Match Info

KHL

Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Arena-2000 Lokomotiv (Yaroslavl)


	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl		Barys Astana

	1	X	2
	1.53	4.45	5.13
	1.51	4.40	5.05
	1.45	5.01	6.31	Watch
	1.45	4.80	5.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↑ (1.42)	4.67 ↓ (5.2)	5.52 ↓ (6.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lokomotiv Yaroslavl
63%

Draw
20.1%

Barys Astana
16.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.8%

18.2%

15%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.3%

19.2%

15.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lokomotiv Yaroslavl has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Barys Astana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotiv Yaroslavl than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barys Astana than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Barys Astana Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Lokomotiv will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Barys will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Barys (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Lineups

Line 1
38. Melnichuk A. (G)	43. Shutov A. (G)
99. Sergeyev A.	2. Massie J. (C)
87. Rafikov R. (A)	26. Day L.
70. Surin Y.	8. Bailey J.
47. Radulov A. (A)	11. Morelli M. (A)
10. Ivanov G.	14. Pilon G.
Line 2
5. Bereglazov A.	3. McCoshen I.
4. Yelesin A. (C)	71. Daniyar Sam. (A)
78. Shalunov M.	9. Thompson T.
17. Kotkov M.	13. Kaiyrzhan D.
13. Fiore G.	17. Omirbekov A.
Line 3
93. Misyul D.	4. Priskie C.
73. Cherepanov N.	91. Dikhanbek M.
91. Alexeyev D.	12. Logvin V.
90. Polunin A.	29. Lyapunov K.
9. Nikolayev I.	70. Simonov S.
Line 4
49. Ulyev M.	7. Britikov D.
41. Pustovoy A.	22. Panyukov K.
27. Kuzin A.	64. Shestakov A.
7. Kiryanov N.	77. Shaikhmeddenov A.
Substitutes
92. Isayev D. (G)	32. Shepard H. (G)
81. Romantsev D.
Coaches
. Kvartalnov D.	. Kravets M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 2)
01:38, Cherepanov N. (2 min),
03:04, Day L. (2 min),
15:10, 0 - 1, Massie J. (G), Pilon G. (A),
18:35, 0 - 2, Day L. (G), Simonov S. (A), Logvin V. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 2)
16:53, 0 - 3, Bailey J. (G), Pilon G. (A), Morelli M. (A2)
18:40, 0 - 4, Shaikhmeddenov A. (G), Shestakov A. (A), Massie J. (A2)
18:40, Melnichuk A. ↓, Isayev D. ↑,
3rd Period (0 - 1)
01:45, 0 - 5, Simonov S. (G), Dikhanbek M. (A), Priskie C. (A2)
08:33, Massie J. (2 min),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv won 3.

Lokomotiv is currently on a high with consecutive positive results (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Performances by Barys have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Barys could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this matchup, Lokomotiv is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Lokomotiv has recorded 14 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 67:37 (averaging 3.4:1.9 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Lokomotiv against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 32:23 goals (averaging 3.2:2.3 per game).

Outrights of KHL for now

Lokomotiv Yaroslavl: 24.42% Barys Astana: 0.77%

Last Results with these Odds

Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - the odds 1.42 are the expected chance of winning is 66.84%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Barys Astana - the odds 6.32 are the expected chance of winning is 14.98%, but this team recently wins 9% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lokomotiv Yaroslavl
KHL
18.09.26	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Avangard Omsk	2:1 ✺
15.09.26	Traktor Chelyabinsk - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	1:4 ✺
13.09.26	HC CSKA Moscow - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	2:3 ✺
10.09.26	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Severstal Cherepovets	2:1 OT ✺
08.09.26	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Shanghai Dragons	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WWWWW
- Barys Astana
KHL
18.09.26	Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Barys Astana	3:0 ✺
16.09.26	Lada Togliatti - Barys Astana	0:6 ✺
12.09.26	Barys Astana - Amur Khabarovsk	1:3 ✺
09.09.26	Barys Astana - Salavat Yulaev Ufa	8:6 ✺
07.09.26	Barys Astana - Sibir Novosibirsk	7:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

KHL
15.11.25	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Barys Astana	0:4
01.10.25	Barys Astana - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	1:5
19.01.25	Barys Astana - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	0:3
19.10.24	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Barys Astana	3:1
03.01.24	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Barys Astana	4:5 penalties
13.10.23	Barys Astana - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	0:6
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
21.08.23	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Barys Astana	1:2

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