The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Dallas Stars 51.2%
Draw 21.6%
Montreal Canadiens 27.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.3%
21.2%
30.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51.3%
20%
28.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dallas Stars has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
Montreal Canadiens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dallas Stars than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montreal Canadiens than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
46.2%
15.4%
38.5%
Dallas Stars - Montreal Canadiens Predictions
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Dallas will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Montreal will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Confidence interval (95%) for Dallas: 19.1% – 73.3%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 5.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .
AH -1.5, OT - Dallas (2.24) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Dallas Stars will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Dallas (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Montreal (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3
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Lineups
Line 1
29. Oettinger J. (G)
35. Montembeault S. (G)
4. Heiskanen M. (A)
53. Dobson N.
23. Lindell E. (A)
8. Matheson M. (A)
96. Rantanen M.
85. Texier A.
53. Johnston W.
14. Suzuki N. (C)
95. Duchene M.
13. Caufield C.
Line 2
5. Lundkvist N.
45. Carrier A.
55. Harley T.
48. Hutson L.
22. Bourque M.
93. Demidov I.
24. Hintz R.
91. Kapanen O.
21. Robertson J.
20. Slafkovsky J.
Line 3
28. Petrovic A.
47. Struble J.
46. Lyubushkin I.
72. Xhekaj A.
14. Benn Ja. (C)
11. Gallagher B. (A)
18. Steel S.
24. Danault P.
49. Hryckowian J.
76. Bolduc Z.
Line 4
73. Erne A.
62. Beck O.
12. Faksa R.
90. Veleno J.
10. Back O.
27. Blais S.
Substitutes
31. Poirier R. (G)
32. Fowler J. (G)
Coaches
. Gulutzan G.
. St. Louis M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 1)
08:42, 0 - 1, Gallagher B. (G), Danault P. (A), Carrier A. (A2)
13:53, 1 - 1, Bourque M. (G), Robertson J. (A), Hintz R. (A2)
16:18, Demidov I. (2 min),
19:33, Benn Ja. (2 min),
2nd Period (1 - 2)
01:36, Lyubushkin I. (2 min),
08:13, (2 min),
10:14, 2 - 1, Johnston W. (G), Rantanen M. (A), Harley T. (A2)
11:59, 2 - 2, Kapanen O. (G), Demidov I. (A), Slafkovsky J. (A2)
14:00, Lindell E. (2 min),
18:10, Steel S. (2 min),
18:39, 2 - 3, Slafkovsky J. (G), Suzuki N. (A), Hutson L. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
11:07, 3 - 3, Johnston W. (G), Heiskanen M. (A), Duchene M. (A2)
14:19, Danault P. (2 min),
16:00, Johnston W. (2 min),
Overtime (0 - 1)
03:39, 3 - 4, Hutson L. (G), Danault P. (A),
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dallas won 3.
Recent form of Dallas has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, Montreal has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Montreal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Montreal has had a series of away games.
In this match, Dallas is seen as the favorite.
There will not play in Dallas: Bichsel L.
(Lower-Body Injury)
DeSmith C.
(Personal Reasons)
Seguin T.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Montreal: Dach K.
(Broken Leg)
Evans J.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Guhle K.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Laine P.
(Abdominal strain)
Newhook A.
(Ankle Injury)
There are questionable in Montreal: Anderson J.
(Injury)
Matheson M.
(Upper-Body Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dallas won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 66:52. (average 3.3:2.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Dallas won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 29:25. (average 3.2:2.8).
Outrights of NHL for now
Dallas Stars: 4.52% Montreal Canadiens: 3.83%
Last Results with these Odds
Dallas Stars - the odds 2.01 are the expected chance of winning is 48.26%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.
Montreal Canadiens - the odds 3.18 are the expected chance of winning is 30.51%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.