Orsha	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Extraleague
30.09.25	Baranovichy - Lokomotiv Orsha	4:0
19.12.24	Baranovichy - Lokomotiv Orsha	1:2 penalties
17.12.24	Baranovichy - Lokomotiv Orsha	0:6
20.11.24	Lokomotiv Orsha - Baranovichy	2:1 OT
18.11.24	Lokomotiv Orsha - Baranovichy	2:1
25.03.21	Baranovichy - Lokomotiv Orsha	2:3
18.03.21	Lokomotiv Orsha - Baranovichy	4:2

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