The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Metallurg Magnitogorsk 59.7%
Draw 20.5%
Barys Astana 19.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
61.4%
19.7%
19%
Our Initial ML Estimation
60.2%
20.1%
19.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Metallurg Magnitogorsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
Barys Astana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metallurg Magnitogorsk than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barys Astana than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
50%
25%
Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Barys Astana Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Metallurg M will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Barys will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
20. Smolin A. (G)
32. Shepard H. (G)
56. Khabarov M.
2. Massie J. (A)
55. Provolnev V. (A)
26. Day L.
29. Vovchenko D.
8. Bailey J.
28. Tolchinsky S.
11. Morelli M.
27. Todd N.
14. Pilon G.
Line 2
58. Zelenov Y.
4. Priskie C.
9. Orekhov V.
71. Daniyar Sam. (A)
22. Iskhakov R.
9. Thompson T.
14. Silantyev D.
13. Kaiyrzhan D.
11. Mikhailis N.
84. Savitsky K. (C)
Line 3
72. Minulin A.
3. McCoshen I.
44. Yakovlev Y. (C)
87. Beketayev A.
84. Fyodorov M.
12. Logvin V.
39. Kozlov A.
29. Lyapunov K.
19. Tkachev V. (A)
70. Simonov S.
Line 4
81. Rubin A.
7. Britikov D.
74. Siryatsky A.
17. Omirbekov A.
96. Korotkov N.
81. Muratov B.
94. Korobkin Y.
96. Asetov A.
93. Nechayev I.
Substitutes
30. Zavragin Y. (G)
43. Shutov A. (G)
Coaches
. Razin A.
. Kravets M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (3 - 0)
02:32, 1 - 0, Khabarov M. (G), Korotkov N. (A), Nechayev I. (A2)
02:48, 2 - 0, Korobkin Y. (G), Korotkov N. (A),
09:44, 3 - 0, Mikhailis N. (G), Tolchinsky S. (A), Todd N. (A2)
09:44, Shepard H. ↓, Shutov A. ↑,
10:21, Priskie C. (2 min),
14:19, Priskie C. (2 min),
15:35, Mikhailis N. (2 min),
2nd Period (0 - 0)
03:13, Day L. (2 min),
09:35, Korobkin Y. (2 min),
09:35, Massie J. (2 min),
12:34, Tkachev V. (2 min),
19:22, Smolin A. (2 min),
3rd Period (0 - 0)
03:16, Minulin A. (5 min),
04:42, Orekhov V. (2 min),
11:09, Provolnev V. (2 min),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Metallurg M won 5.
Metallurg M has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Barys is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Metallurg M may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Barys has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
Bookmakers give the edge to Metallurg M for this game.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Metallurg M has recorded 16 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 62:33 (averaging 3.1:1.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Metallurg M against this opponent, the record stands at 10 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 33:14 goals (averaging 3:1.3 per game).
Outrights of KHL for now
Barys Astana: 0.77%
Last Results with these Odds
Metallurg Magnitogorsk - the odds 1.54 are the expected chance of winning is 61.36%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
Barys Astana - the odds 4.97 are the expected chance of winning is 18.97%, but this team recently wins 7% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Smolin A. (G) 
Shepard H. (G) 
Massie J. (A) 
Orekhov V. 
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