Match Info

Liiga

Date: 25 September 2026, Friday

Location: Let's Go Areena (Mikkeli)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	MTV Katsomo+
Sweden	TV4 Play


	Mikkelin Jukurit		Kiekko-Espoo

	1	X	2
	2.65	4	2.2
	2.70	3.90	2.20
	2.8	3.95	2.25	Watch
	2.95	3.58	2.21
	2.8	3.96	2.2	Watch
	2.9	3.5	2.18
	2.85	3.94	2.18	Watch
	2.8	3.8	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.81 ↑ (2.74)	3.83 ↓ (3.84)	2.2 ↓ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mikkelin Jukurit
33.2%

Draw
24.4%

Kiekko-Espoo
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.1%

24.3%

41.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5%

24.7%

42.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mikkelin Jukurit has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Kiekko-Espoo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mikkelin Jukurit than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

The ML Model estimate for Kiekko-Espoo aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	66.7%	33.3%

Mikkelin Jukurit - Kiekko Espoo Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Kiekko-Espoo will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
41. Myrenberg J. (G)	35. Rajaniemi S. (G)
53. Korkola N.	8. Corcoran C.
70. Saari E.	5. Aronsson A.
28. Koponen E.	72. Svejkovsky L.
16. Ford C. (C)	24. Lajunen J. (A)
15. Hayhurst J.	76. Sallinen J. (C)
Line 2
26. Sustr A.	47. Lajunen V. (A)
36. Ruusu E.	3. Keskitalo M.
92. Olofsson J.	12. Oberg L.
29. Boudon L.	15. King C.
34. Ahonen V.	28. Hamalainen J.
Line 3
93. Karki A.	51. Nakyva K.
27. Hodass B.	55. Kotkansalo K.
10. Olsen T. (A)	77. From M.
20. Addamo J.	78. Tuomaala A.
96. Frilander J.	4. Kangasniemi I.
Line 4
40. Lintuniemi A. (A)	21. Peltomaki N.
11. Horvath B.	14. Keinanen J.
57. Chrons A.	17. Talvitie A.
62. Remes O.	16. Vaisanen J.
Substitutes
1. Herpin M. (G)	25. Puolanne E.
45. Teshome N.	30. Rimpinen P. (G)
Coaches
. Virtanen J.	. Aho J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
05:21, (2 min),
06:17, From M. (2 min),
08:27, Korkola N. (2 min),
2nd Period (0 - 0)
01:31, Oberg L. (2 min),
10:00, Hodass B. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 1)
03:32, Koponen E. (2 min),
09:04, Hamalainen J. (2 min),
09:41, 1 - 0, Hayhurst J. (G), Lintuniemi A. (A), Sustr A. (A2)
10:07, 1 - 1, Oberg L. (G), Vaisanen J. (A), Aronsson A. (A2)
Overtime (1 - 0)
04:25, 2 - 1, Ford C. (G), Hayhurst J. (A), Sustr A. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jukurit won 3.

Jukurit is currently on a high with consecutive positive results (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Performances by Kiekko-Espoo have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Jukurit could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

Our forecast points to a victory for Jukurit in today's match, at odds of 2.74.

In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, Jukurit has recorded 4 wins, 0 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 25:36 (averaging 1.9:2.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Jukurit against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 16:23 goals (averaging 2.3:3.3 per game).

Outrights of Finnish SM-liiga for now

Kiekko-Espoo: 3.85% Jukurit: 2.24%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
2	Jukurit	14	6	3	0	5	36:29	24
7	Kiekko-Espoo	13	5	1	3	4	42:32	20

Last Results with these Odds

Kiekko-Espoo - the odds 2.24 are the expected chance of winning is 41.65%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mikkelin Jukurit
Finnish SM-liiga
18.09.26	Mikkelin Jukurit - Pelicans	3:1 ✺
16.09.26	HIFK - Mikkelin Jukurit	4:7 ✺
15.09.26	TPS - Mikkelin Jukurit	1:4 ✺
09.09.26	Mikkelin Jukurit - HIFK	3:1 ✺
05.09.26	Mikkelin Jukurit - Vaasan Sport	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 32.3 WWWWW
- Kiekko-Espoo
Finnish SM-liiga
23.09.26	Vaasan Sport - Kiekko-Espoo	0:1 AET ✺
19.09.26	Ässät - Kiekko-Espoo	2:1 ✺
15.09.26	SaiPa - Kiekko-Espoo	2:1 OT ✺
09.09.26	Kiekko-Espoo - KooKoo	6:2 ✺
05.09.26	Kiekko-Espoo - Pelicans	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-liiga
17.03.26	Kiekko-Espoo - Mikkelin Jukurit	3:0
13.02.26	Mikkelin Jukurit - Kiekko-Espoo	3:2 penalties
11.02.26	Kiekko-Espoo - Mikkelin Jukurit	1:0
01.11.25	Mikkelin Jukurit - Kiekko-Espoo	2:1
31.10.25	Kiekko-Espoo - Mikkelin Jukurit	2:3 OT
08.10.25	Mikkelin Jukurit - Kiekko-Espoo	3:4
11.03.25	Kiekko-Espoo - Mikkelin Jukurit	2:3 penalties

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