Match Info

NCAA

Date: 6 March 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished


	Ohio State Buckeyes		Notre Dame Fighting Irish

	1	X	2
	1.74	4.5	3.25
	1.81	4.51	3.36
	1.75	4.2	3.3
	1.77	4.4	3.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (1.82)	4.4 (4.4)	3.3 ↑ (3.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.50

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ohio State Buckeyes
51.6%

Draw
20.7%

Notre Dame Fighting Irish
27.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50.1%

20.7%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9%

21.9%

25.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ohio State Buckeyes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Notre Dame Fighting Irish has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ohio State Buckeyes than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Notre Dame Fighting Irish than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Ohio State Buckeyes - Notre Dame Fighting Irish Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
3rd Period (1 - 2)
Overtime (0 - 1)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ohio State won 3.

Recent form of Ohio State has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Notre Dame has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Notre Dame may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Ohio State has had a series of away games.

Ohio State will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Ohio State won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 38:39. (average 2.5:2.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Ohio State won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:17. (average 2.7:2.4).

Outrights of NCAA Hockey for now

Ohio State Buckeyes: 0.64% Notre Dame Fighting Irish: 0.6%

Last Results with these Odds

Notre Dame Fighting Irish - the odds 3.12 are the expected chance of winning is 29.21%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ohio State Buckeyes hockey
NCAA Hockey
05.03.26	Ohio State Buckeyes - Notre Dame Fighting Irish	4:5 OT ✺
28.02.26	Michigan State Spartans - Ohio State Buckeyes	4:3 penalties ✺
27.02.26	Michigan State Spartans - Ohio State Buckeyes	1:5 ✺
21.02.26	Penn State Nittany Lions - Ohio State Buckeyes	5:4 OT ✺
20.02.26	Penn State Nittany Lions - Ohio State Buckeyes	11:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 LLWLL
- Notre Dame Fighting Irish hockey
NCAA Hockey
05.03.26	Ohio State Buckeyes - Notre Dame Fighting Irish	4:5 OT ✺
28.02.26	Notre Dame Fighting Irish - Penn State Nittany Lions	4:3 OT ✺
27.02.26	Notre Dame Fighting Irish - Penn State Nittany Lions	3:4 penalties ✺
20.02.26	Michigan State Spartans - Notre Dame Fighting Irish	8:2 ✺
19.02.26	Michigan State Spartans - Notre Dame Fighting Irish	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

NCAA Hockey
05.03.26	Ohio State Buckeyes - Notre Dame Fighting Irish	4:5 OT
24.01.26	Notre Dame Fighting Irish - Ohio State Buckeyes	6:1
23.01.26	Notre Dame Fighting Irish - Ohio State Buckeyes	2:4
08.02.25	Notre Dame Fighting Irish - Ohio State Buckeyes	1:5
07.02.25	Notre Dame Fighting Irish - Ohio State Buckeyes	1:5
14.12.24	Ohio State Buckeyes - Notre Dame Fighting Irish	3:1
13.12.24	Ohio State Buckeyes - Notre Dame Fighting Irish	2:1 OT

Ohio State Buckeyes - Notre Dame Fighting Irish