Match Info

KHL

Date: 7 October 2026, Wednesday

Location: Arena Metallurg (Magnitogorsk)


	Metallurg Magnitogorsk		Admiral Vladivostok

	1	X	2
	1.43	4.7	6.39
	1.41	4.65	6.3
	1.44	5.73	5.65	Watch
	1.42	5	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 (1.43)	5.02 ↓ (6.13)	5.99 ↑ (5.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Metallurg Magnitogorsk
65.7%

Draw
18.7%

Admiral Vladivostok
15.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.8%

15.8%

16.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64%

16.7%

17.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Metallurg Magnitogorsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Admiral Vladivostok has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metallurg Magnitogorsk than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Admiral Vladivostok than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Admiral Vladivostok Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Metallurg M will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Admiral will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Admiral (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Lineups

Line 1
30. Zavragin Y. (G)	1. Boyarkin N. (G)
55. Provolnev V. (C)	28. Ibragimov S.
74. Siryatsky A.	73. Sulak L. (C)
28. Tolchinsky S.	25. Olson K.
27. Todd N. (A)	9. Tsitsyura V.
29. Vovchenko D.	17. Zavgorodny D. (A)
Line 2
9. Orekhov V.	94. Yefremov N.
87. Palivko D.	77. Grman M.
18. Starkov S.	36. Camara A.
47. Johnson L.	70. Yanchenko I.
19. Tkachev V. (A)	72. Bulavchuk O.
Line 3
72. Minulin A.	7. Morozov I.
58. Zelenov Y.	55. Kroshchinsky F.
14. Silantyev D.	71. Muranov I. (A)
22. Iskhakov R.	93. Moiseyev D.
11. Mikhailis N.	97. Volkov A.
Line 4
81. Rubin A.	16. Vashchenko G.
84. Fyodorov M.	45. Mukhtarov D.
93. Nechayev I.	15. Grass M.
96. Korotkov N.	11. Chezganov Y.
Substitutes
39. Kozlov A.	87. Amirbekov J. (G)
20. Smolin A. (G)
Coaches
. Razin A.	. Bratash O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
06:34, Zavgorodny D. (2 min),
10:34, Olson K. (2 min),
17:58, Yefremov N. (2 min),
2nd Period (2 - 0)
03:26, Olson K. (2 min),
05:24, Iskhakov R. (2 min),
07:00, Olson K. (2 min),
09:00, 1 - 0, Mikhailis N. (G), Silantyev D. (A), Tkachev V. (A2)
17:13, 2 - 0, Todd N. (G), Tolchinsky S. (A), Vovchenko D. (A2)
19:29, Grman M. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 0)
02:25, (2 min),
06:47, Provolnev V. (2 min),
18:13, 3 - 0, Tkachev V. (G),
19:48, Olson K. (2 min),

Preview

The table topper faces a competitive test against mid-table opposition (ranked 1st in the Promotion - KHL Playoffs - 1/8 - finals and 8th in the Promotion - KHL Playoffs - 1/8 - finals).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Metallurg M won 3.

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

The betting markets point to Metallurg M as the clear and undisputed favorite.

Our forecast points to a victory for Metallurg M in today's match, at odds of 1.44.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Metallurg M has recorded 15 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 70:47 (averaging 3.5:2.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Metallurg M against this opponent, the record stands at 8 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 40:31 goals (averaging 3.6:2.8 per game).

Outrights of KHL for now

Vladivostok: 0.4%

Last Results with these Odds

Metallurg Magnitogorsk - the odds 1.43 are the expected chance of winning is 67.8%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Admiral Vladivostok - the odds 5.92 are the expected chance of winning is 16.38%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Metallurg Magnitogorsk
KHL
05.10.26	Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Admiral Vladivostok	2:5 ✺
02.10.26	Spartak Moscow - Metallurg Magnitogorsk	0:2 ✺
30.09.26	Shanghai Dragons - Metallurg Magnitogorsk	4:1 ✺
28.09.26	Avangard Omsk - Metallurg Magnitogorsk	1:5 ✺
26.09.26	Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Ak Bars Kazan	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LWLWW
- Admiral Vladivostok
KHL
05.10.26	Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Admiral Vladivostok	2:5 ✺
03.10.26	SKA Saint Petersburg - Admiral Vladivostok	6:5 penalties ✺
01.10.26	Severstal Cherepovets - Admiral Vladivostok	3:4 penalties ✺
27.09.26	Admiral Vladivostok - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	3:5 ✺
23.09.26	Admiral Vladivostok - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

KHL
05.10.26	Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Admiral Vladivostok	2:5
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
17.08.26	Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Admiral Vladivostok	3:4
KHL
22.02.26	Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Admiral Vladivostok	4:3 OT
17.01.26	Admiral Vladivostok - Metallurg Magnitogorsk	4:8
22.11.25	Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Admiral Vladivostok	4:3 penalties
05.11.25	Admiral Vladivostok - Metallurg Magnitogorsk	1:2
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
17.08.25	Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Admiral Vladivostok	4:2

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