Match Info

AHL

Date: 26 November 2025, Wednesday

Location: Canada Life Centre (Winnipeg, MB)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	Flohockey


	Manitoba Moose		Belleville Senators

	1	X	2
	2.4	4	2.25	Watch
	2.5	4	2.34	Watch
	2.48	3.87	2.36
	2.87	4.09	2.07	Watch
	2.51	4.02	2.37	Watch
	2.4	4	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↑ (2.35)	4 ↑ (3.85)	2.27 ↓ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Manitoba Moose
36.4%

Draw
23%

Belleville Senators
40.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38%

23.2%

38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1%

18.3%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manitoba Moose has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Belleville Senators has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manitoba Moose than the current prediction. (+11.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Manitoba Moose, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Belleville Senators than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Belleville Senators, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	60%	20%

Manitoba Moose - Belleville Senators Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Manitoba will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Belleville will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Manitoba (2.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Manitoba (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
50. DiVincentiis D. (G)	31. Parsons J. (G)
28. Anderson-Dolan J.	13. Bourgault X.
39. Barlow C.	18. Chiasson J.
2. Bauer T.	4. Crotty C.
19. Chibrikov N.	10. Daoust P.
56. Clague K.	11. Donovan J.
34. Di Giuseppe P.	8. Duarte M.
7. Duehr W.	48. Gilbert D.
16. Fagemo S.	14. Harrington S. (A)
25. Ford P.	39. Hookey L.
15. Frisch E.	24. Jenik J.
27. Gustafsson D.	43. Kaliyev A.
14. Heinola V.	15. Lycksell O.
13. Lambert B.	32. Pettersson O.
3. Phillips I.	22. Pilon G. (C)
6. Sautner A.	19. Rees J.
18. Shaw M.	33. Thomson L.
29. Yager B.	27. Washkurak K. (A)
17. Zhilkin D.	26. Yakemchuk C.
Substitutes
30. Poulter I. (G)	40. Sogaard M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (4 - 0)
01:54, 1 - 0, Shaw M. (G), Duehr W. (A), Gustafsson D. (A2)
11:05, 2 - 0, Anderson-Dolan J. (G), Shaw M. (A), Ford P. (A2)
18:24, 3 - 0, Lambert B. (G), Heinola V. (A), Barlow C. (A2)
18:45, 4 - 0, Fagemo S. (G), Clague K. (A), Duehr W. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 1)
00:56, 4 - 1, Lycksell O. (G), Kaliyev A. (A), Gilbert D. (A2)
05:29, 5 - 1, Fagemo S. (G),

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ))

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Manitoba won 1.

Manitoba is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Belleville has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Belleville may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Belleville has had a series of away games.

Belleville is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Manitoba won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 52:63. (average 2.6:3.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Manitoba won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 28:29. (average 3.1:3.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Manitoba Moose - the odds 2.35 are the expected chance of winning is 37.99%, but this team recently wins 28% of matches with these odds.

Belleville Senators - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 38.82%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Manitoba Moose
AHL
25.11.25	Manitoba Moose - Belleville Senators	2:5 ✺
22.11.25	Manitoba Moose - Chicago Wolves	3:2 ✺
20.11.25	Manitoba Moose - Chicago Wolves	2:1 ✺
15.11.25	Rockford IceHogs - Manitoba Moose	2:5 ✺
14.11.25	Milwaukee Admirals - Manitoba Moose	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 LWWWW
- Belleville Senators
AHL
25.11.25	Manitoba Moose - Belleville Senators	2:5 ✺
22.11.25	Laval Rocket - Belleville Senators	7:2 ✺
21.11.25	Laval Rocket - Belleville Senators	4:3 OT ✺
19.11.25	Belleville Senators - Toronto Marlies	4:0 ✺
15.11.25	Syracuse Crunch - Belleville Senators	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

AHL
25.11.25	Manitoba Moose - Belleville Senators	2:5
28.02.25	Belleville Senators - Manitoba Moose	5:3
26.02.25	Belleville Senators - Manitoba Moose	2:3 OT
07.12.24	Manitoba Moose - Belleville Senators	3:4 penalties
06.12.24	Manitoba Moose - Belleville Senators	3:6
10.01.24	Belleville Senators - Manitoba Moose	4:0
07.01.24	Manitoba Moose - Belleville Senators	1:2

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