Match Info

Liiga

Date: 15 September 2026, Tuesday

Location: Gatorade Center (Turku)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	MTV Katsomo+
Sweden	TV4 Play


	TPS		Mikkelin Jukurit

	1	X	2
	1.61	4.5	4.25
	1.65	4.33	4.10
	1.65	4.05	4.7	Watch
	1.65	4.23	4.36
	1.57	4.63	4.69	Watch
	1.61	4.1	4.25
	1.65	4.45	4.34	Watch
	1.64	4.1	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.62)	4.3 ↓ (4.36)	4.36 ↓ (4.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

TPS
57.1%

Draw
21.6%

Mikkelin Jukurit
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.6%

21.4%

21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3%

22.3%

21.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

TPS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Mikkelin Jukurit has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for TPS than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mikkelin Jukurit than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

TPS - Mikkelin Jukurit Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

New Consensus by Tipsters:

AH -1.5 - Tps (2.10) (votes: 88%) ⭐ Best Value.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
36. Makiniemi E. (G)	41. Myrenberg J. (G)
38. Landen A.	53. Korkola N.
44. Lindbohm P.	70. Saari E.
49. Wernblom L.	28. Koponen E.
97. Haudum L.	16. Ford C. (C)
22. Bryggman L. (A)	15. Hayhurst J.
Line 2
6. Rafkin R. (A)	26. Sustr A.
40. Lehtonen S.	36. Ruusu E.
25. Ikonen Jo.	89. Tammela J.
13. Paajanen O. (C)	29. Boudon L.
86. Yliniemi S.	92. Olofsson J.
Line 3
2. Tuhkala A.	93. Karki A.
61. Binner A.	27. Hodass B.
9. Koivu A.	10. Olsen T. (A)
21. Maatta J.	20. Addamo J. (A)
24. Virtanen J.	96. Frilander J.
Line 4
4. Chicoine G.	6. Soini S.
84. Pikkarainen K.	11. Horvath B.
10. Ylitalo N.	18. Sandvik V.
47. Kuru H.	57. Chrons A.
57. Munkki V.	34. Ahonen V.
Substitutes
32. Vali N. (G)	1. Herpin M. (G)
Coaches
. Soderholm T.	. Virtanen J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 2)
09:10, Chicoine G. (2 min),
11:09, 0 - 1, Olofsson J. (G), Hayhurst J. (A), Sustr A. (A2)
12:47, 0 - 2, Ford C. (G), Hayhurst J. (A), Koponen E. (A2)
14:51, Ruusu E. (2 min),
2nd Period (1 - 0)
06:51, Sustr A. (2 min),
11:55, 1 - 2, Maatta J. (G),
3rd Period (0 - 2)
06:48, Chicoine G. (2 min),
16:05, Bryggman L. (2 min),
17:35, 1 - 3, Boudon L. (G), Hayhurst J. (A), Sustr A. (A2)
19:08, Ruusu E. (2 min),
19:45, 1 - 4, Ford C. (G), Sustr A. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, TPS won 2.

TPS is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Jukurit has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Jukurit may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, TPS has had a series of home games.

In this match, TPS is the team to beat.

We predict that TPS will win today's game, with odds of 1.64.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, TPS won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 48:57. (average 2.4:2.9).

Including home matches between the teams, TPS won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 28:22. (average 2.8:2.2).

Outrights of Finnish SM-liiga for now

TPS Turku: 3.47% Jukurit: 2.29%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
2	Jukurit	13	6	2	0	5	34:28	22
11	TPS Turku	10	5	0	0	5	26:21	15

Last Results with these Odds

Mikkelin Jukurit - the odds 4.44 are the expected chance of winning is 21.01%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TPS hockey
Finnish SM-liiga
09.09.26	Vaasan Sport - TPS	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	TPS - HIFK	5:1 ✺
01.09.26	TPS - KooKoo	4:2 ✺
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
25.08.26	TPS - Jokerit	4:2 ✺
22.08.26	TPS - Lugano	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 LWWWW
- Mikkelin Jukurit
Finnish SM-liiga
09.09.26	Mikkelin Jukurit - HIFK	3:1 ✺
05.09.26	Mikkelin Jukurit - Vaasan Sport	4:0 ✺
04.09.26	KalPa - Mikkelin Jukurit	4:0 ✺
01.09.26	Mikkelin Jukurit - HPK	1:4 ✺
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
27.08.26	SaiPa - Mikkelin Jukurit	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-liiga
11.12.25	TPS - Mikkelin Jukurit	3:1
24.10.25	Mikkelin Jukurit - TPS	3:0
04.10.25	TPS - Mikkelin Jukurit	2:3
03.10.25	Mikkelin Jukurit - TPS	2:1 penalties
26.02.25	TPS - Mikkelin Jukurit	5:3
21.12.24	Mikkelin Jukurit - TPS	5:4
23.10.24	Mikkelin Jukurit - TPS	2:4

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