The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Toronto Maple Leafs 40.5%
Draw 22.3%
Buffalo Sabres 37.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
40.6%
22.7%
36.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39%
23.3%
37.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Toronto Maple Leafs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
Buffalo Sabres has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toronto Maple Leafs than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Buffalo Sabres than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
44.4%
44.4%
11.1%
Toronto Maple Leafs - Buffalo Sabres Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Toronto will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Buffalo will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Confidence interval (95%) for Toronto: 11.9% โ 76.9%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Toronto (votes: 2 - 100%).
New Consensus by Tipsters:
Games O/U 6.5 - over (2.05) (votes: 88%) โญ Best Value.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3
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Lineups
Line 1
72. Bobrovsky S. (G)
1. Luukkonen U. (G)
43. Raddysh D.
23. Samuelsson M. (A)
22. McCabe J.
8. Zellweger O.
88. Nylander W.
91. Doan J.
34. Matthews A. (C)
72. Thompson T. (A)
96. Roslovic J.
19. Krebs P.
Line 2
28. Stecher T.
73. Metsa Z.
44. Rielly M. (A)
25. Power O.
86. Marchenko K.
22. Quinn J.
91. Tavares J. (A)
86. Ostlund N.
20. Paul N.
6. Benson Z.
Line 3
3. Blankenburg N.
46. Crevier L.
95. Ekman-Larsson O.
44. Gilbert D.
53. Cowan E.
94. Helenius K.
15. Sissons C.
71. McLeod R.
92. McKenna G.
20. Kulich J.
Line 4
83. Rifai M.
15. Danforth J.
73. Blueger T.
9. Norris J.
24. Duhaime B.
29. Malenstyn B.
Substitutes
41. Stolarz A. (G)
92. Ellis C. (G)
Coaches
. Hiller J.
. Ruff L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (2 - 1)
02:24, 1 - 0, Matthews A. (G), Roslovic J. (A),
03:35, 1 - 1, Quinn J. (G), Benson Z. (A), Metsa Z. (A2)
12:32, Carrick S. (2 min),
13:10, 2 - 1, Marchenko K. (G), Tavares J. (A), Raddysh D. (A2)
18:12, Gilbert D. (2 min),
18:12, Carrick S. (2 min),
18:12, Ekman-Larsson O. (2 min),
2nd Period (2 - 1)
02:41, 2 - 2, Quinn J. (G), Ostlund N. (A), Samuelsson M. (A2)
11:13, 3 - 2, Marchenko K. (G), Tavares J. (A),
14:35, Ekman-Larsson O. (2 min),
15:53, Stecher T. (2 min),
15:53, Quinn J. (5 min),
16:51, 4 - 2, Marchenko K. (G), Sissons C. (A), Cowan E. (A2)
18:07, Rielly M. (2 min),
18:33, Benson Z. (2 min),
3rd Period (0 - 2)
10:05, 4 - 3, Gilbert D. (G), Quinn J. (A), Benson Z. (A2)
12:16, 4 - 4, Samuelsson M. (G), Thompson T. (A),
Overtime (0 - 1)
03:14, 4 - 5, Power O. (G), Quinn J. (A), Ostlund N. (A2)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 2.
Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.
Toronto could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Buffalo has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
Confirmed absences for Toronto: Domi M.
(Back Injury)
Joshua D.
(Abdominal strain)
Merzlikins E.
(Shoulder Injury)
Tanev C.
(Upper-Body Injury).
Confirmed absences for Buffalo: Dahlin R.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Grzelcyk M.
(Injury)
Lyon A.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Timmins C.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Zucker J.
(Hernia).
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Toronto has recorded 10 wins, 0 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 71:75 (averaging 3.6:3.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Toronto against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 35:38 goals (averaging 3.5:3.8 per game).
Outrights of NHL for now
Buffalo Sabres: 2.29% Toronto Maple Leafs: 2.22%
Last Results with these Odds
Buffalo Sabres - the odds 2.61 are the expected chance of winning is 36.71%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.
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Bobrovsky S. (G) 
Luukkonen U. (G) 
Raddysh D. 
Samuelsson M. (A) 
Nylander W. 
Kulich J. 
Blueger T. 
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