The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ilves 57.1%
Draw 22.3%
Mikkelin Jukurit 20.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
56.2%
22.7%
21%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.4%
24.2%
22.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ilves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
Mikkelin Jukurit has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilves than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mikkelin Jukurit than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
Ilves - Mikkelin Jukurit Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
65. Rifalk C. (G)
1. Herpin M. (G)
27. Strand A.
26. Sustr A.
57. Parikka J.
36. Ruusu E.
29. Looke J.
92. Olofsson J.
92. Henman L. (A)
16. Ford C. (C)
67. Haatanen A.
15. Hayhurst J.
Line 2
43. Latvala O.
40. Lintuniemi A.
6. Sund T.
44. Sedoff C.
71. Korhonen B.
10. Olsen T. (A)
44. Jarvinen J. (C)
20. Addamo J. (A)
25. Hynninen T.
29. Boudon L.
Line 3
77. Loof L.
53. Korkola N.
28. Nyberg J.
70. Saari E.
46. Torok M.
88. Jormakka P.
11. Borg E. (A)
25. Sjodin L.
22. Engberg T.
96. Frilander J.
Line 4
26. Niskanen A.
19. Tiihonen L.
15. Kos O.
89. Tammela J.
19. Lantta J.
57. Chrons A.
86. Heikkinen I.
34. Ahonen V.
Substitutes
40. Armalis M. (G)
11. Horvath B.
38. Teuho-Markkola T.
30. Ospiov A. (G)
Coaches
. Niemela T.
. Virtanen J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 0)
18:11, Parikka J. (2 min),
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (1 - 1)
00:39, 1 - 0, Henman L. (G), Looke J. (A),
04:43, 1 - 1, Sedoff C. (G), Olofsson J. (A), Hayhurst J. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 0)
04:22, (2 min),
Penalties (0 - 1)
1, Torok M. (Penalty Shot),
1, Olofsson J. (Penalty Shot),
2, Haatanen A. (Penalty Shot),
2, Hayhurst J. (Penalty Shot),
3, Henman L. (Penalty Shot),
3, Frilander J. (Penalty Shot),
4, Boudon L. (Penalty Shot),
4, Looke J. (Penalty Shot),
5, Ahonen V. (Penalty Shot),
5, Jarvinen J. (Penalty Shot),
6, Lintuniemi A. (Penalty Shot),
6, Haatanen A. (Penalty Shot),
Preview
A clash between two contenders competing at the top of the table (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - Liiga Playoffs - Quarter - finals and 4th in the Promotion - Liiga Playoffs - Quarter - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ilves won 5.
Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.
Jukurit could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Ilves has faced a series of away games on the road.
In this matchup, Ilves is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Ilves has recorded 14 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 67:45 (averaging 3.4:2.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Ilves against this opponent, the record stands at 8 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 39:25 goals (averaging 3.9:2.5 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
3
Ilves
19
9
3
1
6
51:39
34
5
Jukurit
19
8
4
1
6
47:39
33
Outrights of Finnish SM-liiga for now
Jukurit: 1.42%
Last Results with these Odds
Ilves - the odds 1.66 are the expected chance of winning is 56.24%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.
Mikkelin Jukurit - the odds 4.44 are the expected chance of winning is 21.02%, but this team recently wins 35% of matches with these odds.