Match Info

Liiga

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday

Location: Let's Go Areena (Mikkeli)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	MTV Katsomo+
Sweden	TV4 Play


	Mikkelin Jukurit		KalPa

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.80	2.35
	2.45	3.90	2.40
	2.55	3.80	2.45
	2.37	3.69	2.65
	2.5	3.8	2.49	Watch
	2.30	3.65	2.60
	2.35	3.96	2.57
	2.48	3.80	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↓ (2.55)	3.8 ↓ (3.84)	2.49 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mikkelin Jukurit
38.1%

Draw
24.5%

KalPa
37.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.7%

24.4%

39%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5%

25.2%

40.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mikkelin Jukurit has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

KalPa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mikkelin Jukurit than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for KalPa than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Mikkelin Jukurit - KalPa Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Jukurit (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
41. Myrenberg J. (G)	35. Korhonen R. (G)
53. Korkola N.	57. Lyytinen J.
70. Saari E.	18. Gallet H.
28. Koponen E.	54. Piitulainen J. (A)
16. Ford C. (C)	28. Rissanen J. (C)
15. Hayhurst J.	20. Klemetti A.
Line 2
26. Sustr A.	55. Lappalainen L. (A)
36. Ruusu E.	8. Ruotsalainen V.
10. Olsen T. (A)	22. Borchardt C.
57. Chrons A.	12. Saarelainen J.
92. Olofsson J.	42. Kapanen K.
Line 3
40. Lintuniemi A. (A)	89. Ketola J.
27. Hodass B.	97. Kanak L.
88. Jormakka P.	70. Hartikainen T.
25. Sjodin L.	91. Vilen E.
96. Frilander J.	9. Maenpaa J.
Line 4
93. Karki A.	4. Jokinen M.
29. Boudon L.	3. Karlsson A.
20. Addamo J.	86. Kombe K.
34. Ahonen V.	85. Somppi O.
	41. Kononen J.
Substitutes
1. Herpin M. (G)	40. Lekkas S. (G)
11. Horvath B.
Coaches
. Virtanen J.	. Tervonen S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
06:24, 0 - 1, Vilen E. (G), Maenpaa J. (A), Gallet H. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
00:25, Ahonen V. (2 min),
07:12, Sustr A. (2 min),
13:50, Ruotsalainen V. (2 min),
19:41, 1 - 1, Frilander J. (G), Addamo J. (A), Ruusu E. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 0)
14:19, Lappalainen L. (2 min),
Overtime (1 - 0)
03:13, 2 - 1, Hayhurst J. (G), Ford C. (A),

Preview

An intriguing matchup between an upper-bracket team and a mid-table rival (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - Liiga Playoffs - Quarter - finals and 10th in the Promotion - Liiga Playoffs - 1/8 - finals).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jukurit won 0.

Jukurit has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

KalPa has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Jukurit could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, KalPa has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Jukurit has recorded 8 wins, 0 draws, and 12 losses, with a goal aggregate of 40:62 (averaging 2:3.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Jukurit against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 19:23 goals (averaging 2.1:2.6 per game).

Outrights of Finnish SM-liiga for now

Jukurit: 2.24%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
2	Jukurit	14	6	3	0	5	36:29	24
13	KalPa	11	4	0	1	6	27:29	13

Last Results with these Odds

Mikkelin Jukurit - the odds 2.55 are the expected chance of winning is 36.68%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

KalPa - the odds 2.4 are the expected chance of winning is 38.97%, but this team recently wins 48% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mikkelin Jukurit
Finnish SM-liiga
29.09.26	Ilves - Mikkelin Jukurit	3:2 ✺
26.09.26	KooKoo - Mikkelin Jukurit	3:5 ✺
25.09.26	Mikkelin Jukurit - Kiekko-Espoo	2:1 OT ✺
18.09.26	Mikkelin Jukurit - Pelicans	3:1 ✺
16.09.26	HIFK - Mikkelin Jukurit	4:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.2 LWWWW
- KalPa hockey
Finnish SM-liiga
02.10.26	KalPa - SaiPa	4:3 ✺
26.09.26	KalPa - Lukko	1:2 ✺
23.09.26	KooKoo - KalPa	4:5 ✺
18.09.26	KalPa - Ilves	1:2 ✺
15.09.26	KalPa - HPK	7:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-liiga
04.09.26	KalPa - Mikkelin Jukurit	4:0
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
07.08.26	KalPa - Mikkelin Jukurit	3:2 penalties
Finnish SM-liiga
07.02.26	KalPa - Mikkelin Jukurit	2:0
06.02.26	Mikkelin Jukurit - KalPa	0:2
29.10.25	KalPa - Mikkelin Jukurit	5:3
22.10.25	Mikkelin Jukurit - KalPa	2:1
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
13.08.25	Mikkelin Jukurit - KalPa	3:2

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