Match Info

MHL

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday


	Molot Perm		Stalnye Lisy

	1	X	2
	5.49	5.5	1.41
	6.08	5.57	1.39	Watch
	4.6	4.7	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.39 ↑ (4.42)	5.26 ↑ (5.09)	1.43 ↓ (1.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Molot Perm
17.3%

Draw
17.7%

Stalnye Lisy
65%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.1%

18.3%

60.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.8%

18%

61.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Molot Perm has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Stalnye Lisy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Molot Perm than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stalnye Lisy than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Molot Perm - Stalnye Lisy Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
52. Vorobyov T. (G)	33. Utkin A. (G)
25. Sadykov K. (A)	90. Kachyov V.
84. Bogdanov S.	43. Isakov Y. (A)
98. Stefanov D.	23. Kushnaryov A.
16. Fedyayev D. (A)	93. Nechayev I.
87. Bashinsky M. (C)	68. Golnik R.
Line 2
97. Davydov V.	81. Rubin A.
85. Martynenko D.	15. Poltavchuk N.
64. Vasev A.	16. Mukhotyanov E.
29. Kalashnik M.	25. Serazetdinov D.
19. Makarov I.	17. Alshevsky A.
Line 3
27. Sizov R.	22. Chernev T.
34. Khoroshunov R.	95. Ilyev I.
21. Bolotov A.	88. Gavrilovich P. (C)
11. Komarov R.	34. Sysoyev D. (A)
95. Spiridonov D.	86. Kurichev N.
Line 4
94. Pyankov D.	13. Gushchin M.
99. Smirnov D.	73. Tyutyunik A.
55. Kirzhatsky K.	44. Shcherbinin D.
78. Sukharev G.	63. Vokhmyanin A.
67. Stetsenko Y.	55. Afonin M.
Substitutes
80. Yermashov F. (G)	72. Trofimov A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
07:45, 1 - 0, Sadykov K. (G), Bogdanov S. (A),
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
04:46, 1 - 1, Gushchin M. (G), Mukhotyanov E. (A), Isakov Y. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 1)
00:45, 1 - 2, Sysoyev D. (G), Poltavchuk N. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Molot won 0.

Molot has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Stalnye Lisy is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, Stalnye Lisy is seen as the favorite.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Molot won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 39:75. (average 2.1:3.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Molot won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 19:35. (average 1.9:3.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- JHC Molot Perm
MHL
01.10.25	Molot Perm - Tolpar	3:6 ✺
26.09.25	SKA-Akademiya - Molot Perm	6:2 ✺
23.09.25	Krylya Sovetov - Molot Perm	1:2 penalties ✺
18.09.25	Molot Perm - Tyumensky Legion	6:1 ✺
15.09.25	Loko-76 - Molot Perm	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LLWWL
- Stalnye Lisy
MHL
01.10.25	Tyumensky Legion - Stalnye Lisy	0:8 ✺
24.09.25	Snezhnye Barsy - Stalnye Lisy	0:4 ✺
20.09.25	Stalnye Lisy - Tyumensky Legion	9:2 ✺
15.09.25	Tolpar - Stalnye Lisy	2:3 ✺
12.09.25	Stalnye Lisy - Irbis Kazan	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

MHL
28.03.25	Stalnye Lisy - Molot Perm	6:1
25.03.25	Molot Perm - Stalnye Lisy	1:3
07.03.25	Stalnye Lisy - Molot Perm	5:2
13.12.24	Molot Perm - Stalnye Lisy	0:4
25.01.24	Molot Perm - Stalnye Lisy	2:4
21.09.23	Stalnye Lisy - Molot Perm	2:3 OT
23.01.23	Molot Perm - Stalnye Lisy	1:2

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