Match Info

NCAA - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday


	Michigan State Spartans		Wisconsin Badgers

	1	X	2
	1.78	4.2	3.3
	1.67	4.2	3.6
	1.75	4.3	3.51	Watch
	1.83	4.09	3.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (1.83)	4.2 ↑ (4.09)	3.36 ↑ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Michigan State Spartans
51.5%

Draw
21.6%

Wisconsin Badgers
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.8%

21.8%

29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.5%

22.9%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Michigan State Spartans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Wisconsin Badgers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Michigan State Spartans than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wisconsin Badgers than the current prediction. (+4%)

Michigan State Spartans - Wisconsin Badgers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (2 - 1)
00:18, 0 - 1, Finley Q. (G), Morrissey G. (A),
08:10, 1 - 1, O'Connell G. (G), Romani A. (A), West O. (A2)
08:41, 2 - 1, Geary P. (G), Mannisto T. (A), Shoudy T. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 2)
08:33, 3 - 1, Basgall M. (G), Lee R. (A), Martone P. (A2)
15:13, 3 - 2, Osburn L. (G), Tulk O. (A), Botterill R. (A2)
15:47, 3 - 3, Morrissey G. (G), Fitzgerald C. (A), Dexheimer B. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 1)
00:24, 3 - 4, Kukkonen K. (G), Morrissey G. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Michigan State won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Wisconsin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Michigan State will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Michigan State won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 55:42. (average 3.4:2.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Michigan State won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 26:15. (average 3.7:2.1).

Outrights of NCAA Hockey for now

Michigan State Spartans: 7.24% Wisconsin Badgers: 3.55%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Michigan State Spartans hockey
NCAA Hockey
26.03.26	Michigan State Spartans - Connecticut Huskies	2:1 ✺
14.03.26	Michigan State Spartans - Ohio State Buckeyes	2:3 OT ✺
06.03.26	Minnesota Golden Gophers - Michigan State Spartans	4:3 penalties ✺
05.03.26	Minnesota Golden Gophers - Michigan State Spartans	1:7 ✺
28.02.26	Michigan State Spartans - Ohio State Buckeyes	4:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLLWW
- Wisconsin Badgers hockey
NCAA Hockey
26.03.26	Dartmouth Big Green - Wisconsin Badgers	1:5 ✺
11.03.26	Wisconsin Badgers - Ohio State Buckeyes	1:7 ✺
06.03.26	Penn State Nittany Lions - Wisconsin Badgers	2:5 ✺
05.03.26	Penn State Nittany Lions - Wisconsin Badgers	3:7 ✺
21.02.26	Wisconsin Badgers - Michigan Wolverines	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

NCAA Hockey
16.01.26	Wisconsin Badgers - Michigan State Spartans	1:4
15.01.26	Wisconsin Badgers - Michigan State Spartans	3:4
22.11.25	Michigan State Spartans - Wisconsin Badgers	1:2 OT
21.11.25	Michigan State Spartans - Wisconsin Badgers	4:5
04.01.25	Wisconsin Badgers - Michigan State Spartans	3:4 OT
02.01.25	Michigan State Spartans - Wisconsin Badgers	4:3
07.12.24	Wisconsin Badgers - Michigan State Spartans	2:3 OT

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