Match Info

VHL

Date: 30 September 2026, Wednesday


	Yuzhny Ural Orsk		Bars Kazan

	1	X	2
	1.88	3.52	3.08
	1.84	3.45	3.00
	2.18	3.89	2.83	Watch
	2.04	3.85	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.31)	3.68 ↓ (3.95)	2.97 ↑ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yuzhny Ural Orsk
45.3%

Draw
24.4%

Bars Kazan
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.4%

23.6%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

25.2%

38.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yuzhny Ural Orsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Bars Kazan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bars Kazan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yuzhny Ural Orsk than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Yuzhny Ural Orsk that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bars Kazan than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bars Kazan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Bars Kazan Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Yuzhny Ural will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Yuzhny Ural (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
91. Pastukh V. (G)	70. Konovalov M. (G)
93. Zhurakov D.	24. Bogatov N. (A)
15. Puchkov Y.	39. Almetkin V.
9. Ugolnikov I.	17. Gizatullin D.
19. Suslov K. (A)	9. Alshevsky S. (A)
55. Grebenshchikov S.	71. Shiksatdarov I.
Line 2
18. Alexeyev D.	53. Makhmutov A.
52. Vasin I.	18. Abrosimov R.
74. Lapshin I.	90. Ibragimov T.
76. Boychuk D. (A)	98. Saberzyanov M.
7. Gimatov E. (C)	93. Barsukov I.
Line 3
77. Salikov G.	62. Naumov G.
88. Safonov I.	76. Nikitin K.
80. Nikolenko L.	41. Klimkin I.
13. Bryntsev M.	28. Golubev D. (C)
82. Nizovkin M.	23. Zinovyev D.
Line 4
65. Zotov F.	84. Safin A.
16. Skobelev P.	16. Toporkov V.
79. Timashev I.	96. Andreyev Y.
71. Beizak S.	55. Sherstnyov D.
	10. Gayev V.
Substitutes
31. Kuzmaul K. (G)	80. Chibizov A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 0)
03:47, 1 - 0, Grebenshchikov S. (G), Safonov I. (A), Ugolnikov I. (A2)
11:17, 2 - 0, Ugolnikov I. (G), Suslov K. (A),
2nd Period (2 - 0)
05:49, 3 - 0, Boychuk D. (G), Lapshin I. (A),
16:11, 4 - 0, Ugolnikov I. (G), Vasin I. (A), Puchkov Y. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Yuzhny Ural won 2.

Yuzhny Ural has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Bars has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Yuzhny Ural may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Bars has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

Our forecast points to a victory for Yuzhny Ural in today's match, at odds of 2.14.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Yuzhny Ural has recorded 9 wins, 0 draws, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 47:52 (averaging 2.4:2.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Yuzhny Ural against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 16:19 goals (averaging 2.3:2.7 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
9	Orsk	11	5	2	3	1	33:21	17
16	Bars	13	6	0	1	6	30:42	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yuzhny Ural Orsk
VHL
28.09.26	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	2:1 ✺
26.09.26	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - CSK VVS Samara	3:0 ✺
20.09.26	Khimik - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	4:5 AET ✺
18.09.26	Zvezda Moscow - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	3:2 penalties ✺
16.09.26	Dinamo St. Petersburg - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	0:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.5 WWWLW
- HC Bars Kazan
VHL
25.09.26	Bars Kazan - Molot Perm	0:4 ✺
23.09.26	Bars Kazan - Toros Neftekamsk	1:3 ✺
20.09.26	Bars Kazan - Izhstal	4:3 ✺
18.09.26	Bars Kazan - Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk	5:4 ✺
13.09.26	Kristall Saratov - Bars Kazan	7:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
19.02.26	Bars Kazan - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	4:1
25.09.25	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Bars Kazan	1:4
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
26.08.25	Bars Kazan - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	2:1 penalties
VHL
19.12.24	Bars Kazan - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	2:5
09.12.24	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Bars Kazan	2:1 penalties
26.11.23	Bars Kazan - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	6:2
16.11.23	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Bars Kazan	3:1

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