Match Info

KHL

Date: 9 October 2026, Friday

Location: Arena Metallurg (Magnitogorsk)


	Metallurg Magnitogorsk		Salavat Yulaev Ufa

	1	X	2
	1.99	3.81	3.28
	1.97	3.75	3.2
	1.86	4.22	3.67	Watch
	1.84	4.1	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↑ (1.87)	3.97 ↓ (4.39)	3.4 ↓ (3.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Metallurg Magnitogorsk
48.9%

Draw
23.6%

Salavat Yulaev Ufa
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

22.1%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.6%

21.4%

25.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Metallurg Magnitogorsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Salavat Yulaev Ufa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metallurg Magnitogorsk than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Salavat Yulaev Ufa than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Salavat Yulaev Ufa Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Metallurg M will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Salavat Yulaev will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Salavat Yulaev (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
20. Smolin A. (G)	35. Vyazovoy S. (G)
9. Orekhov V.	43. Kulik Y.
87. Palivko D.	52. Zorkin N.
28. Tolchinsky S.	57. Brosseau D.
27. Todd N.	21. Rodewald J.
29. Vovchenko D.	56. Rempal S.
Line 2
74. Siryatsky A.	18. Stewart D.
44. Yakovlev Y. (C)	73. Tsulygin Y.
18. Starkov S.	81. Maggio M.
47. Johnson L.	87. Shipachyov V. (A)
19. Tkachev V. (A)	72. Suchkov Y.
Line 3
72. Minulin A.	89. Shcherbakov N.
58. Zelenov Y.	11. Panin G. (C)
14. Silantyev D.	79. Nabiev A.
22. Iskhakov R.	37. Zagrebin M.
11. Mikhailis N.	97. Zharovskiy A.
Line 4
39. Kozlov A.	32. Varlov S.
81. Rubin A.	8. Komarov A.
94. Korobkin Y. (A)	71. Kuznetsov M.
93. Nechayev I.	65. Yefremov V. (A)
96. Korotkov N.	78. Orlovich-Grudkov D.
Substitutes
30. Zavragin Y. (G)	33. Bogdanov N. (G)
Coaches
. Vorobyov V.	. Kozlov V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (4 - 0)
01:05, 1 - 0, Silantyev D. (G), Tkachev V. (A), Johnson L. (A2)
03:01, 2 - 0, Siryatsky A. (G), Tolchinsky S. (A),
03:33, 3 - 0, Tkachev V. (G), Starkov S. (A), Johnson L. (A2)
03:33, Vyazovoy S. ↓, Bogdanov N. ↑,
16:13, Rodewald J. (2 min),
17:47, 4 - 0, Johnson L. (G), Orekhov V. (A), Todd N. (A2)
18:07, Zelenov Y. (2 min),
18:07, Brosseau D. (2 min),
2nd Period (2 - 1)
03:53, Vovchenko D. (2 min),
03:53, Zharovskiy A. (2 min),
05:09, 5 - 0, Iskhakov R. (G), Siryatsky A. (A),
05:33, 5 - 1, Zagrebin M. (G), Maggio M. (A), Shcherbakov N. (A2)
05:54, Yefremov V. (2 min),
05:59, 6 - 1, Tolchinsky S. (G), Johnson L. (A), Orekhov V. (A2)
09:31, Rempal S. (2 min),
17:20, Zelenov Y. (2 min),
17:20, Brosseau D. (2 min),
18:38, Todd N. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 0)
02:59, Zelenov Y. (2 min),
08:23, Korotkov N. (2 min),
15:06, Shcherbakov N. (2 min),
17:17, 7 - 1, Johnson L. (G), Todd N. (A),

Preview

A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 1st in the Promotion - KHL Playoffs - 1/8 - finals and 4th in the Promotion - KHL Playoffs - 1/8 - finals).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Metallurg M won 4.

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Recently, Salavat Yulaev has had a run of games away from home.

Metallurg M is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

Our forecast points to a victory for Metallurg M in today's match, at odds of 1.88.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Metallurg M has recorded 12 wins, 0 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 59:59 (averaging 3:3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Metallurg M against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 34:32 goals (averaging 3.4:3.2 per game).

Outrights of KHL for now

Salavat Ufa: 3.03%

Last Results with these Odds

Metallurg Magnitogorsk - the odds 1.87 are the expected chance of winning is 51.92%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Metallurg Magnitogorsk
KHL
07.10.26	Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Admiral Vladivostok	3:0 ✺
05.10.26	Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Admiral Vladivostok	2:5 ✺
02.10.26	Spartak Moscow - Metallurg Magnitogorsk	0:2 ✺
30.09.26	Shanghai Dragons - Metallurg Magnitogorsk	4:1 ✺
28.09.26	Avangard Omsk - Metallurg Magnitogorsk	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WLWLW
- Salavat Yulaev Ufa
KHL
07.10.26	Sibir Novosibirsk - Salavat Yulaev Ufa	4:5 OT ✺
05.10.26	HC CSKA Moscow - Salavat Yulaev Ufa	3:1 ✺
02.10.26	Salavat Yulaev Ufa - Sibir Novosibirsk	2:4 ✺
30.09.26	Sochi - Salavat Yulaev Ufa	6:3 ✺
28.09.26	Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod - Salavat Yulaev Ufa	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

KHL
23.09.26	Salavat Yulaev Ufa - Metallurg Magnitogorsk	3:4
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
29.08.26	Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Salavat Yulaev Ufa	3:2 AET
KHL
11.03.26	Salavat Yulaev Ufa - Metallurg Magnitogorsk	1:2 OT
13.02.26	Salavat Yulaev Ufa - Metallurg Magnitogorsk	4:3 penalties
16.10.25	Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Salavat Yulaev Ufa	6:4
08.09.25	Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Salavat Yulaev Ufa	2:3 OT
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
26.08.25	Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Salavat Yulaev Ufa	2:5

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