Match Info

KHL

Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Arena Metallurg (Magnitogorsk) 🌤️ ...


	Metallurg Magnitogorsk		Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg

	1	X	2
	1.88	3.84	3.57
	1.86	3.80	3.50
	1.81	4.32	3.81	Watch
	1.81	4.10	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (1.89)	4.02 ↓ (4.38)	3.61 ↓ (3.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Metallurg Magnitogorsk
50.8%

Draw
23.3%

Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg
25.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

51.4%

22.2%

26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8%

22%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Metallurg Magnitogorsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metallurg Magnitogorsk than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	14.3%	0%

Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg Predictions

Users Predictions: Metallurg Magnitogorsk will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
20. Smolin A. (G)	18. Alikin Y. (G)
74. Siryatsky A.	55. Vorobyov K.
9. Orekhov V.	89. Karpukhin I.
29. Vovchenko D.	21. Ruzicka A.
28. Tolchinsky S.	72. Slepyshev A. (C)
27. Todd N.	78. Kadeykin A. (A)
Line 2
56. Khabarov M.	10. Clague K.
55. Provolnev V. (A)	79. Gross J.
22. Iskhakov R.	17. Barabanov A.
19. Tkachev V. (A)	66. Gushchin D.
11. Mikhailis N.	86. Sharov A.
Line 3
72. Minulin A.	7. Busygin Y.
44. Yakovlev Y. (C)	88. Tryamkin N. (A)
93. Nechayev I.	24. Denezhkin M.
84. Fyodorov M.	76. Kashtanov A.
39. Kozlov A.	77. Tarasov M.
Line 4
81. Rubin A.	44. Yudin D.
58. Zelenov Y.	15. Golyshev A.
96. Korotkov N.	19. Chernikov Y.
94. Korobkin Y.	92. Gorbunov R.
47. Johnson L.
Substitutes
30. Zavragin Y. (G)	63. Isayev D.
	50. Zinaddin L. (G)
Coaches
. Vorobyov V.	. Kudashov A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
13:48, 1 - 0, Korotkov N. (G), Korobkin Y. (A), Johnson L. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 2)
02:20, 1 - 1, Denezhkin M. (G), Kashtanov A. (A), Yudin D. (A2)
06:25, 1 - 2, Tarasov M. (G), Vorobyov K. (A), Karpukhin I. (A2)
07:17, Johnson L. (2 min),
07:53, Clague K. (2 min),
09:23, Orekhov V. (2 min),
17:52, (2 min),
3rd Period (3 - 0)
04:38, 2 - 2, Todd N. (G), Minulin A. (A), Vovchenko D. (A2)
07:28, Iskhakov R. (2 min),
11:36, 3 - 2, Kozlov A. (G), Orekhov V. (A), Siryatsky A. (A2)
18:22, 4 - 2, Mikhailis N. (G), Iskhakov R. (A), Minulin A. (A2)
18:57, Korotkov N. (2 min),

Preview

The table topper faces a competitive test against mid-table opposition (ranked 1st in the Promotion - KHL Playoffs - 1/8 - finals and 8th in the Promotion - KHL Playoffs - 1/8 - finals).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Metallurg M won 3.

Metallurg M is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Performances by Avtomobilist have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Metallurg M could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Metallurg M carries the favorite tag into this contest.

Our forecast points to a victory for Metallurg M in today's match, at odds of 1.77.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Metallurg M has recorded 13 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 61:57 (averaging 3.1:2.9 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Metallurg M against this opponent, the record stands at 8 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 32:24 goals (averaging 2.9:2.2 per game).

Outrights of KHL for now

Yekaterinburg: 5.48%

Last Results with these Odds

Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg - the odds 3.67 are the expected chance of winning is 26.46%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Metallurg Magnitogorsk
KHL
14.10.26	Dinamo Minsk - Metallurg Magnitogorsk	1:3 ✺
12.10.26	Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod - Metallurg Magnitogorsk	2:3 OT ✺
09.10.26	Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Salavat Yulaev Ufa	7:1 ✺
07.10.26	Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Admiral Vladivostok	3:0 ✺
05.10.26	Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Admiral Vladivostok	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWWWL
- Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg
KHL
16.10.26	Avangard Omsk - Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg	4:2 ✺
14.10.26	Barys Astana - Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg	4:1 ✺
06.10.26	Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg - Avangard Omsk	4:0 ✺
04.10.26	Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg - Amur Khabarovsk	0:3 ✺
02.10.26	Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg - Amur Khabarovsk	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

KHL
16.03.26	Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg	4:3
06.03.26	Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg	1:3
15.02.26	Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg - Metallurg Magnitogorsk	8:1
10.02.26	Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg	4:1
03.12.25	Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg - Metallurg Magnitogorsk	5:6
20.11.25	Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg - Metallurg Magnitogorsk	4:5
22.03.25	Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg - Metallurg Magnitogorsk	3:2

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