Match Info

KHL

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Arena-2000 Lokomotiv (Yaroslavl) 🌤️ ...


	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl		Traktor Chelyabinsk

	1	X	2
	1.7	4.1	4.14
	1.67	4.1	4.1
	1.61	4.55	4.84	Watch
	1.61	4.4	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.88)	4.29 ↑ (4.1)	4.35 ↑ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lokomotiv Yaroslavl
56.7%

Draw
21.8%

Traktor Chelyabinsk
21.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

48.9%

22.4%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8%

22.9%

29.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lokomotiv Yaroslavl has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lokomotiv Yaroslavl's performance.

Traktor Chelyabinsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Traktor Chelyabinsk might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lokomotiv Yaroslavl than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lokomotiv Yaroslavl that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Traktor Chelyabinsk than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Traktor Chelyabinsk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	20%	10%

Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Traktor Chelyabinsk Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Lokomotiv will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Traktor will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lokomotiv: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
92. Isayev D. (G)	40. Haukeland H. (G)
4. Yelesin A. (C)	9. Valentsov V.
5. Bereglazov A.	2. Dronov G. (A)
72. Beryozkin M.	29. Legare N.
78. Shalunov M.	94. Grigorenko M. (C)
13. Fiore G.	12. Rykov A.
Line 2
99. Sergeyev A.	72. Telegin S.
87. Rafikov R. (A)	42. Yusupov V.
70. Surin Y.	45. Goryunov-Rolgizer M.
10. Ivanov G.	87. Svetlakov A. (A)
47. Radulov A. (A)	13. Katchouk B.
Line 3
73. Cherepanov N.	82. Pribylsky A.
93. Misyul D.	84. Vydrenkov I.
90. Polunin A.	10. Nizameyev A.
91. Alexeyev D.	11. Gorbunov S.
9. Nikolayev I.	90. Soshnikov N.
Line 4
41. Pustovoy A.	89. Fedoseyev Y.
17. Kotkov M.	7. Dzhioshvili M.
27. Kuzin A.	16. Shen A.
7. Kiryanov N.	33. Rykmanov A.
Substitutes
77. Falkovsky S.	70. Nikolayev D. (G)
38. Melnichuk A. (G)	25. Zharkov V.
Coaches
. Kvartalnov D.	. Gordon S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 0)
08:39, 1 - 0, Kotkov M. (G), Kiryanov N. (A), Kuzin A. (A2)
09:51, Fiore G. (2 min),
11:34, Soshnikov N. (2 min),
19:43, 2 - 0, Fiore G. (G), Yelesin A. (A), Bereglazov A. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
02:53, Kuzin A. (2 min),
07:27, Vydrenkov I. (2 min),
12:49, 2 - 1, Svetlakov A. (G), Goryunov-Rolgizer M. (A), Katchouk B. (A2)
14:26, Rykov A. (2 min),
17:39, 3 - 1, Shalunov M. (G), Beryozkin M. (A), Fiore G. (A2)
18:35, Grigorenko M. (2 min),
18:43, Dzhioshvili M. (2 min),
3rd Period (2 - 0)
00:30, 4 - 1, Beryozkin M. (G), Sergeyev A. (A), Rafikov R. (A2)
07:10, Shen A. (2 min),
07:56, 5 - 1, Surin Y. (G), Rafikov R. (A), Ivanov G. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv won 4.

Lokomotiv is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Traktor is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Traktor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Lokomotiv has had a series of home games.

Recently, Traktor has had a series of away games.

In this match, Lokomotiv is the team to beat.

We predict that Lokomotiv will win today's game, with odds of 1.74.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 59:35. (average 3:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Lokomotiv won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 24:14. (average 2.7:1.6).

Outrights of KHL for now

Lokomotiv Yaroslavl: 23.06% Tractor Chelyabinsk: 0.73%

Last Results with these Odds

Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - the odds 1.88 are the expected chance of winning is 48.87%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lokomotiv Yaroslavl
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
30.08.26	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Severstal Cherepovets	3:2 penalties ✺
29.08.26	Avangard Omsk - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	2:1 penalties ✺
27.08.26	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Sibir Novosibirsk	5:2 ✺
26.08.26	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	4:2 ✺
21.08.26	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Severstal Cherepovets	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLWWW
- Traktor Chelyabinsk
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
29.08.26	Lada Togliatti - Traktor Chelyabinsk	3:1 ✺
27.08.26	Traktor Chelyabinsk - Amur Khabarovsk	3:2 penalties ✺
27.08.26	Salavat Yulaev Ufa - Traktor Chelyabinsk	Canceled
26.08.26	Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Traktor Chelyabinsk	3:1 ✺
26.08.26	Amur Khabarovsk - Traktor Chelyabinsk	Canceled
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LW?L?

Latest Head to Head

KHL
11.10.25	Traktor Chelyabinsk - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	3:1
05.09.25	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Traktor Chelyabinsk	2:1 penalties
21.05.25	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Traktor Chelyabinsk	2:1 OT
19.05.25	Traktor Chelyabinsk - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	1:3
17.05.25	Traktor Chelyabinsk - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	2:5
15.05.25	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Traktor Chelyabinsk	4:1
13.05.25	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Traktor Chelyabinsk	1:2

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