Match Info

NHL

Date: 1 January 2026, Thursday

Location: Crypto.com Arena (Los Angeles, CA)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	NHL.tv
Iceland	Viaplay
Mexico	Sky Sport
Norway	Viaplay
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	DAZN, Premier Sports 1
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	NHL.tv


	Los Angeles Kings		Tampa Bay Lightning

	1	X	2
	2.25	4	2.75	Watch
	2.35	4.08	2.62
	2.31	4.22	2.61	Watch
	2.38	4	2.63
	2.37	4.4	2.62
	2.35	4	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↓ (2.5)	4.12 ↓ (4.4)	2.64 ↑ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Los Angeles Kings
40.8%

Draw
23.1%

Tampa Bay Lightning
36.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.8%

22.1%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8%

21.5%

40.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Los Angeles Kings has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Tampa Bay Lightning has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Los Angeles Kings than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tampa Bay Lightning than the current prediction. (+4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	8.3%	66.7%

Los Angeles Kings - Tampa Bay Lightning Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Los Angeles will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Tampa Bay will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tampa Bay: 35.2% – 92%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Los Angeles (votes: 1 - 50%). Tampa Bay (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS, 1st Period - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
35. Kuemper D. (G)	31. Johansson J. (G)
8. Doughty D. (A)	43. Raddysh D.
44. Anderson M.	90. Moser J.J.
9. Kempe A. (A)	86. Kucherov N. (A)
11. Kopitar A. (C)	21. Point B.
14. Laferriere A.	93. Goncalves G.
Line 2
92. Clarke B.	81. Cernak E.
6. Edmundson J.	51. D'Astous C.
40. Armia J.	59. Guentzel J. (A)
55. Byfield Q.	71. Cirelli A. (A)
37. Foegele W.	38. Hagel B.
Line 3
5. Ceci C.	24. Crozier M.
2. Dumoulin B.	67. Carlile D.
96. Kuzmenko A.	28. Girgensons Z.
15. Turcotte A.	37. Gourde Y.
22. Fiala K.	29. Holmberg P.
Line 4
10. Perry C.	22. Bjorkstrand O.
79. Helenius S.	17. James D.
39. Malott J.	20. Paul N.
Substitutes
31. Forsberg A. (G)	88. Vasilevski A. (G)
Coaches
. Hiller J.	. Cooper J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 1)
02:52, Kopitar A. (2 min),
03:34, 0 - 1, Point B. (G), Guentzel J. (A), Kucherov N. (A2)
04:43, 1 - 1, Malott J. (G), Perry C. (A),
05:43, Crozier M. (2 min),
06:14, 2 - 1, Kuzmenko A. (G), Perry C. (A), Fiala K. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
14:12, Carlile D. (2 min),
18:07, 2 - 2, Point B. (G), Raddysh D. (A), Moser J.J. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 3)
00:58, Raddysh D. (2 min),
01:38, 3 - 2, Fiala K. (G), Perry C. (A), Kuzmenko A. (A2)
05:33, Doughty D. (2 min),
16:41, 3 - 3, Cirelli A. (G), Hagel B. (A), Kucherov N. (A2)
18:19, 3 - 4, Goncalves G. (G), Cirelli A. (A),
19:15, 3 - 5, Kucherov N. (G), Raddysh D. (A), Hagel B. (A2)

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Los Angeles won 3.

Los Angeles has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Tampa Bay is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Los Angeles may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Tampa Bay: Hedman V. (Elbow Injury) Lilleberg E. (Injury) Sabourin S. (Head Injury)

There are questionable in Tampa Bay: McDonagh R. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Los Angeles won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 45:66. (average 2.3:3.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Los Angeles won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 27:32. (average 2.7:3.2).

Outrights of NHL for now

Tampa Bay Lightning: 6.22% Los Angeles Kings: 2.45%

Last Results with these Odds

Tampa Bay Lightning - the odds 2.48 are the expected chance of winning is 39.13%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Los Angeles Kings
NHL
29.12.25	Colorado Avalanche - Los Angeles Kings	5:2 ✺
27.12.25	Los Angeles Kings - Anaheim Ducks	6:1 ✺
23.12.25	Los Angeles Kings - Seattle Kraken	2:3 ✺
22.12.25	Los Angeles Kings - Columbus Blue Jackets	1:3 ✺
18.12.25	Tampa Bay Lightning - Los Angeles Kings	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWLLW
- Tampa Bay Lightning
NHL
31.12.25	Anaheim Ducks - Tampa Bay Lightning	3:4 OT ✺
28.12.25	Tampa Bay Lightning - Montreal Canadiens	5:4 penalties ✺
27.12.25	Florida Panthers - Tampa Bay Lightning	2:4 ✺
22.12.25	Tampa Bay Lightning - St. Louis Blues	4:1 ✺
20.12.25	Tampa Bay Lightning - Carolina Hurricanes	6:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

NHL
18.12.25	Tampa Bay Lightning - Los Angeles Kings	1:2
30.01.25	Tampa Bay Lightning - Los Angeles Kings	3:0
04.01.25	Los Angeles Kings - Tampa Bay Lightning	2:1
23.03.24	Los Angeles Kings - Tampa Bay Lightning	4:3 OT
09.01.24	Tampa Bay Lightning - Los Angeles Kings	3:2 OT
28.01.23	Tampa Bay Lightning - Los Angeles Kings	5:2
25.10.22	Los Angeles Kings - Tampa Bay Lightning	4:2

Los Angeles Kings - Tampa Bay Lightning: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide