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Current Win Probability
Lokomotiv Yaroslavl 68.8%
Draw 16.8%
Amur Khabarovsk 14.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
71.3%
15.8%
12.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
71.3%
15.8%
12.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lokomotiv Yaroslavl has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
Amur Khabarovsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotiv Yaroslavl than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amur Khabarovsk than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
22.2%
77.8%
Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Amur Khabarovsk Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Amur will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Amur: 50.6% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Amur Khabarovsk will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:1
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Lineups
Line 1
92. Isayev D. (G)
39. Shaimardanov D. (G)
4. Yelesin A. (C)
73. Dyblenko Y.
5. Bereglazov A.
47. Mishchenko I. (A)
16. Kayumov A.
55. Galchenyuk A. (C)
78. Shalunov M.
25. Broadhurst A.
90. Polunin A.
90. Li O. (A)
Line 2
73. Cherepanov N.
92. Akmaldinov R.
28. Gernat M.
44. Yevseyev N.
70. Surin Y.
10. Likhachyov Y.
10. Ivanov G.
97. Korotkikh I.
47. Radulov A. (A)
71. Svechnikov Y.
Line 3
93. Misyul D.
17. Rykov Y.
87. Rafikov R. (A)
57. Voronkov Y.
7. Kiryanov N.
29. Slepets K.
51. Froese B.
26. Shvaryov A.
91. Alexeyev D.
12. Filatyev A.
Line 4
49. Ulyev M.
75. Sherstnev I.
72. Beryozkin M.
98. Petkov K.
63. Kraskovsky P.
85. Talaluyev I.
13. Nikulin S.
21. Urakov K.
Substitutes
27. Kuzin A.
60. Kobozev V. (G)
38. Melnichuk A. (G)
Coaches
. Hartley B.
. Andriyevsky A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 3)
01:15, 0 - 1, Svechnikov Y. (G), Korotkikh I. (A), Likhachyov Y. (A2)
05:03, 0 - 2, Dyblenko Y. (G), Filatyev A. (A), Slepets K. (A2)
05:37, 1 - 2, Beryozkin M. (G), Rafikov R. (A), Kraskovsky P. (A2)
15:37, 1 - 3, Likhachyov Y. (G), Svechnikov Y. (A), Korotkikh I. (A2)
19:26, Talaluyev I. (2 min),
2nd Period (1 - 2)
00:16, 2 - 3, Radulov A. (G), Rafikov R. (A), Polunin A. (A2)
03:15, 2 - 4, Broadhurst A. (G), Galchenyuk A. (A), Li O. (A2)
12:49, Akmaldinov R. (2 min),
17:40, 2 - 5, Petkov K. (G), Akmaldinov R. (A),
19:53, Kiryanov N. (2 min),
3rd Period (2 - 1)
00:01, Isayev D. ↓, Melnichuk A. ↑,
04:12, 3 - 5, Bereglazov A. (G), Radulov A. (A), Froese B. (A2)
05:44, Akmaldinov R. (2 min),
06:01, 4 - 5, Surin Y. (G), Rafikov R. (A), Nikulin S. (A2)
06:15, 4 - 6, Svechnikov Y. (G), Korotkikh I. (A), Likhachyov Y. (A2)
13:22, Urakov K. (2 min),
19:44, Broadhurst A. (2 min),
Preview
Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv won 5.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Amur may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Amur has had a series of home games.
In this match, Lokomotiv is the obvious favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv won 16 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 56:30. (average 2.8:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Lokomotiv won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 32:15. (average 2.9:1.4).