Match Info

NHL

Date: 2 February 2026, Monday

Location: Grand Casino Arena (Saint Paul, MN)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
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Finland	Viaplay
Germany	NHL.tv
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Italy	DAZN Italia
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	Minnesota Wild		Montreal Canadiens

	1	X	2
	2.15	4.2	2.8	Watch
	2.23	4.09	2.79
	2.25	4.23	2.69
	2.18	4.31	2.76	Watch
	2.2	4.33	2.75
	2.2	4.33	2.77
	2.15	4.75	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↑ (2.02)	4.32 ↓ (4.39)	2.74 ↓ (3.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Minnesota Wild
43.3%

Draw
22%

Montreal Canadiens
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.5%

21.8%

30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.2%

22.4%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Minnesota Wild has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Montreal Canadiens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Minnesota Wild than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montreal Canadiens than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	42.9%	14.3%

Minnesota Wild - Montreal Canadiens Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Minnesota will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). Montreal will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 42.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Minnesota: 17% – 68.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Minnesota (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Montreal (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 6.5, OT - under (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 5.5, OT - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 6 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Lineups

Line 1
32. Gustavsson F. (G)	75. Dobes J. (G)
7. Lambos C.	53. Dobson N.
43. Hughes Q.	48. Hutson L.
36. Zuccarello M.	77. Dach K.
38. Hartman R.	14. Suzuki N. (C)
97. Kaprizov K. (A)	13. Caufield C.
Line 2
46. Spurgeon J. (C)	21. Guhle K.
5. Middleton J.	8. Matheson M. (A)
12. Boldy M.	93. Demidov I.
14. Eriksson J.	91. Kapanen O.
90. Johansson M.	20. Slafkovsky J.
Line 3
24. Bogosian Z.	45. Carrier A.
48. Hunt D.	72. Xhekaj A.
91. Tarasenko V.	76. Bolduc Z.
22. Yurov D.	71. Evans J.
18. Hinostroza V.	90. Veleno J.
Line 4
13. Trenin Y.	11. Gallagher B. (A)
78. Sturm N.	24. Danault P.
17. Foligno M. (A)	17. Anderson J.
Substitutes
30. Wallstedt J. (G)	35. Montembeault S. (G)
Coaches
. Hynes J.	. St. Louis M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 1)
00:38, 1 - 0, Eriksson J. (G), Johansson M. (A), Boldy M. (A2)
00:55, Kapanen O. (2 min),
15:48, 2 - 0, Kaprizov K. (G), Hughes Q. (A), Hartman R. (A2)
19:08, 2 - 1, Gallagher B. (G), Danault P. (A), Matheson M. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
07:53, Hutson L. (2 min),
11:14, Bogosian Z. (2 min),
19:43, 2 - 2, Demidov I. (G), Hutson L. (A), Carrier A. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 1)
00:12, 2 - 3, Dach K. (G), Suzuki N. (A), Dobson N. (A2)
07:05, 3 - 3, Faber B. (G), Johansson M. (A), Hughes Q. (A2)
Overtime (1 - 0)
02:34, Danault P. (2 min),
03:38, 4 - 3, Kaprizov K. (G), Hughes Q. (A), Boldy M. (A2)

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Minnesota won 4.

Minnesota is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Montreal has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Minnesota has had a series of home games.

Minnesota will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Minnesota: Brodin J. (Lower-Body Injury)

There will not play in Montreal: Laine P. (Abdominal strain) Newhook A. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Minnesota: Bogosian Z. (Upper-Body Injury) Sturm N. (Illness)

There are questionable in Montreal: Texier A. (Lower-Body Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Minnesota won 18 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 76:30. (average 3.8:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Minnesota won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 47:16. (average 4.7:1.6).

Outrights of NHL for now

Minnesota Wild: 5.97% Montreal Canadiens: 3.83%

Last Results with these Odds

Minnesota Wild - the odds 2.02 are the expected chance of winning is 47.53%, but this team recently wins 17% of matches with these odds.

Montreal Canadiens - the odds 3.13 are the expected chance of winning is 30.65%, but this team recently wins 47% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Minnesota Wild
NHL
31.01.26	Edmonton Oilers - Minnesota Wild	3:7 ✺
29.01.26	Minnesota Wild - Calgary Flames	4:1 ✺
27.01.26	Minnesota Wild - Chicago Blackhawks	4:3 penalties ✺
24.01.26	Minnesota Wild - Florida Panthers	3:4 OT ✺
22.01.26	Minnesota Wild - Detroit Red Wings	4:3 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WWWLW
- Montreal Canadiens
NHL
31.01.26	Buffalo Sabres - Montreal Canadiens	2:4 ✺
29.01.26	Montreal Canadiens - Colorado Avalanche	7:3 ✺
27.01.26	Montreal Canadiens - Vegas Golden Knights	3:2 OT ✺
24.01.26	Boston Bruins - Montreal Canadiens	4:3 ✺
22.01.26	Montreal Canadiens - Buffalo Sabres	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

NHL
20.01.26	Montreal Canadiens - Minnesota Wild	4:3
30.01.25	Montreal Canadiens - Minnesota Wild	0:4
14.11.24	Minnesota Wild - Montreal Canadiens	3:0
21.12.23	Minnesota Wild - Montreal Canadiens	4:3 OT
17.10.23	Montreal Canadiens - Minnesota Wild	2:5
01.11.22	Minnesota Wild - Montreal Canadiens	4:1
25.10.22	Montreal Canadiens - Minnesota Wild	1:3

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