The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Mogilev 18.5%
Draw 19.9%
Vitebsk 61.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
17.1%
18.9%
63.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
18.8%
20.8%
58.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mogilev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
Vitebsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mogilev than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitebsk than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
Mogilev - Vitebsk Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:4
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Lineups
Line 1
31. Kropova D. (G)
31. Okoryak V. (G)
68. Mozhaev S.
67. Kupchikhin P.
4. Dubinich N.
33. Stepanov Y.
8. Sergushkin D.
97. Pirogovsky G.
21. Silayev I.
92. Sapozhnikov V.
11. Kolgotin D.
13. Astankov Y.
Line 2
97. Ivanov Y.
93. Shchyochin V.
43. Dudko Y.
22. Ozerov M.
88. Solomonov Y.
10. Vasyutovich P.
37. Shapiro I.
88. Kambovich I.
44. Yermolenko A.
37. Deribo A.
Line 3
72. Zheldakov G.
68. Listopadov M.
16. Prokhorenko M.
8. Bobryashov N.
63. Valeyev A.
81. Lemeshevsky M.
52. Shiafotdinov K.
12. Levko A.
49. Malyuchenko A.
17. Kogalev A.
Line 4
22. Vorobyov K.
11. Narodovsky V.
23. Tatarenko K.
44. Rubets K.
12. Popkov A.
32. Yasyukevich P.
33. Kozinov A.
23. Bogrunov M.
28. Kireenko V.
Substitutes
25. Stepanov S. (G)
27. Bobariko R. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 1)
18:40, 0 - 1, Yasyukevich P. (G), Levko A. (A),
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
19:24, 0 - 2, Shchyochin V. (G), Ozerov M. (A),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mogilev won 1.
In recent outings, Mogilev has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Vitebsk is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Recently, Vitebsk has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
Bookmakers give the edge to Vitebsk for this game.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Mogilev has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 18 losses, with a goal aggregate of 31:81 (averaging 1.6:4.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Mogilev against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 9 losses, with 12:40 goals (averaging 1.2:4 per game).
Outrights of Belarusian Extraleague for now
Vitebsk: 7.95% Mogilev: 1.01%
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
8
Vitebsk
11
5
1
1
4
34:29
13
11
Mogilev
11
4
0
0
7
27:40
8
Last Results with these Odds
Mogilev - the odds 5.36 are the expected chance of winning is 17.15%, but this team recently wins 24% of matches with these odds.
Vitebsk - the odds 1.44 are the expected chance of winning is 63.94%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.