Match Info
LiigaDate: 5 September 2026, SaturdayLocation: Kivikylan Areena (Rauma)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
Sweden | TV4 Play |
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Lukko |
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Jokerit |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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1.96 |
4.25 |
3.00 |
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 |
1.95 |
4.10 |
3.10 |
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 |
2.15 |
3.95 |
2.88 |
Watch |
 |
2.05 |
3.71 |
3.18 |
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 |
2.03 |
3.86 |
3.2 |
Watch |
 |
2.02 |
3.65 |
3.10 |
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 |
2.01 |
4.25 |
3.03 |
Watch |
 |
2.00 |
4.00 |
3.00 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.02 ↑ (1.96) |
3.97 ↓ (4.18) |
3.06 ↑ (3) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
- The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Lukko 46.1% | Draw 23.5% | Jokerit 30.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lukko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)Jokerit has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lukko than the current prediction. (+4.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jokerit than the current prediction. (-1.9%)Lukko - Jokerit Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2 
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Lineups
| Line 1 |
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30. Salonen D. (G)
| 31. Eriksson Ek O. (G)
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9. Stenqvist J.
| 4. Caito M.
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27. Seppala P.
| 53. Elorinne A. (A)
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87. Saarela A. (A)
| 7. Fortier M.
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93. Ruohomaa M. (A)
| 28. Nikkanen H.
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18. Liedes H. (C)
| 71. Curry P. (A)
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| Line 2 |
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34. Viitasalo N.
| 98. Larsen O.
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43. Valila A.
| 55. Pulli V.
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16. Beaucage A.
| 21. Kalapudas A.
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91. Robert F.
| 22. Forslund A.
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25. Saarela A.
| 77. Turunen T.
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| Line 3 |
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96. Harpur C.
| 43. Krogdahl M.
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56. Olsson A.
| 12. Tumanovs M.
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24. Krannila J.
| 82. Tuulola E.
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29. Vanninen A.
| 26. Pitkanen K.
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90. Hamalainen L.
| 25. Kuusla E.
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| Line 4 |
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15. Tukiainen J.
| 41. Manninen O.
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48. Ikonen H.
| 47. Forsblom S.
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75. Virtanen S.
| 14. Liuksiala J.
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47. Haapanen T.
| 92. Mustonen A.
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| 33. Hannikainen M. (C)
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| Substitutes |
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32. Raanta A. (G)
| 30. Vehvilainen V. (G)
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23. Trakht D.
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| Coaches |
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. Lamsa T.
| . Valtonen T.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Period (1 - 0)
- 01:20, Valila A. (2 min),
- 03:27, Haapanen T. (2 min),
- 13:10, 1 - 0, Liedes H. (G), Ruohomaa M. (A), Krannila J. (A2)
- 13:43, Virtanen S. (2 min),
- 2nd Period (4 - 0)
- 00:55, 2 - 0, Saarela A. (G), Beaucage A. (A), Robert F. (A2)
- 04:46, 3 - 0, Haapanen T. (G), Virtanen S. (A),
- 06:19, Forsblom S. (2 min),
- 06:55, 4 - 0, Beaucage A. (G), Stenqvist J. (A), Trakht D. (A2)
- 08:52, 5 - 0, Virtanen S. (G), Ikonen H. (A), Tukiainen J. (A2)
- 08:52, Eriksson Ek O. ↓, Vehvilainen V. ↑,
- 13:42, Tuulola E. (2 min),
- 17:31, Tukiainen J. (2 min),
- 17:31, Curry P. (2 min),
- 3rd Period (2 - 2)
- 00:57, 6 - 0, Robert F. (G), Beaucage A. (A), Saarela A. (A2)
- 01:03, Tuulola E. (2 min),
- 03:26, Viitasalo N. (2 min),
- 04:57, 6 - 1, Tuulola E. (G), Turunen T. (A), Kuusla E. (A2)
- 09:56, Harpur C. (2 min),
- 16:28, 7 - 1, Trakht D. (G), Stenqvist J. (A), Seppala P. (A2)
- 18:46, 7 - 2, Nikkanen H. (G), Kuusla E. (A), Fortier M. (A2)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lukko won 5.Lukko has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).Jokerit has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).Recently, Lukko has had a series of away games. Lukko is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Lukko won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 34:35. (average 1.9:1.9).Including home matches between the teams, Lukko won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 20:11. (average 2.5:1.4).
Outrights of Finnish SM-liiga for now
Jokerit: 3.64%
Standings
| | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
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| 6 | Lukko | 11 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 29:23 | 20 |
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| 16 | Jokerit | 13 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 25:42 | 10 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Lukko - the odds 1.96 are the expected chance of winning is 47.11%, but this team recently wins 58% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Finnish Pitsiturnaus | | | 01.08.25 | Jokerit - Lukko | 0:1 | | 04.08.23 | Jokerit - Lukko | 0:2 | | Finnish SM-liiga | | | 14.01.14 | Lukko - Jokerit | 3:1 | | 04.12.13 | Jokerit - Lukko | 0:1 | | 22.11.13 | Lukko - Jokerit | 2:1 OT | | 26.09.13 | Jokerit - Lukko | 2:1 penalties | | 14.09.13 | Lukko - Jokerit | 2:1 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;