The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lokomotiv Orsha 17%
Draw 19.1%
Shakhtyor Soligorsk 63.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
18.2%
19.4%
62.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
20.1%
21.5%
58.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lokomotiv Orsha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
Shakhtyor Soligorsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotiv Orsha than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shakhtyor Soligorsk than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Shakhtyor Soligorsk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Lokomotiv Orsha - Shakhtyor Soligorsk Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:4
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Lineups
Line 1
79. Burunov M.
37. Snytko A. (G)
71. Kamenkov M.
22. Yaruta K.
88. Petruchik R.
13. Grigorkevich D.
27. Kalmykov D.
47. Chizhikov Y.
10. Razvadovsky P.
88. Nesterov G.
16. Borozna T.
19. Ryadchenko V.
Line 2
96. Gordeichik M.
89. Korobov D.
73. Yerokho V.
82. Lyubchich A.
91. Matyushenko M.
77. Verenich N.
87. Savchenko N.
90. Sergeev A.
24. Makarov V.
11. Gumenyuk A.
Line 3
14. Ignatsky N.
24. Berezovsky Y.
8. Gavrilovich T.
18. Nikitin M.
74. Bovin K.
67. Buiko V.
12. Speshilov I.
33. Yaruta M.
89. Buinitsky A.
12. Azhgirei P.
Line 4
5. Raitsyn V.
29. Belko S.
92. Stakhov S.
51. Zhuk Y.
19. Litvin N.
99. Korzun G.
90. Kachan F.
26. Loy D.
9. Nozdrachev Y.
81. Ladutsko M.
Substitutes
31. Karachun V. (G)
31. Rudovich P. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 2)
03:37, 0 - 1, Ryadchenko V. (G), Chizhikov Y. (A), Lyubchich A. (A2)
04:17, 0 - 2, Verenich N. (G), Grigorkevich D. (A), Gumenyuk A. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 2)
14:25, 0 - 3, Loy D. (G),
18:38, 0 - 4, Ryadchenko V. (G), Chizhikov Y. (A), Nesterov G. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 3)
08:27, 0 - 5, Yaruta M. (G), Sergeev A. (A),
11:24, 1 - 5, Borozna T. (G), Nozdrachev Y. (A), Yerokho V. (A2)
17:16, 1 - 6, Verenich N. (G), Sergeev A. (A),
19:03, 1 - 7, Loy D. (G), Nesterov G. (A), Azhgirei P. (A2)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv Orsha won 0.
Lokomotiv Orsha has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Shakhtyor Soligorsk shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Lokomotiv Orsha could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Lokomotiv Orsha has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.
Shakhtyor Soligorsk carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Lokomotiv Orsha has recorded 4 wins, 0 draws, and 16 losses, with a goal aggregate of 41:65 (averaging 2.1:3.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Lokomotiv Orsha against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 10 losses, with 24:43 goals (averaging 2:3.6 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
3
Soligorsk
18
12
1
1
4
80:43
27
12
Lokomotiv Orsha
18
2
2
1
13
38:72
9
Last Results with these Odds
Lokomotiv Orsha - the odds 4.95 are the expected chance of winning is 18.21%, but this team recently wins 7% of matches with these odds.