Match Info

VHL

Date: 25 September 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Sports Sarae (Kazan) 🌤️ ...


	Bars Kazan		Molot Perm

	1	X	2
	2.84	3.38	2.04
	2.75	3.30	2.00
	2.92	3.84	2.15	Watch
	2.70	3.75	2.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↑ (2.32)	3.57 ↓ (3.9)	2.1 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bars Kazan
32%

Draw
25.2%

Molot Perm
42.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.2%

23.9%

35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

25.8%

33.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bars Kazan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bars Kazan's form might have worsened.

Molot Perm has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Molot Perm's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bars Kazan than the current prediction. (+11.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bars Kazan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Molot Perm than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Molot Perm, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	50%	50%

Bars Kazan - Molot Perm Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Molot will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Molot (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
80. Chibizov A. (G)	40. Gorshkov Y. (G)
24. Bogatov N. (A)	12. Glukhov N. (C)
18. Abrosimov R.	91. Zilev L.
17. Gizatullin D.	87. Kolesnikov N.
9. Alshevsky S. (A)	10. Plastinin V. (A)
71. Shiksatdarov I.	81. Galimzyanov R.
Line 2
76. Nikitin K.	25. Shaborshin G.
39. Almetkin V.	16. Averin N. (A)
90. Ibragimov T.	34. Mikhasyonok V.
98. Saberzyanov M.	97. Opalev R.
64. Gazizov R.	72. Luttsev R.
Line 3
53. Makhmutov A.	42. Chaly G.
62. Naumov G.	39. Zimin N.
41. Klimkin I.	11. Lapin D.
28. Golubev D. (C)	71. Kolesnikov Y.
23. Zinovyev D.	22. Sinyavsky P.
Line 4
84. Safin A.	77. Belyakov F.
6. Gatiyatulin I.	95. Shlykov V.
93. Barsukov I.	13. Yabelov D.
55. Sherstnyov D.	18. Shcherbakov P.
10. Gayev V.
Substitutes
70. Konovalov M. (G)	74. Meshkovsky G. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
16:51, 0 - 1, Kolesnikov N. (G), Galimzyanov R. (A), Plastinin V. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 2)
02:37, 0 - 2, Shcherbakov P. (G), Yabelov D. (A), Glukhov N. (A2)
03:49, 0 - 3, Lapin D. (G), Kolesnikov Y. (A),
3rd Period (0 - 1)
16:34, 0 - 4, Chaly G. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bars won 0.

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Molot could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Bars has recorded 9 wins, 0 draws, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 47:44 (averaging 2.4:2.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Bars against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with 27:25 goals (averaging 2.5:2.3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
8	Perm	16	9	2	0	5	45:27	22
16	Bars	17	9	0	1	7	42:52	19

Last Results with these Odds

Molot Perm - the odds 2.6 are the expected chance of winning is 35.88%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Bars Kazan
VHL
23.09.26	Bars Kazan - Toros Neftekamsk	1:3 ✺
20.09.26	Bars Kazan - Izhstal	4:3 ✺
18.09.26	Bars Kazan - Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk	5:4 ✺
13.09.26	Kristall Saratov - Bars Kazan	7:4 ✺
11.09.26	Dizel Penza - Bars Kazan	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LWWLW
- HC Molot Perm
VHL
23.09.26	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Molot Perm	2:1 ✺
21.09.26	CSK VVS Samara - Molot Perm	6:4 ✺
15.09.26	Molot Perm - Khimik	2:1 OT ✺
13.09.26	Molot Perm - Zvezda Moscow	2:1 ✺
11.09.26	Molot Perm - Dinamo St. Petersburg	6:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
07.02.26	Molot Perm - Bars Kazan	3:0
08.10.25	Bars Kazan - Molot Perm	0:1 penalties
19.01.25	Bars Kazan - Molot Perm	2:5
01.11.24	Molot Perm - Bars Kazan	4:3 OT
17.01.24	Bars Kazan - Molot Perm	0:1
04.10.23	Molot Perm - Bars Kazan	3:2
09.12.22	Bars Kazan - Molot Perm	3:4 OT

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