Match Info

KHL

Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Arena Metallurg (Magnitogorsk)


	Metallurg Magnitogorsk		Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk

	1	X	2
	1.57	4.61	4.61
	1.55	4.55	4.55
	1.58	4.71	5.01	Watch
	1.56	4.60	4.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↑ (1.57)	4.62 ↓ (4.65)	4.69 ↓ (4.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Metallurg Magnitogorsk
59.8%

Draw
20.3%

Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.2%

20.3%

19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.3%

22.4%

17.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Metallurg Magnitogorsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metallurg Magnitogorsk than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Metallurg Magnitogorsk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Metallurg M will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Neftekhimik will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Neftekhimik (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
20. Smolin A. (G)	53. Dolganov F. (G)
55. Provolnev V. (A)	81. Yeryomenko V.
56. Khabarov M.	24. Serikov A.
14. Silantyev D.	88. Zhafyarov D.
27. Todd N.	52. Mityakin Y. (A)
29. Vovchenko D.	71. Belozyorov A. (C)
Line 2
58. Zelenov Y.	65. Fedotov M.
9. Orekhov V.	57. Ruchkin S.
28. Tolchinsky S.	23. Petunin A.
22. Iskhakov R.	11. Nikolishin I.
11. Mikhailis N.	8. Zaseda M.
Line 3
72. Minulin A.	27. Lovell T.
44. Yakovlev Y. (C)	7. Khlystov N. (A)
84. Fyodorov M.	10. Bikmullin R.
39. Kozlov A.	84. Artemyev S.
19. Tkachev V. (A)	44. Andreichenko V.
Line 4
81. Rubin A.	22. Kol T.
74. Siryatsky A.	21. Seleznyov G.
94. Korobkin Y.	87. Sokolov S.
93. Nechayev I.	33. Tochilkin G.
96. Korotkov N.
Substitutes
30. Zavragin Y. (G)	39. Lyubalin S. (G)
Coaches
. Razin A.	. Grishin I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 2)
00:55, 0 - 1, Zaseda M. (G), Nikolishin I. (A),
10:30, 1 - 1, Kozlov A. (G),
10:53, Minulin A. (2 min),
16:46, 1 - 2, Tochilkin G. (G),
2nd Period (3 - 0)
00:50, 2 - 2, Todd N. (G), Orekhov V. (A), Mikhailis N. (A2)
03:31, 3 - 2, Korotkov N. (G), Nechayev I. (A),
18:04, 4 - 2, Nechayev I. (G), Korobkin Y. (A), Orekhov V. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 0)
06:49, Nikolishin I. (2 min),
07:11, 5 - 2, Silantyev D. (G), Tkachev V. (A), Iskhakov R. (A2)
17:27, Sokolov S. (2 min),
17:55, 6 - 2, Iskhakov R. (G), Silantyev D. (A), Tkachev V. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Metallurg M won 3.

Metallurg M has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Neftekhimik is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Metallurg M carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Metallurg M has recorded 11 wins, 0 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 63:52 (averaging 3.2:2.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Metallurg M against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 38:26 goals (averaging 3.8:2.6 per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Metallurg Magnitogorsk - the odds 1.57 are the expected chance of winning is 60.24%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Metallurg Magnitogorsk
KHL
18.09.26	Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Barys Astana	3:0 ✺
16.09.26	Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Spartak Moscow	2:3 ✺
13.09.26	Avangard Omsk - Metallurg Magnitogorsk	3:2 AET ✺
11.09.26	Ak Bars Kazan - Metallurg Magnitogorsk	2:3 penalties ✺
08.09.26	Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Amur Khabarovsk	2:1 AET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLLWW
- HC Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
KHL
18.09.26	Salavat Yulaev Ufa - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	2:0 ✺
16.09.26	Sibir Novosibirsk - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	0:3 ✺
13.09.26	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Admiral Vladivostok	2:1 ✺
11.09.26	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg	3:1 ✺
08.09.26	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Sochi	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

KHL
22.12.25	Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	4:3 penalties
05.12.25	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Metallurg Magnitogorsk	2:1 OT
23.10.25	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Metallurg Magnitogorsk	5:3
19.10.25	Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	9:6
20.01.25	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Metallurg Magnitogorsk	2:3 OT
21.09.24	Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	1:0 penalties
12.09.24	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Metallurg Magnitogorsk	3:2

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