Match Info

KHL - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 30 March 2026, Monday

Location: Megasport Arena (Moscow)


	Spartak Moscow		Lokomotiv Yaroslavl

	1	X	2
	3.7	4.1	1.9
	3.75	4.05	1.88	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.73 ↑ (3.48)	4.08 ↑ (3.94)	1.89 ↓ (2.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spartak Moscow
25.7%

Draw
23.5%

Lokomotiv Yaroslavl
50.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.9%

24.6%

47.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.9%

22.8%

51.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spartak Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Lokomotiv Yaroslavl has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spartak Moscow than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotiv Yaroslavl than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	16.7%	50%

Spartak Moscow - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Spartak will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Lokomotiv will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
40. Georgiyev A. (G)	92. Isayev D. (G)
62. Orlov D.	99. Sergeyev A.
55. Vishnevsky D.	87. Rafikov R. (A)
17. Morozov I.	47. Radulov A. (A)
13. Maltsev M.	10. Ivanov G.
24. Poryadin P. (A)	70. Surin Y.
Line 2
94. Mironov A. (C)	73. Cherepanov N.
89. Korolyov V.	28. Gernat M.
95. Rubtsov G. (A)	72. Beryozkin M.
87. Gutik D.	16. Kayumov A.
99. Filin Y.	78. Shalunov M.
Line 3
78. Bychkov R.	5. Bereglazov A.
48. Jaros C.	4. Yelesin A. (C)
35. Korostelev N.	14. Panik R.
20. Lockhart L.	7. Kiryanov N.
97. Kholodilin N.	91. Alexeyev D.
Line 4
65. Mansurov D.	93. Misyul D.
16. Pivchulin D.	49. Ulyev M.
98. Belyayev A.	63. Kraskovsky P.
	9. Nikolayev I.
	90. Polunin A.
Substitutes
50. Zagidulin A. (G)	38. Melnichuk A. (G)
Coaches
. Zhamnov A.	. Hartley B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
00:19, 0 - 1, Rafikov R. (G), Surin Y. (A), Sergeyev A. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
11:04, 0 - 2, Beryozkin M. (G), Kayumov A. (A),
3rd Period (0 - 0)
10:33, Nikolayev I. (2 min),
11:05, Poryadin P. (2 min),
13:32, (2 min),

Preview

Lokomotiv Yaroslavl leads series 2-1. Fourth leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Spartak won 1.

Spartak has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Lokomotiv has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Lokomotiv may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Lokomotiv is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Spartak won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 13 matches, and goals 48:58. (average 2.4:2.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Spartak won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 19:27. (average 1.9:2.7).

Outrights of KHL for now

Lokomotiv Yaroslavl: 16.47% Spartak Moscow: 3.46%

Last Results with these Odds

Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - the odds 2.04 are the expected chance of winning is 47.53%, but this team recently wins 54% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Spartak Moscow
KHL
28.03.26	Spartak Moscow - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	3:4 OT ✺
26.03.26	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Spartak Moscow	1:2 OT ✺
24.03.26	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Spartak Moscow	5:3 ✺
20.03.26	Spartak Moscow - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	2:3 penalties ✺
18.03.26	Spartak Moscow - HC CSKA Moscow	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LWLLL
- Lokomotiv Yaroslavl
KHL
28.03.26	Spartak Moscow - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	3:4 OT ✺
26.03.26	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Spartak Moscow	1:2 OT ✺
24.03.26	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Spartak Moscow	5:3 ✺
20.03.26	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Metallurg Magnitogorsk	4:1 ✺
15.03.26	Dinamo Minsk - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

KHL
28.03.26	Spartak Moscow - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	3:4 OT
26.03.26	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Spartak Moscow	1:2 OT
24.03.26	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Spartak Moscow	5:3
04.02.26	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Spartak Moscow	3:1
25.01.26	Spartak Moscow - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	2:3 OT
12.11.25	Spartak Moscow - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	3:6
06.11.25	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Spartak Moscow	5:2

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