The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Metallurg Magnitogorsk 49.6%
Draw 22.7%
Dinamo Minsk 27.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.4%
22.5%
29.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.8%
23.8%
30.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Metallurg Magnitogorsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
Dinamo Minsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metallurg Magnitogorsk than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dinamo Minsk than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Dinamo Minsk Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
20. Smolin A. (G)
60. Fucale Z. (G)
21. Press R.
10. Meloche N.
85. Maklyukov A. (C)
5. Hamilton R.
14. Silantyev D.
7. Anas S. (A)
8. Kantserov R.
81. Pinchuk V.
19. Tkachev V. (A)
12. Limoges A.
Line 2
9. Orekhov V.
38. Voronov P.
44. Yakovlev Y.
24. Smith T.
28. Tolchinsky S.
41. Voronin K.
26. Barach D.
9. Lipsky D.
29. Vovchenko D.
67. Borikov Y.
Line 3
72. Minulin A.
44. Dietz D.
56. Khabarov M.
18. Khenkel K. (A)
31. Petunin A.
97. Galiyev S.
22. Iskhakov R.
23. Stas A. (C)
11. Mikhailis N.
14. Kuznetsov S.
Line 4
87. Palivko D.
33. Lyle B.
94. Korobkin Y.
58. Salygo N.
47. Johnson L. (A)
80. Usov I.
84. Fyodorov M.
91. Pyshkaylo N.
Substitutes
39. Kozlov A.
94. Demchenko V. (G)
30. Nabokov I. (G)
56. Karaban Y.
Coaches
. Razin A.
. Kvartalnov D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (2 - 0)
06:57, 1 - 0, Tkachev V. (G), Silantyev D. (A),
11:01, Meloche N. (2 min),
15:54, Usov I. (2 min),
19:25, Voronin K. (2 min),
19:38, 2 - 0, Vovchenko D. (G), Petunin A. (A), Press R. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
00:18, Meloche N. (2 min),
05:45, 2 - 1, Pinchuk V. (G),
07:10, Voronov P. (2 min),
10:01, Mikhailis N. (2 min),
11:38, Kuznetsov S. (2 min),
14:00, Kuznetsov S. (5 min),
18:00, 3 - 1, Kantserov R. (G), Tkachev V. (A),
3rd Period (2 - 3)
05:29, Iskhakov R. (2 min),
07:31, 3 - 2, Pinchuk V. (G), Usov I. (A), Smith T. (A2)
12:35, Orekhov V. (2 min),
12:44, 4 - 2, Iskhakov R. (G), Tolchinsky S. (A),
13:34, 5 - 2, Tolchinsky S. (G), Iskhakov R. (A),
16:43, 5 - 3, Galiyev S. (G), Salygo N. (A), Stas A. (A2)
19:10, 5 - 4, Galiyev S. (G), Dietz D. (A), Anas S. (A2)
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Metallurg M won 5.
Metallurg M is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Dinamo Minsk's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Dinamo Minsk may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Metallurg M is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
We predict that Metallurg M will win today's game, with odds of 1.98.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Metallurg M won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 63:44. (average 3.2:2.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Metallurg M won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 34:20. (average 3.8:2.2).
Outrights of KHL for now
Dinamo Minsk: 3.46%
Last Results with these Odds
Metallurg Magnitogorsk - the odds 1.95 are the expected chance of winning is 48.43%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.
Dinamo Minsk - the odds 3.24 are the expected chance of winning is 29.12%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Smolin A. (G) 
Fucale Z. (G) 
Press R. 
Anas S. (A) 
Pinchuk V. 
Orekhov V. 
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