The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
St. Louis Blues 32.6%
Draw 22%
Montreal Canadiens 45.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.4%
21.7%
38.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.3%
22.2%
38%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
St. Louis Blues has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that St. Louis Blues's form might have worsened.
Montreal Canadiens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Montreal Canadiens's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Louis Blues than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for St. Louis Blues, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montreal Canadiens than the current prediction. (-7.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Montreal Canadiens, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
30%
35%
35%
St. Louis Blues - Montreal Canadiens Predictions
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. St. Louis will win (votes: 6 - 31.6%). Montreal will win (votes: 6 - 31.6%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 36.8%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.1% – 58.5%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Montreal (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Line 1
50. Binnington J. (G)
32. Fowler J. (G)
55. Parayko C.
53. Dobson N.
6. Broberg P.
42. Engstrom A.
25. Kyrou J.
85. Texier A.
18. Thomas R. (A)
14. Suzuki N. (C)
63. Neighbours J.
13. Caufield C.
Line 2
72. Faulk J. (A)
45. Carrier A.
17. Fowler C.
48. Hutson L.
21. Snuggerud J.
93. Demidov I.
10. Schenn B. (C)
91. Kapanen O.
89. Buchnevich P.
20. Slafkovsky J.
Line 3
51. Kessel M.
47. Struble J.
75. Tucker T.
72. Xhekaj A.
29. Berggren J.
17. Anderson J. (A)
54. Dvorsky D.
24. Danault P.
28. Stenberg O.
76. Bolduc Z.
Line 4
71. Joseph M.
11. Gallagher B. (A)
70. Sundqvist O.
90. Veleno J.
13. Toropchenko A.
27. Blais S.
Substitutes
30. Hofer J. (G)
35. Montembeault S. (G)
Coaches
. Montgomery J.
. St. Louis M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 0)
02:27, Dobson N. (2 min),
10:48, 1 - 0, Berggren J. (G), Fowler C. (A), Stenberg O. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
09:02, Buchnevich P. (2 min),
10:13, 2 - 0, Thomas R. (G), Toropchenko A. (A),
13:20, Schenn B. (2 min),
13:43, Parayko C. (2 min),
15:36, Gallagher B. (2 min),
3rd Period (0 - 0)
02:14, Buchnevich P. (2 min),
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. Louis won 4.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Montreal may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Montreal has had a series of away games.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
There will not play in St. Louis: Bjugstad N.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Holloway D.
(Ankle Injury)
Jecho A.
(Hand Injury)
Krug T.
(Ankle Injury)
Suter P.
(Ankle Injury)
Walker N.
(Upper-Body Injury)
There will not play in Montreal: Dach K.
(Broken Leg)
Evans J.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Guhle K.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Laine P.
(Abdominal strain)
Newhook A.
(Ankle Injury)
There are questionable in Montreal: Anderson J.
(Injury)
Matheson M.
(Upper-Body Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, St. Louis won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 70:64. (average 3.5:3.2).
Including home matches between the teams, St. Louis won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 38:29. (average 3.8:2.9).
Outrights of NHL for now
Montreal Canadiens: 3.83% St. Louis Blues: 0.59%
Last Results with these Odds
St. Louis Blues - the odds 2.46 are the expected chance of winning is 39.38%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.
Montreal Canadiens - the odds 2.49 are the expected chance of winning is 38.9%, but this team recently wins 19% of matches with these odds.
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Binnington J. (G) 
Fowler J. (G) 
Broberg P. 
Texier A. 
Demidov I. 
Kapanen O. 
Slafkovsky J. 
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