Match Info

Liiga

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Veikkaus Arena (Helsinki)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	MTV Katsomo+
Sweden	TV4 Play


	Jokerit		Tappara

	1	X	2
	3.00	4.50	1.91
	2.95	4.10	2.00
	3.10	3.90	2.05	Watch
	3.11	3.84	2.04
	3.15	4.15	1.98	Watch
	3.05	3.80	2.01
	3.05	4.25	2.00	Watch
	3.00	4.00	2.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.05 ↓ (3.06)	4.07 ↓ (4.4)	2 ↑ (1.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jokerit
30.5%

Draw
22.9%

Tappara
46.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.5%

21.2%

48.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7%

22.1%

46.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Jokerit have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Tappara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jokerit than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tappara than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Jokerit - Tappara Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
32. Karhunen T. (G)	30. Heljanko C. (G)
4. Caito M.	26. Mattila Je.
53. Elorinne A. (A)	23. Jokipakka J.
21. Kalapudas A.	88. Blichfeld J.
28. Nikkanen H.	22. Rasanen A. (A)
25. Kuusla E.	21. Lindqvist M.
Line 2
43. Krogdahl M.	72. Kulonummi K.
52. Tuomola R.	38. Almari N.
7. Fortier M.	11. Simontaival K.
71. Curry P. (A)	89. Suvanto O.
92. Mustonen A.	25. Haapala H.
Line 3
98. Larsen O.	63. Tuulola J. (A)
55. Pulli V.	33. Strandell O.
82. Tuulola E.	28. Wia W.
22. Forslund A.	42. Rauhala O. (C)
74. Henriksson J.	17. Pavel O.
Line 4
41. Manninen O.	5. Rasanen I.
12. Tumanovs M.	41. Nykanen J.
29. Kallio B.	40. Sallinen T.
11. Virta P.	87. Fabre D.
33. Hannikainen M. (C)
Substitutes
35. Selin L. (G)	32. Hovinen N. (G)
	94. Vanhatalo V.
Coaches
. Valtonen T.	. Jalonen K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 3)
02:35, 0 - 1, Jokipakka J. (G), Haapala H. (A), Simontaival K. (A2)
03:37, 0 - 2, Almari N. (G), Rasanen A. (A), Strandell O. (A2)
05:40, Curry P. (2 min),
08:38, 0 - 3, Sallinen T. (G), Haapala H. (A), Fabre D. (A2)
16:58, Fabre D. (2 min),
2nd Period (0 - 2)
00:54, 0 - 4, Suvanto O. (G), Simontaival K. (A), Haapala H. (A2)
08:18, Nykanen J. (2 min),
15:25, 0 - 5, Strandell O. (G), Lindqvist M. (A), Blichfeld J. (A2)
15:50, Krogdahl M. (2 min),
17:55, Fabre D. (2 min),
3rd Period (0 - 1)
00:19, Suvanto O. (2 min),
02:45, Virta P. (2 min),
07:01, 0 - 6, Nykanen J. (G), Fabre D. (A), Sallinen T. (A2)
08:27, Suvanto O. (2 min),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jokerit won 3.

Jokerit is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Tappara has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Jokerit could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Both teams have recently been through a demanding run of away matches.

Tappara is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, Jokerit has recorded 9 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 33:27 (averaging 2.5:2.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Jokerit against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 16:13 goals (averaging 2.3:1.9 per game).

Outrights of Finnish SM-liiga for now

Tappara: 25.24% Jokerit: 3.58%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
9	Tappara	10	5	1	0	4	28:21	17
16	Jokerit	12	2	1	2	7	25:39	10

Last Results with these Odds

Tappara - the odds 1.94 are the expected chance of winning is 48.26%, but this team recently wins 62% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jokerit hockey
Finnish SM-liiga
17.09.26	Jokerit - JYP	2:4 ✺
09.09.26	Ässät - Jokerit	3:2 ✺
05.09.26	Lukko - Jokerit	7:2 ✺
01.09.26	Vaasan Sport - Jokerit	5:4 penalties ✺
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
25.08.26	TPS - Jokerit	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Tappara hockey
Finnish SM-liiga
17.09.26	TPS - Tappara	4:0 ✺
15.09.26	Pelicans - Tappara	2:3 ✺
Champions League Ice Hockey
13.09.26	Rögle - Tappara	4:0 ✺
11.09.26	Växjö Lakers - Tappara	1:2 ✺
05.09.26	Tappara - Kölner Haie	4:5 AET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly Ice Hockey
19.08.26	Jokerit - Tappara	4:3 penalties
22.08.25	Tappara - Jokerit	3:2
Finnish SM-liiga
06.03.14	Tappara - Jokerit	3:4 penalties
30.12.13	Jokerit - Tappara	1:2 penalties
29.10.13	Jokerit - Tappara	4:1
27.09.13	Tappara - Jokerit	1:2
31.01.13	Tappara - Jokerit	2:3

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