Match Info

Liiga

Date: 7 October 2026, Wednesday

Location: Let's Go Areena (Mikkeli)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	MTV Katsomo+


	Mikkelin Jukurit		Ässät

	1	X	2
	2.65	4	2.2
	2.45	3.80	2.45
	2.65	3.7	2.48	Watch
	2.48	3.58	2.57
	2.48	3.82	2.48	Watch
	2.4	3.5	2.5
	2.43	3.96	2.48	Watch
	2.49	3.7	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↓ (2.79)	3.76 ↓ (3.89)	2.44 ↑ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mikkelin Jukurit
37.2%

Draw
24.8%

Ässät
38.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.5%

24%

42.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.3%

25.7%

45.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mikkelin Jukurit has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Ässät has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mikkelin Jukurit than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mikkelin Jukurit that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ässät than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ässät could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Mikkelin Jukurit - Ässät Predictions

New Consensus by Tipsters:

1X2 - Jukurit (1.91) (votes: 88%) ⭐ Best Value.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
41. Myrenberg J. (G)	33. Taponen R. (G)
26. Sustr A.	79. Nikkila P. (A)
36. Ruusu E.	61. Jurgens C.
29. Boudon L.	47. Pinard S.
16. Ford C. (C)	10. Hillis C.
15. Hayhurst J.	34. Doucet A.
Line 2
53. Korkola N.	37. Maatta R. (A)
70. Saari E.	7. Pulli J.
10. Olsen T. (A)	18. Ylitalo O.
57. Chrons A.	19. Juhola P.
92. Olofsson J.	36. Bjorkqvist K.
Line 3
40. Lintuniemi A. (A)	55. Riihinen P.
93. Karki A.	80. Nurmi P.
88. Jormakka P.	8. Olofsson J.
25. Sjodin L.	14. Sebok B.
28. Koponen E.	63. Kostilainen S.
Line 4
6. Soini S.	28. Saarimaki M.
96. Frilander J.	44. Skinnari A.
20. Addamo J.	74. Tiivola P. (C)
34. Ahonen V.	26. Kim A.
Substitutes
1. Herpin M. (G)	30. Bednar J. (G)
11. Horvath B.	72. Ojantakanen K.
Coaches
. Virtanen J.	. Pikkarainen J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
11:30, Olsen T. (2 min),
2nd Period (0 - 1)
06:26, Chrons A. (2 min),
10:50, Korkola N. (2 min),
12:31, 0 - 1, Hillis C. (G), Kostilainen S. (A), Pinard S. (A2)
16:38, Kim A. (2 min),
3rd Period (0 - 0)
09:50, Tiivola P. (2 min),

Preview

A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - Liiga Playoffs - Quarter - finals and 5th in the Promotion - Liiga Playoffs - 1/8 - finals).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jukurit won 1.

Jukurit has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Performances by Ässät have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Jukurit could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

Our forecast points to a victory for Jukurit in today's match, at odds of 2.69.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Jukurit has recorded 9 wins, 0 draws, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 52:52 (averaging 2.6:2.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Jukurit against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 28:23 goals (averaging 2.8:2.3 per game).

Outrights of Finnish SM-liiga for now

Jukurit: 1.1%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
2	Jukurit	14	6	3	0	5	36:29	24
3	Assat	12	6	1	2	3	30:27	22

Last Results with these Odds

Mikkelin Jukurit - the odds 2.79 are the expected chance of winning is 33.5%, but this team recently wins 42% of matches with these odds.

Ässät - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 42.48%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mikkelin Jukurit
Finnish SM-liiga
03.10.26	Mikkelin Jukurit - KalPa	2:1 OT ✺
29.09.26	Ilves - Mikkelin Jukurit	3:2 ✺
26.09.26	KooKoo - Mikkelin Jukurit	3:5 ✺
25.09.26	Mikkelin Jukurit - Kiekko-Espoo	2:1 OT ✺
18.09.26	Mikkelin Jukurit - Pelicans	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.8 WLWWW
- Ässät hockey
Finnish SM-liiga
03.10.26	Lukko - Ässät	2:5 ✺
02.10.26	Ässät - Lukko	0:3 ✺
26.09.26	HPK - Ässät	5:4 OT ✺
25.09.26	Ässät - SaiPa	0:5 ✺
23.09.26	SaiPa - Ässät	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-liiga
07.03.26	Mikkelin Jukurit - Ässät	1:3
18.02.26	Ässät - Mikkelin Jukurit	5:3
09.12.25	Ässät - Mikkelin Jukurit	4:0
21.11.25	Mikkelin Jukurit - Ässät	2:3 OT
13.03.25	Mikkelin Jukurit - Ässät	4:3 penalties
17.01.25	Ässät - Mikkelin Jukurit	5:1
07.12.24	Ässät - Mikkelin Jukurit	3:4

Mikkelin Jukurit - Ässät: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide