The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lokomotiv Orsha 23.3%
Draw 22.4%
Yunost Minsk 54.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
26.1%
21.6%
52.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.7%
19.6%
47.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lokomotiv Orsha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
Yunost Minsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotiv Orsha than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lokomotiv Orsha, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yunost Minsk than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Yunost Minsk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Lokomotiv Orsha - Yunost Minsk Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Line 1
42. Malkov A. (G)
31. Zinovenko R. (G)
71. Kamenkov M.
5. Misyul D.
88. Petruchik R.
23. Parfenyuk N.
24. Makarov V.
11. Buyalsky Y.
10. Razvadovsky P.
17. Nechayev A.
16. Borozna T.
15. Pavlenko A.
Line 2
73. Yerokho V.
46. Dostanko R.
96. Gordeichik M.
89. Malysjev M.
89. Buinitsky A.
69. Nazarov I.
87. Savchenko N.
92. Rovba V.
27. Kalmykov D.
94. Nazarov D.
Line 3
21. Tolopilo M.
63. Nevera D.
8. Gavrilovich T.
74. Ponomaryov S.
91. Matyushenko M.
21. Bobrovskikh K.
12. Speshilov I.
27. Shidlovsky M.
9. Nozdrachev Y.
82. Khobyan D.
Line 4
14. Ignatsky N.
19. Gorolyov M.
97. Saglayev I.
75. Suvorov A.
19. Litvin N.
38. Ostrinsky A.
90. Kachan F.
22. Simonov A.
77. Shurinov I.
87. Shkaptsov G.
Substitutes
31. Karachun V. (G)
35. Parakhnevich D. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 1)
10:44, 0 - 1, Nazarov D. (G), Malysjev M. (A),
2nd Period (2 - 1)
05:13, 0 - 2, Ponomaryov S. (G), Khobyan D. (A),
13:24, 1 - 2, Savchenko N. (G), Matyushenko M. (A),
15:24, 2 - 2, Kalmykov D. (G), Matyushenko M. (A),
3rd Period (1 - 1)
07:10, 2 - 3, Bobrovskikh K. (G), Pavlenko A. (A),
19:16, 3 - 3, Kalmykov D. (G), Savchenko N. (A),
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (2 - 1)
1, Razvadovsky P. (Penalty Shot),
1, Nazarov I. (Penalty Shot),
2, Kalmykov D. (Penalty Shot),
2, Nazarov D. (Penalty Shot),
3, Savchenko N. (Penalty Shot),
3, Pavlenko A. (Penalty Shot),
4, Speshilov I. (Penalty Shot),
4, Nechayev A. (Penalty Shot),
5, Buinitsky A. (Penalty Shot),
5, Rovba V. (Penalty Shot),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv Orsha won 1.
Recent performances by Lokomotiv Orsha have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Yunost Minsk is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Recently, Yunost Minsk has had a series of away games.
In this match, Yunost Minsk is a strong favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv Orsha won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 33:49. (average 1.7:2.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Lokomotiv Orsha won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 15:28. (average 1.4:2.5).
Outrights of Belarusian Extraleague for now
Yunost Minsk: 1.99% Lokomotiv Orsha: 0.8%
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
12
Lokomotiv Orsha
11
1
2
1
7
27:46
7
13
Yunost Minsk
11
1
0
1
9
21:48
3
Last Results with these Odds
Lokomotiv Orsha - the odds 3.46 are the expected chance of winning is 26.08%, but this team recently wins 9% of matches with these odds.
Yunost Minsk - the odds 1.73 are the expected chance of winning is 52.31%, but this team recently wins 69% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Malkov A. (G) 
Zinovenko R. (G) 
Malysjev M. 
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