Match Info

KHL

Date: 16 March 2026, Monday

Location: Arena Metallurg (Magnitogorsk)


	Metallurg Magnitogorsk		Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg

	1	X	2
	1.92	4	3.56
	1.93	4.02	3.57	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↑ (1.83)	4.01 ↓ (4.28)	3.57 ↓ (3.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Metallurg Magnitogorsk
49.5%

Draw
23.8%

Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53%

22.6%

24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.9%

21.7%

25.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Metallurg Magnitogorsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metallurg Magnitogorsk than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
20. Smolin A. (G)	18. Alikin Y. (G)
87. Palivko D.	9. Blacker J.
21. Press R.	88. Tryamkin N. (C)
39. Kozlov A.	17. Macek B.
8. Kantserov R. (A)	77. Da Costa S.
19. Tkachev V. (C)	11. Sprong D.
Line 2
9. Orekhov V.	21. Osipov M.
44. Yakovlev Y.	7. Busygin Y.
28. Tolchinsky S.	19. Chernikov Y.
26. Barach D.	28. Byvaltsev A. (A)
29. Vovchenko D.	92. Gorbunov R.
Line 3
72. Minulin A.	2. Zborovsky S.
56. Khabarov M.	55. Vorobyov K. (A)
31. Petunin A.	24. Denezhkin M.
22. Iskhakov R.	67. Gashilov L.
11. Mikhailis N.	15. Golyshev A.
Line 4
4. Zhukov K.	91. Malorosiyanov D.
94. Korobkin Y.	76. Kashtanov A.
47. Johnson L. (A)	81. Romantsev D.
96. Korotkov N.	99. Shashkov N.
Substitutes
84. Fyodorov M.	1. Galkin V. (G)
30. Nabokov I. (G)
Coaches
. Razin A.	. Zavarukhin N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
10:24, Macek B. (2 min),
10:24, Vovchenko D. (2 min),
13:01, 0 - 1, Sprong D. (G), Macek B. (A), Da Costa S. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 2)
01:21, Macek B. (2 min),
02:42, 0 - 2, Denezhkin M. (G), Blacker J. (A), Chernikov Y. (A2)
08:31, 1 - 2, Petunin A. (G), Mikhailis N. (A), Khabarov M. (A2)
09:04, 2 - 2, Kantserov R. (G), Kozlov A. (A), Zhukov K. (A2)
10:55, 2 - 3, Da Costa S. (G), Sprong D. (A), Macek B. (A2)
13:24, Gorbunov R. (2 min),
13:24, Alikin Y. ↓, Galkin V. ↑,
17:31, Fyodorov M. (2 min),
18:26, Minulin A. (2 min),
3rd Period (2 - 0)
04:07, 3 - 3, Kantserov R. (G), Tkachev V. (A), Kozlov A. (A2)
07:19, Denezhkin M. (2 min),
09:10, Gorbunov R. (2 min),
09:59, Shashkov N. (2 min),
18:51, 4 - 3, Yakovlev Y. (G), Iskhakov R. (A),
20:00, Sprong D. (2 min),
20:00, Gorbunov R. (2 min),
20:00, Barach D. (2 min),

Preview

Metallurg M is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

Avtomobilist is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Metallurg M won 3.

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Metallurg M could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Metallurg M won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 61:56. (average 3.1:2.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Metallurg M won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 32:23. (average 2.9:2.1).

Outrights of KHL for now

Yekaterinburg: 4.97%

Last Results with these Odds

Metallurg Magnitogorsk - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 52.95%, but this team recently wins 23% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Metallurg Magnitogorsk
KHL
13.03.26	Sibir Novosibirsk - Metallurg Magnitogorsk	1:2 OT ✺
11.03.26	Salavat Yulaev Ufa - Metallurg Magnitogorsk	1:2 OT ✺
08.03.26	Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Traktor Chelyabinsk	3:2 penalties ✺
06.03.26	Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg	1:3 ✺
03.03.26	Dinamo Minsk - Metallurg Magnitogorsk	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWWLW
- Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg
KHL
14.03.26	Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg - HC CSKA Moscow	0:3 ✺
11.03.26	Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	4:1 ✺
06.03.26	Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg	1:3 ✺
04.03.26	Dynamo Moscow - Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg	0:4 ✺
02.03.26	HC CSKA Moscow - Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.3 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

KHL
06.03.26	Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg	1:3
15.02.26	Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg - Metallurg Magnitogorsk	8:1
10.02.26	Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg	4:1
03.12.25	Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg - Metallurg Magnitogorsk	5:6
20.11.25	Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg - Metallurg Magnitogorsk	4:5
22.03.25	Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg - Metallurg Magnitogorsk	3:2
01.03.25	Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg	3:1

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