Match Info

Liiga

Date: 29 September 2026, Tuesday

Location: Tampere Deck Arena (Tampere)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	MTV Katsomo+
Sweden	TV4 Play


	Ilves		Mikkelin Jukurit

	1	X	2
	1.48	4.75	5.00
	1.53	4.33	5.00
	1.54	4.35	5.40	Watch
	1.53	4.34	5.36
	1.55	4.37	5.2
	1.49	4.25	5.25
	1.50	4.85	5.30	Watch
	1.53	4.50	4.70
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.66)	4.47 ↓ (4.49)	5.15 ↑ (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ilves
61.2%

Draw
20.8%

Mikkelin Jukurit
18%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.4%

20.8%

22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.2%

21.5%

22.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ilves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Mikkelin Jukurit has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilves than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mikkelin Jukurit than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Ilves - Mikkelin Jukurit Predictions

New Consensus by Tipsters:

AH +1.5 - Jukurit (1.84) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Lineups

Line 1
40. Armalis M. (G)	41. Myrenberg J. (G)
27. Strand A.	53. Korkola N.
57. Parikka J.	70. Saari E.
29. Looke J.	28. Koponen E.
9. Jasek L.	16. Ford C. (C)
92. Henman L. (A)	15. Hayhurst J.
Line 2
43. Latvala O.	26. Sustr A.
6. Sund T.	36. Ruusu E.
67. Haatanen A.	10. Olsen T. (A)
44. Jarvinen J. (C)	57. Chrons A.
46. Torok M.	92. Olofsson J.
Line 3
77. Loof L.	40. Lintuniemi A.
28. Nyberg J.	27. Hodass B.
25. Hynninen T.	29. Boudon L.
19. Lantta J.	20. Addamo J. (A)
71. Korhonen B.	96. Frilander J.
Line 4
3. Utunen T.	93. Karki A.
15. Kos O.	11. Horvath B.
11. Borg E. (A)	62. Remes O.
22. Engberg T.	34. Ahonen V.
Substitutes
65. Rifalk C. (G)	1. Herpin M. (G)
38. Teuho-Markkola T.	45. Teshome N.
Coaches
. Niemela T.	. Virtanen J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
18:10, 1 - 0, Jasek L. (G), Henman L. (A), Looke J. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 2)
07:45, 1 - 1, Chrons A. (G), Olofsson J. (A), Saari E. (A2)
11:05, 1 - 2, Ford C. (G), Hodass B. (A), Lintuniemi A. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 0)
03:34, 2 - 2, Strand A. (G), Latvala O. (A), Kos O. (A2)
08:23, Koponen E. (2 min),
09:55, 3 - 2, Henman L. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ilves won 4.

Both teams have recently enjoyed an outstanding winning streak.

Ilves could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Ilves carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Ilves has recorded 14 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 70:48 (averaging 3.5:2.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Ilves against this opponent, the record stands at 8 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 41:25 goals (averaging 4.1:2.5 per game).

Outrights of Finnish SM-liiga for now

Jukurit: 1.1%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
1	Ilves	12	8	1	0	3	36:24	26
2	Jukurit	14	6	3	0	5	36:29	24

Last Results with these Odds

Ilves - the odds 1.66 are the expected chance of winning is 56.42%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ilves hockey
Finnish SM-liiga
27.09.26	Ilves - TPS	3:2 ✺
25.09.26	Ilves - KooKoo	6:0 ✺
18.09.26	KalPa - Ilves	1:2 ✺
16.09.26	Kärpät - Ilves	3:4 OT ✺
08.09.26	HPK - Ilves	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WWWWW
- Mikkelin Jukurit
Finnish SM-liiga
26.09.26	KooKoo - Mikkelin Jukurit	3:5 ✺
25.09.26	Mikkelin Jukurit - Kiekko-Espoo	2:1 OT ✺
18.09.26	Mikkelin Jukurit - Pelicans	3:1 ✺
16.09.26	HIFK - Mikkelin Jukurit	4:7 ✺
15.09.26	TPS - Mikkelin Jukurit	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 33.1 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-liiga
14.02.26	Ilves - Mikkelin Jukurit	6:2
24.01.26	Mikkelin Jukurit - Ilves	2:3 OT
25.10.25	Ilves - Mikkelin Jukurit	3:2
17.09.25	Mikkelin Jukurit - Ilves	3:2
15.02.25	Mikkelin Jukurit - Ilves	1:2
30.12.24	Ilves - Mikkelin Jukurit	5:0
23.11.24	Mikkelin Jukurit - Ilves	3:2

Ilves - Mikkelin Jukurit: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide