The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Montreal Canadiens 35.2%
Draw 22%
Colorado Avalanche 42.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.4%
21.7%
45.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.3%
23%
43.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Montreal Canadiens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
Colorado Avalanche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montreal Canadiens than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colorado Avalanche than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
35.7%
35.7%
28.6%
Montreal Canadiens - Colorado Avalanche Predictions
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Montreal will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Colorado will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Montreal: 10.6% – 60.8%.
00:56, 1 - 0, Dobson N. (G), Hutson L. (A), Slafkovsky J. (A2)
04:09, 1 - 1, Nelson B. (G), Manson J. (A), Girard S. (A2)
05:24, Middleton K. (2 min),
05:51, 2 - 1, Suzuki N. (G), Demidov I. (A), Hutson L. (A2)
06:14, Anderson J. (2 min),
07:33, 3 - 1, Suzuki N. (G), Kapanen O. (A), Matheson M. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 1)
00:37, Caufield C. (2 min),
03:14, Malinski S. (2 min),
16:36, 4 - 1, Evans J. (G), Guhle K. (A), Bolduc Z. (A2)
17:16, 5 - 1, Dach K. (G), Bolduc Z. (A),
18:06, 5 - 2, Kiviranta J. (G), Malinski S. (A), Drury J. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 1)
04:38, 5 - 3, Colton R. (G), Nichushkin V. (A),
05:45, 6 - 3, Carrier A. (G), Suzuki N. (A), Dach K. (A2)
09:55, 7 - 3, Slafkovsky J. (G), Kapanen O. (A), Demidov I. (A2)
19:39, Xhekaj A. (2 min),
19:39, Middleton K. (2 min),
Preview
One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montreal won 3.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Colorado may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
There will not play in Montreal: Laine P.
(Abdominal strain)
Newhook A.
(Ankle Injury)
There will not play in Colorado: Colton R.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Landeskog G.
(Upper-Body Injury)
O'Connor L.
(Hip Injury)
Toews D.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Wedgewood S.
(Personal Reasons)
We predict that Montreal will win today's game, with odds of 2.8.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Montreal won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 52:62. (average 2.6:3.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Montreal won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 36:34. (average 3.6:3.4).
Outrights of NHL for now
Colorado Avalanche: 9.47% Montreal Canadiens: 3.83%
Last Results with these Odds
Montreal Canadiens - the odds 2.92 are the expected chance of winning is 32.39%, but this team recently wins 26% of matches with these odds.
Colorado Avalanche - the odds 2.06 are the expected chance of winning is 45.91%, but this team recently wins 54% of matches with these odds.