Match Info

SM-sarja U20

Date: 28 November 2025, Friday


	Ilves U20		Vaasan Sport U20

	1	X	2
	1.58	4.4	3.45
	1.67	3.91	3.48
	1.71	4.25	3.74	Watch
	1.67	4.25	3.79
	1.64	4.4	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.71)	4.24 ↓ (4.25)	3.59 ↓ (3.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Ilves U20
54%

Draw
21.1%

Vaasan Sport U20
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.8%

21.6%

24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.8%

21.2%

24.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ilves U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Vaasan Sport U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ilves U20 than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vaasan Sport U20 than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Ilves U20 - Vaasan Sport U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (4 - 1)
01:07, 1 - 0, Mottard P. (Penalty Shot),
01:34, 2 - 0, Heikkinen I. (G), Teuho-Markkola T. (A), Liljeberg M. (A2)
09:12, 3 - 0, Karjalainen P. (G), Melanen J. (A),
10:30, 3 - 1, Lassander J. (G), Ekman T. (A),
15:12, 4 - 1, Liljeberg M. (G), Heikkinen I. (A), Teuho-Markkola T. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 2)
00:56, 5 - 1, Laitinen J. (G), Frolo J. (A), Harkimo D. (A2)
03:19, 5 - 2, Toivainen W. (G), Koivunen W. (A), Kohvakka O. (A2)
04:15, 5 - 3, Ekman T. (G), Kohvakka O. (A), Andrey T. (A2)
12:16, 6 - 3, Pelkonen L. (G), Seppanen N. (A), Kuitunen O. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 1)
02:24, 7 - 3, Laurell E. (G), Laitinen J. (A),
18:37, 7 - 4, Hult O. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ilves U20 won 1.

Now, both teams are in good form.

Recently, Ilves U20 has had a series of home games.

In this match, Ilves U20 is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ilves U20 won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 69:65. (average 3.5:3.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Ilves U20 won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 31:37. (average 2.8:3.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ilves U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
23.11.25	Ilves U20 - Jokerit U20	2:3 penalties ✺
22.11.25	TPS U20 - Ilves U20	1:7 ✺
21.11.25	Ilves U20 - Ässät U20	7:1 ✺
15.11.25	Ilves U20 - JYP U20	3:0 ✺
14.11.25	Ilves U20 - Lukko U20	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LWWWW
- Vaasan Sport U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
23.11.25	Vaasan Sport U20 - TPS U20	0:3 ✺
22.11.25	Vaasan Sport U20 - HPK U20	2:1 ✺
21.11.25	Vaasan Sport U20 - Jokerit U20	4:3 OT ✺
15.11.25	KooKoo U20 - Vaasan Sport U20	2:3 ✺
14.11.25	SaiPa U20 - Vaasan Sport U20	1:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-sarja U20
11.10.25	Ilves U20 - Vaasan Sport U20	2:3 OT
05.09.25	Vaasan Sport U20 - Ilves U20	1:8
08.03.25	Ilves U20 - Vaasan Sport U20	3:4 OT
05.10.24	Vaasan Sport U20 - Ilves U20	4:0
07.10.23	Vaasan Sport U20 - Ilves U20	2:1 OT
16.09.23	Ilves U20 - Vaasan Sport U20	1:2 OT
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
23.08.23	Ilves U20 - Vaasan Sport U20	4:5 OT

Upcoming Matches