Match Info

SM-sarja U20

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday


	TPS U20		Ilves U20

	1	X	2
	2.81	3.91	2.10	Watch
	2.83	3.9	2.05
	2.7	3.8	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.78 ↓ (2.81)	3.87 ↓ (3.91)	2.07 ↓ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

TPS U20
32.6%

Draw
23.4%

Ilves U20
43.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.7%

23.5%

43.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.5%

22.7%

45.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

TPS U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Ilves U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for TPS U20 than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ilves U20 than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

TPS U20 - Ilves U20 Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Ilves U20 (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 2)
02:55, 0 - 1, Harkimo D. (G), Frolo J. (A), Liljeberg M. (A2)
12:14, 0 - 2, Frolo J. (G), Karjalainen P. (A), Tukio O. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 2)
02:09, 0 - 3, Poikela M. (G), Hietanen J. (A), Karttu K. (A2)
08:04, 1 - 3, Keinanen K. (G), Kallio W. (A),
12:21, 1 - 4, Poikela M. (G), Heikkinen I. (A), Kuukasjarvi R. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 3)
09:27, 1 - 5, Liljeberg M. (G), Harkimo D. (A), Karjalainen P. (A2)
09:45, 1 - 6, Heikkinen I. (G), Poikela M. (A), Hietanen J. (A2)
12:58, 1 - 7, Poikela M. (G), Karjalainen P. (A), Hietanen J. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, TPS U20 won 4.

TPS U20 is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Ilves U20 is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Ilves U20 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, TPS U20 has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

We predict that Ilves U20 will win today's game, with odds of 2.1.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, TPS U20 won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 55:56. (average 3.4:3.5).

Including home matches between the teams, TPS U20 won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 38:35. (average 3.8:3.5).

Last Results with these Odds

TPS U20 - the odds 2.81 are the expected chance of winning is 32.71%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TPS U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
21.11.25	HPK U20 - TPS U20	6:2 ✺
14.11.25	Ässät U20 - TPS U20	4:1 ✺
01.11.25	HIFK U20 - TPS U20	3:2 ✺
31.10.25	TPS U20 - Tappara U20	2:1 ✺
26.10.25	Kärpät U20 - TPS U20	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLLWL
- Ilves U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
21.11.25	Ilves U20 - Ässät U20	7:1 ✺
15.11.25	Ilves U20 - JYP U20	3:0 ✺
14.11.25	Ilves U20 - Lukko U20	6:1 ✺
01.11.25	Kärpät U20 - Ilves U20	0:3 ✺
31.10.25	Kärpät U20 - Ilves U20	2:9 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-sarja U20
18.01.25	TPS U20 - Ilves U20	8:6
11.01.25	Ilves U20 - TPS U20	3:2 OT
12.12.24	TPS U20 - Ilves U20	2:1
20.01.24	Ilves U20 - TPS U20	3:4 OT
28.10.23	TPS U20 - Ilves U20	5:1
09.10.22	TPS U20 - Ilves U20	1:4
31.10.21	TPS U20 - Ilves U20	3:6

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