Match Info

NCAA

Date: 6 March 2026, Friday


	Penn State Nittany Lions		Wisconsin Badgers

	1	X	2
	2.11	4.5	2.45
	2.11	4.62	2.62
	2.05	4.2	2.63
	2.1	4.25	2.59
	2	4.2	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↓ (2.18)	4.35 ↑ (4.3)	2.61 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.75

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Penn State Nittany Lions
44%

Draw
21%

Wisconsin Badgers
35%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.4%

21%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4%

23.2%

41.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Penn State Nittany Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Wisconsin Badgers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Penn State Nittany Lions than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Penn State Nittany Lions that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wisconsin Badgers than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Wisconsin Badgers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Penn State Nittany Lions - Wisconsin Badgers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
2nd Period (2 - 3)
3rd Period (0 - 1)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Penn State won 4.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Penn State may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Penn State won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 47:46. (average 3.1:3.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Penn State won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 19:30. (average 2.7:4.3).

Outrights of NCAA Hockey for now

Wisconsin Badgers: 3.55% Penn State Nittany Lions: 2.15%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Penn State Nittany Lions hockey
NCAA Hockey
05.03.26	Penn State Nittany Lions - Wisconsin Badgers	3:7 ✺
28.02.26	Notre Dame Fighting Irish - Penn State Nittany Lions	4:3 OT ✺
27.02.26	Notre Dame Fighting Irish - Penn State Nittany Lions	3:4 penalties ✺
21.02.26	Penn State Nittany Lions - Ohio State Buckeyes	5:4 OT ✺
20.02.26	Penn State Nittany Lions - Ohio State Buckeyes	11:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLWWW
- Wisconsin Badgers hockey
NCAA Hockey
05.03.26	Penn State Nittany Lions - Wisconsin Badgers	3:7 ✺
21.02.26	Wisconsin Badgers - Michigan Wolverines	1:3 ✺
20.02.26	Wisconsin Badgers - Michigan Wolverines	4:1 ✺
14.02.26	Ohio State Buckeyes - Wisconsin Badgers	3:2 ✺
13.02.26	Ohio State Buckeyes - Wisconsin Badgers	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA Hockey
05.03.26	Penn State Nittany Lions - Wisconsin Badgers	3:7
24.01.26	Wisconsin Badgers - Penn State Nittany Lions	1:3
23.01.26	Wisconsin Badgers - Penn State Nittany Lions	2:7
08.02.25	Wisconsin Badgers - Penn State Nittany Lions	2:6
07.02.25	Wisconsin Badgers - Penn State Nittany Lions	0:2
16.11.24	Penn State Nittany Lions - Wisconsin Badgers	3:6
15.11.24	Penn State Nittany Lions - Wisconsin Badgers	4:5 OT

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